Ethereum falls to new 42-month low vs. Bitcoin Bottom or more pain ahead?
Some analysts see this correction as a local price bottom for Ether, based on historical chart patterns.
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Some analysts see this correction as a local price bottom for Ether, based on historical chart patterns.
Bitcoin is chasing $60,000, and altcoins are showing modest gains today. Does that mean the crypto market has bottomed?
Ether ETFs are on track to reach $500 million in net outflows, but according to market analysts, the ETH bottom may be in.
XRP price is mirroring a 2021 bullish chart fractal that preceded a 500% rebound.
WIF price risks declining by another 48% due to the formation of a classic bearish reversal setup.
The WIF price risks declining by another 48% due to the formation of a classic bearish reversal setup.
Bitcoins correction appears to be losing steam, as indicated by price momentum divergence, the formation of a Doji candlestick and other bullish patterns.
Data shows the Bitcoin sentiment is close to entering into the extreme greed zone. Here’s what this could mean for the cryptocurrency’s price. Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index Has Continued To Decline Recently The “Fear & Greed Index” is an indicator developed by Alternative that tells us about the average sentiment that traders in the Bitcoin and wider cryptocurrency market currently share. The index uses five factors to determine this sentiment: volatility, trading volume, social media, market cap dominance, and Google Trends. The metric uses a numeric scale that runs from zero to hundred for representing the mentality. Related Reading: Social Media Screams Sell As Bitcoin Crashes To $54,000: Buy Signal? All values of the indicator above the 53 mark suggest the presence of greed among the investors, while those below 47 imply the dominance of fear. The region in between these two thresholds correlates to a neutral sentiment. Now, here is what the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index is looking like right now: As is visible above, Bitcoin Fear & Greed currently has a value of 28, meaning that the average investor is showing fear. The degree of fearfulness must also be quite notable, as this current value is pretty deep into the territory. In fact, the latest level of the indicator is quite close to a special region called the “extreme fear.” Investors display extreme fear when the index goes under 25. There is also a similar zone for the greed side as well, which is known as “extreme greed” and occurs above 75. During the first half of last month, the metric had been in or close to the latter region, but the recent downturn in the market has sharply degraded the sentiment to the other end of the spectrum. Historically, Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have tended to show moves opposite to what the majority are expecting. The stronger the crowd’s expectation gets, the higher the probability of such a contrary move becomes. Related Reading: Is Bitcoin Undervalued Now? Industry Expert Decodes The Market State The extreme sentiments are where the traders are leaning towards one direction too much. As such, major tops and bottoms in the asset have usually formed when the index has been in these zones. Because of this fact, some traders prefer to buy when investors are showing extreme fear and sell during extreme greed. This trading philosophy is popularly called “contrarian investing.” Warren Buffet’s famous quote sums up the idea, “be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful.” As the Bitcoin Fear & Greed index is approaching the extreme fear territory, it’s possible that the cryptocurrency could once again show profitable entry points soon, if the past is anything to go by. BTC Price Bitcoin has so far been unable to make too much recovery from its recent crash, as its price is still trading around $56,700. Featured image from Dall-E, Alternative.me, chart from TradingView.com
Bitfinex analysts pointed out several reasons suggesting that Bitcoins bloodbath should be over soon.
Using five different crypto exchanges suggests that the wallet sought to maximize liquidity on each order book and sell Bitcoin as soon as possible.
On-chain data shows that Chainlink investors have been realizing significant losses recently, a sign that the price plunge has put fear into their minds. Chainlink FUD Could Lead Towards Bottom Formation According to data from the on-chain analytics firm Santiment, LINK investors have just shown their largest capitulation event of the year. The indicator of relevance here is the “Network Realized Profit/Loss,” which keeps track of the net amount of profit or loss that Chainlink traders are realizing right now. The metric works by going through the blockchain history of each coin sold to see what price it was moved at before this. If this previous price for any coin was less than the spot price it’s being transferred at now, then the coin’s sale is realizing some profit. Related Reading: Bitcoin Now Forming Pattern That Last Led To It Blasting Off Similarly, transactions of coins of the opposite type would lead to loss realization instead. The indicator adds up these profits and losses for the entire network and then calculates their difference to find the net situation. When the value of the Network Realized Profit/Loss is positive, it means the investors as a whole are realizing profits. On the other hand, the negative metric suggests that loss-taking is the dominant form of selling in the market. Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Chainlink Network Realized Profit/Loss over the past few months: As is visible in the above graph, the Chainlink Network Realized Profit/Loss has seen a negative spike recently, suggesting that LINK investors have realized some large losses. This significant loss-taking spree from the LINK traders has come as the cryptocurrency’s price has gone through a significant drawdown over the past few weeks. The coin is down almost 10% in the last seven days alone. Given this timing, it would appear that these investors have been scared by the bearish price action so much that they have decided to exit the market at a loss. In the same chart, the analytics firm has also attached the data for another metric, the Age Consumed, which keeps track of whether dormant coins are moving. Related Reading: Solana Mirroring 2021 Bullish Pattern, Crypto Analyst Reveals It would seem like this indicator also spiked alongside the loss-taking from the investors, implying that even some holders previously sitting tight have been shaken out by the price plunge. This FUD in the market can benefit Chainlink, as historically, the asset has been more likely to bottom out when fear is ripe among the investors. As Santiment highlighted in the graph, a red spike in the indicator also proved bullish for LINK in April. LINK Price Chainlink is trading around $12.8 when writing, down around 3% over the last 24 hours. Featured image from Dall-E, Santiment.net, chart from TradingView.com
Crypto expert Duncan (@FloodCapital) recently expressed a strong conviction that Bitcoin has reached its market bottom and is poised for new all-time highs. His analysis, shared on X (formerly Twitter), provides a detailed examination of the current market dynamics and underlying fundamentals that signal a bullish turn for Bitcoin and potentially other cryptocurrencies. Is The Bitcoin Bottom In? In his in-depth analysis, Duncan pointed out that the crypto market has been underperforming relative to equities over the past few weeks. This trend was a concern until a pivotal development emerged concerning Mt. Gox. Duncan noted, “Yesterday’s Mt. Gox headline provided a reasonable explanation for the recent market behavior.” The expectation of billions of Bitcoin being distributed to creditors had been anticipated by insiders, leading to a temporary market dip. Related Reading: Spot Bitcoin ETFs See 7 Consecutive Days Of Outflows, Heres What Happened Last Time The situation was analyzed in depth by Alex Thorn, Galaxy Digital’s Head of Research, who suggested that the selling pressure from this event might be less severe than initially feared. As Duncan explained, “We’ve swept the range lows, leading to about $300M in long liquidations.” While these figures are significant, they are modest compared to the liquidation events in March and April, where more than $750M was liquidated in three different 24-hour periods. This suggests a cooling market, which is also evidenced by reduced altcoin open interest, lower funding rates, and a less bullish options skew. Duncan observed that the sentiment on Crypto Twitter is “literally the worst I’ve ever seen it,” despite Bitcoin being less than 20% off its all-time highs. This sentiment is rooted in the traumatic experiences of crypto natives who, having witnessed the altcoin boom outperforming Bitcoin and Ethereum in 2021, tried to anticipate a similar pattern this year but were met with a drastically different market structure. The influx of capital into Bitcoin has been significantly influenced by the ETF developments, with Blackrock applying for an ETF in June 2023 when Bitcoin was priced at $26,000. The approval and subsequent inflow of $14.3 billion into the ETF marked a stark contrast to previous years dominated by decentralized finance (DeFi) and high consumer interest in altcoins. “This year, the capital is heavily skewed towards Bitcoin, influenced by its perceived stability and the formal financial product structure of ETFs,” Duncan elaborated. Related Reading: Is The Bitcoin Bottom In? Heres What 7 Experts Say On the fundamental side, Duncan highlighted Blackrock’s strategic movements within the crypto space. “With $17 billion in IBIT and at a 25bps fee, Blackrock is poised to generate approximately $45 million annually from this ETF, indefinitely,” he stated. This steady revenue stream could be a precursor to more institutional products and greater acceptance of Bitcoin as a legitimate asset class. Duncan also discussed the potential normalization of a 1% Bitcoin allocation in major investment portfolios, which he believes could drive significant future inflows. “If 1% becomes the global standard allocation to Bitcoin, we have a lot of inflows to go,” he noted, suggesting that not having such an allocation might soon be viewed as a strategic oversight. He added, A great selling point from these firms is if you don’t have 1% in BTC your essentially short / underweight BTC. This begins to flip the career risk from owning BTC to not owning BTC, a massive paradigm shift. Ethereum And The Future Of Altcoins Turning to Ethereum, Duncan expressed optimism about the upcoming US spot Ethereum ETF, which he believes could outperform the Bitcoin ETF in profitability due to higher fees and potential revenue from staking. “Blackrock’s most successful product launch ever is likely to have a sequel with the Ethereum ETF, which could be even more profitable,” he predicted. He criticized the current low expectations surrounding the Ethereum ETF, which he attributes to widespread misinformation and underestimation of its potential impact. “The ETH ETF is likely a higher margin product for Blackrock, and adding staking could boost its profitability even further,” Duncan explained, suggesting that the integration of real-world assets (RWA) on-chain could enhance its appeal. At press time, BTC traded at $61,764. Featured image created with DALLE, chart from TradingView.com
XRP price has fallen over 14% year-to-date, pressured by Ripples ongoing legal battle with the SEC. So, a bounce is in order, analysis suggests.
After enduring months of aggressive selling pressure, Ethereum is finally showing signs of life. As bullish momentum slowly builds, hopes for a recovery rally are beginning to resurface. While ETH continues to trade below the key $2,000 mark, bulls are actively defending critical demand zones in an effort to reclaim lost ground and reestablish a bullish structure. Related Reading: Cardano Consolidates In Symmetrical Triangle Analyst Sets Bull/Bear Price Targets The market has been under stress for much of 2025, with Ethereum suffering extended drawdowns and repeated rejections at resistance. However, sentiment is shifting. Top analyst Ted Pillows recently shared a technical analysis noting that Ethereum has officially broken out of its downtrend for the first time since December 2024an early sign that conditions could be improving. This breakout marks a key shift in structure and comes as trading volume starts to recover. Traders and investors are now watching closely to see if ETH can sustain its recent strength and push back above $2,000, which remains a major psychological and technical barrier. The next few days may prove critical, as Ethereum tests its newfound momentum in a still-uncertain macro environment. If bulls succeed, a broader altcoin rally could follow. Ethereum Consolidates As Bullish Momentum Begins to Build Ethereum is currently trading around the $1,800 level, consolidating in a narrow range after a prolonged period of downside pressure. While the broader market begins to heat up, ETH still lacks a clear directional move and remains over 55% below its December 2024 highs. Despite this, subtle shifts in structure suggest a potential trend change, especially in the lower time frames where early bullish patterns are beginning to emerge. The price action reflects a critical inflection point. Ethereum is hovering near major support zones, and bulls must now build enough momentum to break above key resistance levels if they want to regain control. So far, the consolidation has provided a base, but a definitive move has yet to materialize. The next legwhether up or downwill likely be decisive for ETHs near-term trend. Pillows recently shared a notable technical development: Ethereum has finally broken out of its downtrend for the first time since December 2024. Previous breakout attempts were rejected, but this time the breakout appears stronger and more sustained, supported by improving market sentiment and structure. Pillows believes its time for Ethereum to catch up to the broader market. While Bitcoin pushes toward new highs, ETH has lagged behind. If the current breakout holds, Ethereum could accelerate quickly and potentially retest key psychological levels above $2,000. The next few trading sessions will be critical for confirming this breakouts validity and determining whether Ethereum is ready to lead the next phase of the crypto bull cycle. For now, all eyes remain on whether bulls can maintain momentum and turn this early strength into a sustained rally. Related Reading: Ethereum Tests Critical Range: Breakout Or Breakdown? Technical View: Bulls Struggle To Reclaim $2,000 Level Ethereum (ETH) is currently trading at $1,807.99, consolidating in a tight range after a sharp recovery from its April lows. The 4-hour chart shows ETH holding above both the 200-period simple moving average (SMA) at $1,700.49 and the 200-period exponential moving average (EMA) at $1,783.99two key dynamic support levels that are now being retested as the asset tries to build bullish structure. While price action remains choppy, ETH appears to be forming a base above the $1,780 zone. The recent breakout above the downtrend line that defined price action since December 2024 is still intact, suggesting that Ethereum may be preparing for a larger move. Volume has decreased slightly during this consolidation phase, typical of a market waiting for a trigger. Related Reading: Cardano Whales Accumulated 410 Million ADA In April Breakout Coming? Ethereum continues to trade well below the psychological $2,000 resistance, but short-term momentum is slowly favoring the bulls. A break above the $1,860$1,880 range could clear the way for a push to retest $2,000. However, failure to hold the 200 EMA could send ETH back toward the $1,740$1,700 demand zone. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
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