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CATEGORY: bitcoin bollinger bands


Apr 12, 2025 12:05

Bitcoin Poised For W-Bottom Reversal, Says Legendary Trader Bollinger

Legendary technical analyst John Bollinger has highlighted what he calls a “classic Bollinger Band W bottom” that may be forming on the Bitcoin pair BTC/USD. According to him, BTC appears to have found support in the $74,000 area, setting up the characteristic double-dip lows that define a W-shaped reversal pattern. Notably, Bollinger stressed that the setup still needs to be confirmed: “Classic Bollinger Band W bottom setup in BTCUSD. Still needs confirmation”. Is The Bitcoin Bottom In? The chart shows Bitcoin navigating a decline from its mid-January high near $110,000, with recent price action clustered around the lower band of the Bollinger Bands. The upper band sits at $108,837, while the lower band sits at $77,138, suggesting a relatively wide range of volatility on a weekly basis. The Bollinger’s mid-line is close to $93,000. Related Reading: This Crypto Analyst Predicted The Bitcoin Price Crash At $97,000, He Just Released Another Forecast Bollinger’s indication of a W-bottom is based on the formation of two distinct troughs in quick succession, as seen in both the price data and the oscillator readings below the chart. The first trough materialised as BTCUSD fell from its then high of around $90,000 to the mid-$76,000 area, then rallied before sliding back to a comparable support area around $74,500. The repeated dip into this horizontal support level has so far held, which Bollinger identifies as a potential base for a bullish reversal – although he cautions that a definitive move above the intervening swing high near $90,000 would help validate this classic chart pattern. Other market clues include slightly lower trading volumes, suggesting that the intense selling that drove bitcoin down from its recent peak may be easing. The chart’s momentum oscillator, which tracks overbought and oversold conditions, supports this thesis, forming a bottom near its lower border. Although this alignment with price action suggests a possible bottom, many technical analysts are looking for the oscillator to rise convincingly above its midpoint to confirm that momentum has indeed shifted in favour of buyers. Related Reading: Is The Bitcoin Bottom In After Trumps Tariff Pause? Heres What To Expect Bollinger bands themselves, invented by John Bollinger, measure volatility by placing envelope lines above and below a moving average. When these bands widen, the market typically experiences large price swings; when they narrow, volatility decreases. In Bitcoin’s case, they’ve remained relatively wide, reflecting the cryptocurrency’s dramatic range from below $20,000 to six figures over the past two years. While talk of a W-bottom has sparked optimism among bullish traders, Bollinger’s reminder that it “still needs to be confirmed” highlights the importance of solid follow-through in price action. If Bitcoin can break above $90,000 on robust volume, the long-awaited confirmation of this pattern would be within reach. Until then, the W-bottom is just a possibility. At press time, BTC traded at $81,366. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin Faces Serious Price Compression  What Happened Last Time

Author: Sebastian Villafuerte
United Kingdom
Feb 23, 2025 12:10

Bitcoin Faces Serious Price Compression What Happened Last Time

Bitcoin has experienced a tiring price action in recent weeks, with the price struggling to set a clear short-term direction. Investors are beginning to feel impatient as BTC remains stuck in a tight range, showing no decisive breakout. The price was testing crucial supply between $98K and $100K when the market was hit by negative news, adding further uncertainty. Related Reading: Ethereum Holds Key Support Analyst Doubts Bears Can Defend $4K Anymore On Friday, the cryptocurrency exchange Bybit suffered a massive hack, with $1.4 billion in ETH stolen. The incident triggered fear among traders, leading to increased volatility across the crypto market. However, Bybit responded quickly, working to reassure investors and prevent further market-wide panic. As Bitcoin remains range-bound, price compression is becoming extreme, indicating that a major move could be coming soon. Top analyst Big Cheds shared an analysis on X, revealing that Bitcoin is facing its tightest daily Bollinger Bands (BBs) since August 2023, when the price was at $29.5K. Historically, such low volatility phases lead to explosive price movements, making BTCs next move critical. Bitcoin Price Action Signals Imminent Breakout Bitcoin has struggled below the $100K mark since late January, with bulls unable to confirm a recovery rally despite multiple attempts. At the same time, bears have failed to push BTC below key demand levels, keeping the price above $90K. This ongoing battle between supply and demand has created an uncertain short-term outlook, leaving the market waiting for a catalyst to determine the next move. The lack of directional clarity has led to Bitcoin consolidating in a tight range, signaling an upcoming breakout. Big Cheds insights on X reveal that Bitcoin now has its tightest daily Bollinger Bands (BBs) since August 2023, when BTC was trading at $29.5K.The last time BTC saw this level of price compression, the market experienced an aggressive price drop before a long accumulation phase that eventually led to a recovery.  With BTC now coiling up for another breakout, traders remain cautious about the direction of the move. If BTC reclaims $100K, an explosive rally into price discovery could follow. However, a breakdown below $94K$90K could trigger deeper corrections, making the next few days critical for the market. Related Reading: Ethereum Could Target $3,000 Once It Breaks Current Supply Levels Analyst If history is any indication, this period of low volatility is unlikely to last much longer. The market is preparing for a major move, and traders are closely watching key resistance and support levels for confirmation. With Bitcoins supply on exchanges at historically low levels and long-term holders showing resilience, a breakout above $100K could spark a new wave of buying pressure. BTC Struggles After Volatile Friday Bitcoin is trading at $96,000 after a highly volatile Friday, where the price spiked to $99,500 before dropping to $94,800 following news of the Bybit hack. This sudden price action unsettled investors, as BTC failed to hold above critical supply levels and experienced a rapid selloff. Now, bulls must defend the $95K level throughout the weekend to prevent further downside. Holding this level would signal strength and allow BTC to push toward the $98K resistance, a key area that needs to be reclaimed for a breakout attempt above $100K. However, losing the $95K mark could trigger a breakdown into lower demand levels, potentially retesting the $94K or even $90K zones. Market sentiment remains divided, as BTC is showing signs of compression, typically leading to an aggressive move in either direction. Related Reading: Solana Sweeps Lows But Recovers Can Bulls Reclaim $185 by Friday? For now, all eyes are on whether Bitcoin can reclaim $98K and sustain momentum, or if bears will push the price into deeper corrections. The weekend could be critical in determining the next major trend, as BTC remains stuck in a tight range between $94K and $100K with increasing volatility. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

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