Retail Losing Interest In Bitcoin? Volume Plunges 30%

On-chain data shows the Bitcoin transfer volume of retail investors has seen a sharp decline recently, a sign that this group may be losing interest. Bitcoin Volume For Retail-Sized Transactions Has Plunged Recently As explained by CrypoQuant author Axel Adler Jr in a new post on X, the total BTC transfer volume for transactions valued [...]

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Bitcoin Retail Investors Are Dumping Amid Jump To $67,000, Why This Is Good For Price

The Bitcoin price recovery above the $67,000 level has triggered a round of selling, but it is not from the usual camp of large investors selling. This time around, it is the small-time traders who are offloading their bags and putting selling pressure on the price. However, this is not an entirely bad thing given that, historically, such selling has been bullish for the Bitcoin price. Bitcoin Retail Are Dumping Their Bags In a report on X (formerly Twitter), the on-chain data tracker Santiment revealed an interesting trend among small-time Bitcoin investors. As the price of Bitcoin rallied past $67,000 over the weekend, these small wallets took this as the time to sell and secure profit. Related Reading: Cardano Whales Return To The Table, Increase Massive Holdings By 10% These wallets are those holding below 0.1 BTC on their balances. This means that at the high end, these wallets are holding an average of $6,000. In the space of one week, Santiment notes that their collective holdings had dropped 0.46%. #Bitcoin is dancing just above $66.1K as small traders continue to #liquidate their holdings despite the #crypto bounce over the past week. Historically, small wallets dumping their coins to larger wallets is an encouraging and #bullish sign for $BTC. https://t.co/wlz4XPhfMD pic.twitter.com/dTJAy5G6pL Santiment (@santimentfeed) May 19, 2024 Selling among smaller wallets is not new, but at this level, it could have a significant impact on the price. However, compared to when whale and sharks sell their BTC holdings, retail investors selling is usually bullish for the price. This is because as the smaller traders sell, the BTC is picked up by the larger traders, who are usually longer-term holdings. As blockchain agency Crynet explains in a response to Santiment: While small traders divesting might seem concerning, it’s often a bullish signal. Historically, this redistribution to larger holders indicates stronger hands in the market. Let’s see how this plays out. Bullish Sentiment Rises Among Investors The selling by small Bitcoin traders comes amid a jump in bullishness. As Santiment reported in a previous post, bullishness among Bitcoin investors has now jumped to a 4-month high. The last time that investors were this bullish was back in January 2024 when the price of BTC had jumped above $45,000. Related Reading: Crypto Analysts Reveal Sub-$1 Altcoins Set To Outperform In The Bull Run Bitcoins weighted sentiment is now sitting at a value of 0.99, and although this is still lower than its January high of almost 1.8, it remains one of the highest among large caps. Currently, only the Chainlink (LINK) weighted sentiment is higher after rising to a new one-year high of 1.829. The crowd’s sentiment has shifted toward #Bitcoin after the surprise bounce above $66K Wednesday (and now above $67.2K). Additionally, #Chainlink is seeing its most #bullish sentiment in over a year. #FOMO staying low will help these rises continue. https://t.co/TcEPBdS9Oh pic.twitter.com/czvE1mOgId Santiment (@santimentfeed) May 17, 2024 The Ethereum weighted sentiment is currently sitting at a low -0.44, while XRP and Binances BNB are sitting at around -0.37. This suggests that bearishness continues to dominate among these assets while crypto investors look to Bitcoin to lead the market. At the time of writing, the BTC price is still trading at a high price of $66,900. The largest cryptocurrency by market cap is seeing a 6.78% increase in the last week and a small decline of 0.5% in the last day, according to data from Coinmarketcap. Featured image created using Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

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Bitcoin On-Chain Indicator Signals Panic Selling At Current Levels Time To HODL?

Bitcoin is showing resilience, holding firm above the $69,000 mark after a slight pullback from recent local highs at $73,600. Following weeks of bullish momentum and nearing its all-time high, BTC has settled just below the critical $73,794 resistance, a key level that, if surpassed, would push the cryptocurrency into price discovery mode.  According to data from CryptoQuant, short-term holders are experiencing a net profit-to-loss of negative 20 BTC, indicating a wave of panic selling among retail investors. This type of behavior, often driven by fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD), can precede a significant price surge as stronger hands accumulate BTC at lower prices. Related Reading: Analyst Exposes Ethereum Ascending Support At $2,400 Best Chance To Accumulate ETH? Historically, similar sell-offs by retail investors have been followed by renewed upward momentum as longer-term holders seize the opportunity to enter or reinforce their positions. If Bitcoin can maintain support above $69,000, the odds of a breakout past its all-time high increase substantially.  Market watchers are now closely monitoring the resistance level, as surpassing it could trigger a wave of buying interest and push BTC into new highs. The coming days may prove crucial, setting the stage for Bitcoins next big move. Bitcoin Weak Hands Selling Bitcoin recently attempted a breakthrough to new heights but failed to breach its all-time high of $73,794, entering a consolidation phase as the market eyes key events: next weeks U.S. election and the Federal Reserves anticipated interest rate decision.  CryptoQuants recent data, shared by analyst Axel Adler on X, points to a noteworthy trend among short-term BTC holders. The net profit-to-loss ratio for these holders shows a negative balance of -20 BTC, indicating a wave of panic selling following Bitcoins struggle to establish new highs. This sell-off among short-term investors, who tend to react more quickly to market volatility, suggests some caution amid uncertainty. Adler emphasizes that in such turbulent times, a long-term HODL (hold on for dear life) approach can be the most beneficial strategy. Holding strong through market noise has historically rewarded BTC investors who keep their positions intact during periods of retracement and heightened volatility.  With Bitcoin’s all-time high in sight, a successful breakout would likely signal the beginning of a broad market bull run. The coming days are critical as Bitcoin sits at a pivotal point in its cycle, balancing between strong consolidation and the possibility of explosive growth.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Open Interest Reduced By $2.1 Billion In 24 Hours Time For Spot To Push The Price? The influence of the Federal Reserves decision on interest rates, paired with potential election outcomes, could create the market conditions needed for BTC to push past its all-time high. If this level is breached, it would not only affirm a bullish outlook for BTC but likely set off a rally across the entire cryptocurrency market.  BTC Holding Above Key Support Bitcoin is currently trading at $69,620 following a retrace from its recent high near $73,600. Despite this pullback, bulls remain in control as BTC holds firmly above the crucial $69,000 support levela price point that acted as resistance since late July. This level has now transformed into strong support, bolstering bullish sentiment in the market. If Bitcoin holds above $69,000, a renewed push above all-time highs seems likely. Breaking this resistance would propel BTC into uncharted territory, potentially sparking a fresh wave of bullish momentum and price discovery. However, if the price dips below this mark, it could signal a need for a more significant correction to gather enough buying power for the next move up. Related Reading: Dogwifhat (WIF) Prepares For A Bullish Breakout Analyst Sets $3 Target The $69,000 level serves as a key indicator of market confidence, as losing it would imply that BTC might temporarily seek lower support levels to attract new buyers and stabilize before another attempt at new highs. For now, Bitcoins price structure remains strong, and as long as this support holds, the market anticipates further upside momentum in the coming days. Bulls are closely watching this level, as it may define the next phase of Bitcoins bull run. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

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Bitcoin Retail Is Finally Back: These Metrics Point To An Explosion In Interest

Data from several on-chain indicators suggests demand from retail investors has finally returned following the latest Bitcoin rally. Bitcoin Retail Interest Has Returned In Explosive Fashion Bitcoin has witnessed a massive surge recently and has come closer to the $100,000 dream target than many had expected. Investor interest in the asset had cooled off during the cryptocurrency’s endless consolidation, but with a rally like this, it has naturally made a return. In the context of the current discussion, the investor focus segment is retail, which includes the smallest of the holders. The first metric that would hint at a return of these investors in the market is the New Addresses, which keeps track of the total amount of BTC addresses coming online for the first time. Related Reading: Dogecoin & Co. Take Over Social Media: Why Memecoin Frenzy Is Bad For Bitcoin As the market intelligence platform IntoTheBlock has pointed out in an X post, the Bitcoin New Addresses have witnessed a sharp increase recently, suggesting a large amount of address creation. The New Addresses can register an uptick when new investors join the network or when old ones who had sold earlier come back to the asset. The metric also goes up when existing users create multiple wallets for privacy. However, when a surge occurs at a scale like the recent one, the former is more likely to be the reason. Thus, the latest trend in the indicator could imply a high amount of fresh adoption for the cryptocurrency. As is visible in the above graph, the Bitcoin New Addresses recently hit a high of 442,000, the highest daily value since March of this year. Large investors are also likely joining the network right now, but their number certainly wouldn’t be too high, so this adoption must come from retail investors. Another indicator, the Retail Investor Demand 30D Change, provides us with information about the activity of existing and newcomer retail investors right now. As CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn has explained in an X post, this indicator has also recently shot up. This metric tracks retail investor demand through transaction volume. Since the members of this cohort carry balance amounts that aren’t too significant, their transfers tend to involve small values as well. As such, their volume can be measured by only involving data of the transfers valued at less than $10,000. From the chart, it’s apparent that the 30-day change in the volume of retail investors has recently seen a large positive spike to levels not seen in more than four years. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sets Record $93,000 High As Extreme Greed Level Hits 84 “Its impossible to ignore that retail trading is fully back, with Dogecoin surging, high funding rates, and a spike in Google searches for Bitcoin,” notes the analyst. BTC Price Bitcoin has seen a bit of a setback in the past day as its price has now dropped to the $88,300 level. Featured image from Dall-E, IntoTheBlock.com, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com

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Bitcoin Retail lnvestors Remain Cautious Despite Price Gain Details

Following its bearish start to October, Bitcoin has since shifted momentum, rising as high as $69,000 in the last two weeks. Despite this significant price rally, Bitcoin retail investors remain hesitant to engage the market. In its weekly crypto report on Friday, blockchain analytics firm CryptoQuant shared an interesting insight into this low retail activity in the Bitcoin market. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price To See 70%+ Powerful Bull Wave To Push It Over $100,000, How High Can It Go? Bitcoin Retail Investors’ Holding Grows At Historically Slow Pace – Report According to CryptoQuant, retail investors’ holdings have grown by 18,000 BTC valued at $1.2 billion over the last four months reaching a total new value of 1.753 million BTC worth $112.7 billion. While this development demonstrates a rising market interest by these small investors, the analytic firm notes the pace of accumulation is significantly slow compared to historical data as retail investors only acquired a net 1,000 BTC valued at $66.31 million, in the last 30 days.  Notably, the retail investor accumulation rate has been on a consistent decline since May 2023, when their holdings rose by 27,000 BTC worth $1.79 billion  Therefore, CryptoQuant reports that these Bitcoin individual investors have only increased their investments by 30,000 BTC valued at $1.99 billion in 2024, which pales in comparison to the whale investors whose holdings have grown by 173,000 BTC worth $11.50 billion in the same period.  During periods of price gain, low retail investor activity as discussed above can be concerning as it represents decreased market liquidity or even a lack of market confidence in the assets ability to sustain its current bullish trajectory.  Alternatively, this lack of interest from small-scale investors also presents positive indications. For example, CryptoQuant reports that low retail activity includes these small investors holding onto their Bitcoin rather than selling. The analytics firm notes that Bitcoin transfer to exchange in January 2023 has decreased from a daily average of 2,700 BTC to 1,400 BTC in 2024, thus there is reduced selling pressure on the token.  In addition, transfer activity among retail investors remains low, with transaction volume dropping to $326 million on September 21, the lowest level recorded since 2020. While reduced transfer activity may indicate limited market volatility, CryptoQuant states that low retail activity has historically preceded significant price gains for Bitcoin. Bitcoin Price Overview At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades at 66,896 following a 1.11% decline in the last day due to reports of an alleged investigation into Tether, the issuer of stablecoin USDT, and conflict in the Middle East. However, Bitcoin’s daily trading volume is up by 34.29% and is valued at $42.10 billion. Related Reading: Bitcoin As National Reserve Asset: Key Insights From Forbes On Central Banks Interest Featured image from Shuttershock, chart from Tradingview

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