Bitcoin Bullish Signal: NUPL Is Forming A Golden Cross

On-chain data shows the Bitcoin Net Unrealized Profit and Loss (NUPL) is forming a golden cross, a sign that could be bullish for the price. Bitcoin NUPL 60-Day MA Has Crossed Above 365-Day MA An analyst in a CryptoQuant post pointed out that this crossover pattern has been repeated multiple times since 2013. The “Net [...]

The post Bitcoin Bullish Signal: NUPL Is Forming A Golden Cross appeared first on Crypto Breaking News.

View Details

Bitcoin Is About To See A Historically-Profitable Crossover In This Metric

On-chain data shows the Bitcoin Puell Multiple is about to undergo a crossover that has historically been very bullish for BTC’s price. Bitcoin Puell Multiple Could Cross Its 365-Day MA In Near Future As pointed out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, the Bitcoin Puell Multiple has been approaching its 365-day moving average (MA) recently. The “Puell Multiple” here refers to a popular on-chain indicator that tells us about how the revenue of the Bitcoin miners compares against its yearly average. BTC miners earn their income through two sources, the transaction fees and the block subsidy, but in the context of the Puell Multiple, only the latter is relevant. Block subsidy is the reward miners receive as compensation for adding blocks to the network. Related Reading: Bitcoin Hashrate Falls Off, Miners Expecting Pause In Bull Run? When the indicator’s value is greater than 1, it means the miners are currently making a higher revenue than the average for the past year. On the other hand, it being under the threshold suggests the miners are earning less than usual. Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Puell Multiple, as well as its 365-day MA, over the last few years: As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Puell Multiple had plunged under the 1 mark earlier in the year, but recently, its value has seen a sharp rise back towards the mark. The reason behind the earlier plummet was the occurrence of the fourth BTC Halving. “Halvings” are events coded into the blockchain that automatically shave off the asset’s block subsidy in half every four years. As the Puell Multiple keeps track of the block subsidy, it naturally makes sense that the Halving would drastically affect the ratio’s value. Outside of the Halvings, the block subsidy remains constant in BTC value and is more or less given out at a constant rate. However, the ratio’s value can still change at times other than Halvings because it measures the USD value of the miner revenue. The rewards that miners get are in BTC and so, their value is also tied to the USD rate of the asset. With the cryptocurrency observing a sharp rally recently, the miner revenue seems to be back to the same as the 365-day MA. The 1 mark isn’t the only important level the Puell Multiple has risen to; it is now near its 365-day MA. In the chart, the quant highlighted what happened the last three times the metric broke above this line. It would appear that the asset went on to rally at least 76% each time. Related Reading: Is $135,000 Bitcoins Current Ceiling? This Model Says So It remains to be seen whether the Puell Multiple could break above this line, potentially giving a bullish signal for Bitcoin, or if the retest would fail. BTC Price Bitcoin has recently witnessed a cooldown in bullish momentum as its price has fallen to a sideways movement. At present, BTC is trading at around $91,900. Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com

View Details

Bitcoin Bull Run Not Over Yet? This Ratio Has Just Seen A Golden Cross

Data shows the ratio between two Bitcoin on-chain metrics has recently formed a pattern that has historically been bullish for the asset’s price. Bitcoin LTH/STH SOPR Ratio Has Crossed Above Its 90-Day MA Recently In a new post on X, CryptoQuant author Axel Adler Jr has discussed about the recent trend in the Bitcoin SOPR Ratio. The “Spent Output Profit Ratio” (SOPR) is an indicator that tells us about whether the Bitcoin investors as a whole are selling at a profit or loss. When the value of this metric is greater than 1, it means the average holder is making BTC transactions at a net profit. On the other hand, it being under the mark implies loss-taking is dominant on the network. Related Reading: Dogecoin Surges 16%, But Heres What DOGE Risk Indicator Says About Rally The SOPR Ratio, the actual metric of interest here, keeps track of the ratio between the version of the SOPR specifically for short-term holders and that for long-term holders. Short-term holders (STHs) and long-term holders (LTHs) are the two main divisions of the Bitcoin userbase made on the basis of holding time. The cutoff between these cohorts is 155 days, with investors who hold past this mark moving from the STHs to the LTHs. Now, here is the chart shared by the analyst that shows the trend in the Bitcoin SOPR Ratio and its 90-day moving average (MA) over the history of the cryptocurrency: As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin SOPR Ratio has seen a surge recently, which suggests the LTHs have been ramping up their profit-taking compared to the STHs. This trend is something that has historically been witnessed during bullish periods, since the LTHs are resolute entities who tend to amass large profits by the time the bull run hits in full swing. The STHs are by definition the holders who bought within the past five months, meaning that their cost basis lies somewhere around the prices that BTC was trading at inside this window. Thus, their profits are never as big as the LTHs, who often have their cost basis close to bear market lows. This is why the ratio blows up toward the LTHs in bullish periods. With the latest increase, the SOPR Ratio has reached a value of 1.8 and has surpassed its 90-day MA. In the chart, the CryptoQuant author has highlighted the past instances of this crossover. It would appear that this pattern has generally proven to be bullish for Bitcoin. Related Reading: Is It Too Late To Accumulate Bitcoin? What This Indicator Says Naturally, the profit-taking from the LTHs can be a concern, but as is apparent from the graph, the cycle has usually only been at risk of topping out when the ratio has broken above a value of 7. Thus, there could still be plenty of room to run for Bitcoin, with demand potentially absorbing the LTH profit-taking until the same extreme levels as the past cycles. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at around $68,200, up more than 1% over the last 24 hours. Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com

View Details