Arthur Hayes predicts Bitcoin rally after closing short position

Bitcoin could start its rally next week on a potential liquidity injection in the worlds largest economy.

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Sub $50K Bitcoin correction remains in play as whales look to sell BTC

Bitcoin could experience more downward pressure leading up to the Sept. 18 US interest rate cut, but will it fall below $50,000 this weekend?

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Bitcoin bears base $40K prediction on self induced fear Samson Mow

Jan3 CEO Samson Mow reiterated that a fear-driven market never lasts long because fundamentals usually win out over time.

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Bitcoin Price Crashes Toward $53K But Arthur Hayes Expects It To Plummet Further

BitMex co-founder Arthur Hayes says Bitcoin is headed to $50,000 this weekend.

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Bitcoin 200-Day Average Signals Waning Bullish Momentum, Heres What It Means For BTC Price

A key long-term price indicator for Bitcoin, the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) appears to be losing its bullish momentum as the US economy added fewer jobs in August 2024. Bitcoin Must Overcome The 200-Day SMA To Reverse Trend The 200-day SMA is considered one of the more reliable long-term indicators to gauge an assets upcoming price action. Bitcoins 200-day SMA shows a weakening bullish momentum, giving short-term traders little joy. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Struggles: Can Bulls Step In to Save the Week? Notably, this is the first time since October 2023 that the 200-day SMA looks poised to enter bearish territory. Since late August, the daily increase in average price increases for BTC has not crossed $50, while it used to consistently record moves of more than $200 per day during the first half of 2024. At press time, the 200-day SMA stood at $63,840, about 13.96% higher than the current BTC price of $56,840. Its worth highlighting that short-term moving average indicators such as the 50-day SMA and the 100-day SMA are already past their peak and have been trending downward. A bearish crossover was seen recently when the 100-day SMA fell below the 200-day SMA. According to cryptocurrency analyst Ali Martinez, the Stochastic relative-strength index (RSI) has signaled a trend reversal from bullish to bearish on the Bitcoin 2-month chart. If going by historical data, such a move has typically led to a significant correction of up to 75.50%. In addition, Google Trends shows that searches for the word Bitcoin have been at their lowest since October 2023, when BTC was hovering around $30,000.  Adding to the overall bearish sentiment surrounding the leading digital asset, former CEO of BitMEX cryptocurrency exchange Arthur Hayes posted on X that hes currently short Bitcoin and could see the crypto-asset crash to sub $50k level over the weekend.  In contrast, other market experts opine that Bitcoin will likely bottom at $55,000 before the influx of US liquidity helps re-ignite the severely lacking buying pressure in the crypto markets. Bitcoins Fundamentals Remain Intact Although several crypto analysts seem to lean bearish on Bitcoins short-term price movements, the long-term bull case for the leading digital asset remains unchanged.  Crypto analyst Crypto Jelle posits that Bitcoins tepid price action during the summer might reach its conclusion by early October before it could potentially resume another rally to the upside. Related Reading: Bitcoin Needs To Break $70,000 For The Uptrend To Continue, Heres Why Institutional interest in Bitcoin also continues to rise, as Swiss banking giant ZKB recently rolled out Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) trading and custody services for its customers. At press time, BTC trades at $56,018. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com

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Former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes Backs Memecoin PEPE With $250,000 Bet

Arthur Hayes, co-founder and former CEO of the cryptocurrency trading platform BitMEX, has recently made headlines with significant investments in the memecoin sector, particularly through his notable purchase of Pepe (PEPE).  Hayes optimism towards memecoins, expressed in a recent social media post on X (formerly Twitter), has coincided with a significant surge in PEPE’s value, reflecting a broader resurgence in interest within the crypto market. PEPE Price Soars Following Hayes Investment On-chain analytics platform Lookonchain revealed that Hayes invested $250,000 in PEPE by purchasing approximately 24.39 billion tokens on Binance on Friday. This investment comes as PEPE is experiencing a notable upward trajectory, reaching its highest price in nearly three months at $0.0000109.  CoinGecko data shows that the token has recorded impressive gains of 34%, 45%, and 38% over the past week, two weeks, and month, respectively. The recent price movements of PEPE are further supported by a substantial increase in trading volume, which surged by 41% in the last 48 hours to nearly $2.5 billion. Related Reading: DogWifHat Whale Doubling Down, Buys More WIF: All-Time High Incoming? This uptick in trading activity is indicative of heightened investor interest, likely fueled by a bullish sentiment following the US Federal Reserve’s decision to cut interest rates on September 18, which has provided a favorable environment for various cryptocurrencies, including the memecoin sector. Currently trading at $0.0000107, PEPE is up 17% in the latest trading hours. However, it remains down 37% from its all-time high of $0.0000171 reached in May. Despite this decline, Hayes’s endorsement appears to be a catalyst for continued investor interest. Support For Mog Coin And The Mother Iggy Token Hayes’s involvement in the memecoin space extends beyond PEPE. He has also shown support for two other tokens: Mog Coin (MOG) and the Mother Iggy (MOTHER) token, associated with Australian singer Iggy Azalea and built on the Solana blockchain.  While Lookonchain has not confirmed whether Hayes invested in these tokens as he did with PEPE, his endorsement has already positively impacted MOG’s price, which is currently trading at $0.00000165a gain of over 10% following Hayes’s announcement. MOG has recorded a colossal year-to-date surge of 10,398%, alongside a 5.70% increase in trading volume. Despite these gains, it remains 32% below its peak of $0.0000024 reached in July. Related Reading: Altcoin Market Cap Surges Past 200-Day EMA: Is Altseason Finally Here? Conversely, the MOTHER token has struggled to maintain momentum, trading down nearly 14% in the past 24 hours. However, it has seen substantial gains of 75% over the last week and 176% in the past two weeks, signaling that it remains an asset of interest despite recent volatility. Overall, Haye’s support for the memecoin sector shows the traction that this part of the market has gained over the past year in particular, outperforming the largest cryptocurrencies on the market by a clear margin. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com

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Arthur Hayes Says Its Time for a Meme Coin Breakout: These Are His Latest Buys

Hayes has increased his positions on PEPE, MOG, and MOTHER, believing it is time for a meme coin season.

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Pendle Foundation, BitMEX Co-Founder Moving PENDLE To BinanceWhats Going On?

PENDLE, the native token of Pendle, a real-world asset (RWA) tokenization platform, may be steady at press time. However, looking at CoinMarketCap data, the token is up 130X from its November 2022 lows and 41% from all-time highs registered in 2024. Whales Sending Tokens To Binance As prices cool off, there are emerging concerns. According [...]

The post Pendle Foundation, BitMEX Co-Founder Moving PENDLE To BinanceWhats Going On? appeared first on Crypto Breaking News.

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PEPE surges as Arthur Hayes bets on meme coin

PEPE’s price shot up 14% as meme coins rose, with Floki and Shiba Inu among the top gainers The price of Pepe increased as Arthur Hayes withdrew $250,000 in PEPE from Binance Hayes is also touting Mother Iggy (MOTHER) and Mog Coin (MOG) Pepe’s (PEPE) price spiked more than 14% in 24 hours as the […]

The post PEPE surges as Arthur Hayes bets on meme coin appeared first on CoinJournal.

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Arthur Hayes's Family Office Funds Another Bitcoin Core Developer

Arthur Hayes's family office Maelstrom awarded Bitcoin developer Jon Atack a 1-year grant to work full-time on Bitcoin Core and BIPs. The no-strings funding aims to strengthen Bitcoin's open source ecosystem.

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Arthur Hayes Continues Buying Spree of Aethir (ATH) Amid Focus Shift

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Arthur Hayes Sells Millions Of PENDLE Below Predicted Price Target

Arthur Hayes, the former BitMEX CEO, recently sold a significant portion of his PENDLE holdings despite previously forecasting the token to reach $10. According to on-chain data from @lookonchain, Hayes offloaded $4.4 million worth of PENDLE over the past two days, representing roughly 61% of his family office fund, Maelstrom. […]

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Arthur Hayes's Family Office Funds Bitcoin Core Developer

Arthur Hayes's family office Maelstrom awarded the first grant from its Bitcoin developer program to contributor Rkrux. The funding will support Rkrux working full-time on contributing to Bitcoin Core as an open source project.

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Arthur Hayes Reveals How To Trade Crypto Amid The Dollar-Yen Death March

In his latest essay “Spirited Away,” Arthur Hayes, the former CEO of BitMEX, dives into the complexities of the global financial markets, with a focus on the impending unwinding of the dollar-yen carry trade and its impact on the crypto market. Hayes begins by discussing the potential actions of the US Vice President Kamala Harris in response to an impending financial crisis, influenced by her need to secure electoral victory. He predicts, “Harris will instruct Yellen to use the monetary tools available to her to avert a financial crisis,” suggesting an immediate response to stabilize the markets expected “no later than the opening of Asian trading next Monday, August 12th.” Related Reading: Bitwise CIO Believes The Crypto Crash Sets The Stage For Bitcoin To Thrive Key Reasons Why The analysis revolves around the ‘yen carry trade,’ where Japan Inc. borrows yen at low rates to invest in higher-yielding foreign assets. This trade has been massively profitable due to the Bank of Japan’s (BOJ) policies that keep yen liabilities low and asset returns high, facilitated by a weak yen. However, Hayes points out the vulnerabilities of this strategy: “If the BOJ ceases its bond purchases, the unwinding could lead to significant yen appreciation and a corresponding decline in global equity markets.” Hayes outlines the potential dire consequences of a sudden strengthening of the yen, predicting drastic impacts on global stock markets. He quantifies these impacts, stating, “If the dollar-yen reached 100, a 38% move, the Nasdaq would drop to ~12,600 and the Nikkei to ~25,365,” indicating severe repercussions for global financial stability. According to the former BitMEX CEO, the full unwind of the dollar-yen carry trade is a question of when, not if. The question is when the Fed and Treasury will print money to blunt its effects on Pax Americana, he adds and describes a scenario where the US equity markets could crash into this upcoming Friday. Then some sort of action over the weekend is probable, according to Hayes. He further theorizes on a more long-term scenario: If the yen starts to weaken again, the crisis is over in the immediate term. The unwind will continue, albeit at a slower pace. I believe the markets will throw another tantrum between September and November as the dollar-yen pair resumes its death march toward 100. There will definitely be a response this time around, as the US presidential election will be weeks or days away. How To Trade Crypto In This Environment Hayes describes the situation as complex due to two conflicting liquidity forces. Trading this in a crypto fashion is difficult. Two opposing forces influence my crypto positioning, he states. First, there is the Liquidity Positive Force. This force emerges from the US Treasury’s potential actions, which could inject significant dollar liquidity into the market. Hayes notes, “After a quarter of net restrictive policy, the US Treasury will net inject dollar liquidity because it will issue Treasury bills and possibly deplete the Treasury General Account.” This influx of liquidity could buoy markets, including cryptocurrencies, by providing more capital for investment. Related Reading: Why The 4-Year Crypto Cycle Is A Thing Of The Past: Top-Analyst Conversely, the strengthening of the yen (Liquidity Negative Force), driven by the unwinding of the carry trade, would necessitate a global sell-off of financial assets as higher yen costs make debt servicing more expensive. This force could lead to a withdrawal of liquidity from markets, exerting downward pressure on asset prices, including cryptocurrencies. Hayes proposes that the interplay of these forces will dictate the behavior of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. He categorizes potential outcomes into two scenarios: Convex-Bitcoin Scenario: In this scenario, Bitcoin could rise in value regardless of whether the dollar-yen pair strengthens or weakens, indicating that the market expects a bailout if the yen strengthens and that the liquidity provided by the US Treasury is sufficient to counteract the negative impacts. Correlated-Bitcoin Scenario: Here, Bitcoin’s price movements would align closely with traditional financial markets. A strengthening yen would lead to a fall in Bitcoin prices, and a weakening yen would result in a rise, mirroring the liquidity shifts in traditional finance. If the setup is convex-Bitcoin, I will aggressively add positions as we have reached the local bottom. If the setup is correlated-Bitcoin, then I will sit on the sidelines and wait for the eventual market capitulation. The mega assumption is that the BOJ will not reverse course, cut deposit rates back to 0%, and resume unlimited JGB purchases. If the BOJ sticks by the plan it laid out at its last meeting, the carry trade unwind will continue, Hayes concludes. At press time, BTC traded at $57,200. Featured image from YouTube, chart from TradingView.com

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Feds sugar high may propel Bitcoin surge Arthur Hayes

Arthur Hayes connects Federal Reserve actions to a short-lived economic boost with ripple effects on Bitcoin and broader crypto markets, underscoring risks from Japanese yen carry trade unwinding.

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Crypto Guru Arthur Hayes Bets On This Under-The-Radar Altcoin

Arthur Hayes, a well-known crypto investor and former CEO of BitMEX, has reportedly made a major purchase of the little-known altcoin Aethir (ATH), amounting to 11.4 million tokens, valued at approximately $779,000. This transaction was identified and reported by on-chain data analytics firm Lookonchain. According to the firm, the purchase was made on crypto exchange OKX. Shortly after Hayes’ acquisition, another purchase was reportedly made by a whale. A different anonymous investor acquired 28.87 million ATH, worth around $1.95 million, across multiple exchanges including Bybit, KuCoin, and OKX, as per data by Lookonchain. Related Reading: Ethereum Price To Hit New All-Time High If This Happens: Crypto Analyst This flurry of activity comes just three days after Hayes’ recent forecast in his latest essay, suggesting a potential upswing in the crypto market beginning in September 2024. Hayes stated, “In any case, I expect that crypto will exit its sideways-to-downward trajectory starting in September. As such, I will take advantage of this late northern hemispheric summer weakness to load up on crypto risk.” Hayes didnt name any specific altcoins hes buying, but seemingly Aethir (ATH) is one of them. Discussing the broader market, Hayes expressed his anticipation for a resurgence in altcoins, contingent upon major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ether breaking significant price barriers. He remarked, “Alt szn will return only after Bitcoin and Ether decidedly break through $70,000 and $4,000, respectively. […] The combination of a dollar liquidity-inspired Bitcoin and Ether rally into year-end will create a strong foundation for the return of a sexy shitcoin soiree.” Crypto Newcomer: What Is Aethir (ATH)? The Aethir (ATH) token is the native cryptocurrency of the Aethir network, integral to its decentralized GPU cloud infrastructure. ATH operates as a utility and governance token within the Aethir ecosystem, which is focused on providing decentralized cloud solutions for AI and gaming through its Distributed Proof of Infrastructure (DePIN) technology. Related Reading: Dogecoin On Track To Rally 100% To $0.2; Crypto Analyst ATH tokens have several key uses. ATH is used to pay for services like renting GPU resources for AI processing and cloud gaming. Token holders can vote on various proposals affecting the networks future. Moreover, ATH rewards participants in the network, particularly those who operate Checker Nodes and contribute GPU power through devices like the Aethir Edge. The Aethir network emphasizes community participation and decentralization, aiming to distribute ATH tokens widely via mechanisms like airdrops and earning opportunities through the Aethir Cloud Drop campaign. This campaign allows community members to earn ATH by participating in activities that support network growth and engagement. The token has a circulating supply of approximately 4.056 billion units, with a market cap of around $276 million. Thus, ATH is only the 215th largest cryptocurrency by market cap. In the last 24 hours, trading volume is quite elevated with $91.15 million, although its down -63%, ATH volume is still ranked 56th (24h). At press time, ATH traded at $0.068059, down -4.6% in the last 24 hours. Featured image from YouTube, chart from TradingView.com

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Arthur Hayes Reveals Possible Trigger Push For Mammoth XRP, Solana, Ether, Altseason Ahead Of US Elections

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Bitcoin And Altcoin Bull Run Will Return, Arthur Hayes Reveals Timeline

In a new essay, Arthur Hayes, the co-founder of crypto exchange BitMEX, has outlined a bullish future for Bitcoin and altcoins. His analysis, focused on the interplay between government liquidity operations and asset prices, suggests a looming bull market in the crypto space, driven by strategic fiscal maneuvers by the US Treasury. When Will The Bitcoin Bull Run Return? Hayes compares the quality of water in brewing coffee to the liquidity in financial markets, illustrating that just as the quality of water is crucial for making a good cup of coffee, liquidity is essential for the health and movement of financial markets. Hayes pointed out that many investors underestimate the impact of liquidity and often focus narrowly on more visible factors like technological advancements or regulatory changes. Hayes explains the concept of “fiscal dominance,” a situation where the government’s need to finance itself supersedes all other economic considerations, including the control of inflation. He specifically critiques the current policies under US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, whose tactics, according to Hayes, focus on generating nominal economic growth regardless of the inflationary outcomes. Related Reading: BTCs Next Objective? Analyst Eyes Crucial $70,000 Resistance Zone For Bitcoin “During a period of fiscal dominance, the necessity to fund the state overrides any concerns the central bank may have about inflation,” Hayes explains. He details how this shift impacts liquidity, stating, “That means bank credit and, by extension, nominal GDP growth must be sustained at high levels even if it results in persistently higher than target inflation.” Drawing a direct connection between Treasury actions and crypto market movements, Hayes highlighted the correlation between the issuance of Treasury bills (T-bills) and Bitcoin price movements. He noted that when the Treasury increases T-bill issuance, it effectively shifts liquidity from instruments like the Reverse Repo Program (RRP) into more active uses, which historically corresponds with increases in Bitcoin prices. As the RRP (white) fell from its high, Bitcoin (gold) pumped off the lows. As you can see, its a very tight relationship. As money leaves the Feds balance sheet, it adds liquidity, which causes […] Therefore, taking Bad Gurl Yellens word, we know that $301bn of T-bills will be net issued between now and year-end. If this relationship holds true, Bitcoin will quickly retrace the dump caused by the yen strengthening. The next stop for Bitcoin is $100,000″ Hayes speculates. When Altcoin Season? Therefore, Hayes advises crypto traders to pay close attention to fiscal and monetary policies, especially the actions of the US Treasury, as these are often precursors to significant market movements. Monitoring T-bill issuance and Treasury maneuvers can provide crypto investors with clues about upcoming shifts in market liquidity and potential price movements, according to Hayes. Related Reading: Bitcoin Investors Again Show Extreme Fear As BTC Slips To $59,000 Shifting focus to the broader crypto market, Hayes also discusses the potential for an ‘alt szn’ or altcoin season, which he predicts will follow a rally in Bitcoin and Ethereum prices. “Shitcoins are higher beta Bitcoin crypto plays. But during this cycle, Bitcoin and now Ether have structural bids in the form of net inflows into US-listed exchange-traded funds (ETF). While Bitcoin and Ether have corrected since April, they escaped the carnage experienced in the shitcoin markets. Commenting on the potential of a full blown altcoin season like in previous cycles, Hayes assures that the time will come. However, altcoin season will only return after Bitcoin and Ether decidedly break through $70,000 and $4,000, respectively. He adds, the combination of a dollar liquidity-inspired Bitcoin and Ether rally into year-end will create a strong foundation for the return of a sexy shitcoin soiree. Interestingly, Hayes plans to capitalize on the US elections. He expects that the crypto bull run will exit its sideways-to-downward trajectory in September. The US election occurs in early November. Yellen will be at peak manipulation in October. There will be no better time for liquidity this year. Therefore, I shall sell into strength. I will not liquidate my entire crypto portfolio but take profits in my more speculative momentum trades, he revealed. Hayes further anticipates a more substantial market adjustment post US election and the US debt ceiling resolutions, “Once the US debt ceiling charade is over, liquidity will gush from the Treasury and possibly the Fed to get markets back on track. Then, the bull market will begin for realz. $1 million Bitcoin is still my base case.” At press time, BTC traded at $58,783. Featured image from YouTube, chart from TradingView.com

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Arthur Hayes reveals philosophy behind Airheads Ordinals collection

Users can choose to complete quest-like directives to receive Airheads or outright purchase the inscribed art through a Whale Pass.

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Bitcoin Bull Run Tied To Economic Echoes Of The 1930s-1970: Arthur Hayes

Arthur Hayes, the co-founder of crypto exchange BitMEX, has recently offered a comprehensive analysis in his latest essay, “Zoom Out,” drawing compelling parallels between the economic upheavals of the 1930s-1970s and today’s financial landscape, specifically focusing on the implications for the Bitcoin and crypto bull run. His in-depth examination suggests that historical economic patterns, when properly understood, can provide a blueprint for understanding the potential revival of the Bitcoin and crypto bull run. Understanding Financial Cycles Hayes begins his analysis by exploring the major economic cycles starting from the Great Depression, through the mid-20th century economic booms, and into the stagnant 1970s. He categorizes these transformations into what he terms “Local” and “Global” cycles, central to understanding the broader macroeconomic forces at play. Local Cycles are characterized by intense national focus where economic protectionism and financial repression are prevalent. These cycles often arise from governmental responses to severe economic crises that prioritize national recovery over global cooperation, typically leading to inflationary outcomes due to the devaluation of fiat currencies and increased government spending. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Blasts Past $63,000: Top 3 Reasons Global Cycles, in contrast, are marked by periods of economic liberalization, where global trade and investment are encouraged, often leading to deflationary pressures due to increased competition and efficiency in global markets. Hayes carefully examines each cycle’s impact on asset classes, noting that during Local cycles, non-fiat assets like gold have historically performed well due to their nature as hedges against inflation and currency devaluation. Hayes draws a direct parallel between the creation of Bitcoin in 2009 and the economic environment of the 1930s. Just as the economic crises of the early 20th century led to transformative monetary policies, the financial crash of 2008 and subsequent quantitative easing set the stage for the introduction of Bitcoin. Why The Bitcoin Bull Run Will Resume Hayes argues that Bitcoin’s emergence during what he identifies as a renewed Local cycle, characterized by the global recession and significant central bank interventions, mirrors past periods where traditional financial systems were under stress, and alternative assets like gold rose to prominence. Expanding on the analogy between gold in the 1930s and Bitcoin today, Hayes elucidates how gold served as a safe haven during times of economic uncertainty and rampant inflation. He posits that Bitcoin, with its decentralized and state-independent nature, is well-suited to serve a similar purpose in today’s volatile economic climate. Related Reading: Mt. Goxs Bitcoin Dump: How Will The $9 Billion Sell-Off Affect BTCs Price? “Bitcoin operates outside the traditional state systems, and its value proposition becomes particularly evident in times of inflation and financial repression,” Hayes notes. This feature of Bitcoin, he argues, makes it an indispensable asset for those seeking to preserve wealth amidst currency devaluation and fiscal instability. Hayes points out the significant surge in the US budget deficit, projected to reach $1.915 trillion in fiscal 2024, as a modern indicator that parallels the fiscal expansions of past Local cycles. This deficit, significantly higher than in previous years, marking the highest level outside the COVID-19 era, is attributed to increased government spending akin to historical periods of government-induced economic stimuli. Hayes uses these fiscal indicators to suggest that just as past Local cycles led to increased valuation for non-state assets, the current fiscal and monetary policies are likely to enhance the appeal and value of Bitcoin. “Why am I confident that Bitcoin will regain its mojo? Why am I confident that we are in the midst of a new mega-local, nation-state first, inflationary cycle?” Hayes asks rhetorically in his essay. He believes that the same dynamics that drove the value of assets like gold during past economic upheavals are now aligning to bolster the value of Bitcoin. He concludes, I believe fiscal and monetary conditions are loose and will continue to be loose, and therefore, hodling crypto is the best way to preserve wealth. I am confident that today will rhyme with the 1930s to 1970s, and that means, given I can still freely move from fiat to crypto, I should do so because debasement through the expansion and centralisation of credit allocation through the banking system is coming. At press time, BTC traded at $62,649. Featured image from YouTube / What Bitcoin Did, chart from TradingView.com

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