Is crypto entering a bear market? 5 Things to know in Bitcoin this week

Bitcoin and crypto institutional product outflows underscore what is becoming a standard September for BTC price performance.

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Crypto Research Firm Identifies Why The Bitcoin Price Could Crash To $45,000

10x Research, a digital asset research platform for traders and institutions, has unveiled a foreboding forecast for the price of Bitcoin (BTC). Highlighting current market conditions and Bitcoins recent price dynamics, the research firm projects a massive price crash to $45,000 soon. Bitcoin $45,000 Price Crash Incoming 10x Research has released a report outlining several market [...]

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Bitcoin Support Retests Reflect September 2023 Patterns: Is Another Bull Run Coming?

Bitcoin has faced significant price fluctuations marked by a notable crash on August 5 that saw its value dip to $49,000. This was followed by a rebound to approximately $65,000, only to experience another decline to around $52,000 last Friday.  Despite these challenges, the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization is undergoing crucial support retests, reminiscent [...]

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Bitcoin Leveraged Positions Building Up: BTC To $50,000 Or $60,000?

Bitcoin is firm at spot rates, looking at the development in the daily chart. Even so, the downtrend remains, and price action remains within a bearish breakout formation. This outlook follows the dump on September 7 that saw the world’s most valuable coin plunge, approaching the all-important round number, $50,000. Bitcoin Leveraged Positions Building Up Technically, the downtrend remains, especially if bulls can’t unwind the losses of September 7. From an effort-versus-result perspective, the trend set in motion by September 7 will shape the short-term, possibly accelerating the fall below August lows. Related Reading: FET Teeters At Trendline: Will A Breakout Fuel A Run To $1.86? Amid this development, one on-chain analyst notes that there has been a massive accumulation of leveraged positions from March 2024. Though it remains uncertain which direction prices will move, the current state of affairs means sellers have the upper hand. If bulls take over, this would be a massive sentiment boost for BTC bulls, who have had to contend with sharp losses over the past three months. Regardless of the direction, this build-up in leverage position precedes a period of heightened volatility in the coming days. While Bitcoin trends lower, sentiment has taken a hit, explaining the shrinking trading volume over the past two weeks. Since late August, BTC has fallen from around $66,000, losing nearly 20% by last week’s lows.   At the same time, volatility is comparatively low and not unlike the state of affairs when BTC turned the corner, sharply expanding from late February before printing fresh all-time highs in mid-March 2024. Average Funding Rate Is Bullish, Will This Change? Interestingly, despite the lower lows, trading data shows that the average funding rate across derivatives exchanges has remained bullish for over a year. This development could be due to the shift in price action that saw the world’s most valuable coin turn the corner, rising from late Q3 2023. The recovery saw BTC shake off weakness and explode to above $70,000 after losses in 2022 that took the coin to as low as $15,800. Related Reading: Bitcoin Rainbow Chart Forecasts An End To Bearish Headwinds With $60,000+ Target For bulls to dominate in the derivatives market, prices must recover steadily. A break above $66,000 and July highs would likely spur demand, lifting the coin above the multi-month resistance at $72,000. Nonetheless, for this to happen, there must be inflows to spot Bitcoin ETFs. Falling prices have accelerated outflows from this product, meaning institutions are playing safe. So far, SosoValue shows outflows of over $169 million for spot Bitcoin ETF issuers in the United States. Feature image from DALLE, chart from Trading View

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Bitcoin analyst sees 'biggest bull cycle' with $45K now BTC price floor

BTC price is due some "final corrections" before going on a bull run lasting at least two years, says crypto entrepreneur Michaël van de Poppe.

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Bitcoin Flashes On-Chain Signal That Triggered A 175% Rally The Last Time

A crypto analyst has revealed that the price of Bitcoin might be gearing for a fresh rally after the appearance of a bullish on-chain signal. Bitcoin UTXOs In Profit At Lowest Level Since 2023 Heres Why In a QuickTake post on the CryptoQuant platform, an analyst with the pseudonym EgyHash shared an interesting on-chain insight into the Bitcoin price. This on-chain observation revolves around the Bitcoin UTXO (unspent transaction output) metric, which tracks the amount of cryptocurrency that remains following the execution of a transaction. Related Reading: Heres How Cardano Price Will Survive A US Recession: Crypto Analyst The percentage of these unspent cryptocurrencies in profit gives an insight into the market’s current condition. For instance, an increase in Bitcoin UTXOs in profit suggests that most investors are in the green, which can either motivate them to keep faith in the coin or, in some scenarios, push them to take profit. On the other hand, when a higher percentage of UTXOs are in loss, it means that more investors are holding a loss, suggesting a negative market sentiment. According to the CryptoQuant analyst, the percentage of Bitcoin UTXOs in profit has steadily declined, recently falling to its lowest level since October 2023. Data from CryptoQuant shows that the proportion of Bitcoin UTXOs in profit decreased from 99% in June 2024 to 68.5% in September 2024. Interestingly, this market phenomenon has coincided with a recent fall in the price of Bitcoin. The crypto analyst noted that the decline in Bitcoins price seems to be associated with profit-taking, as investors are selling their coins to realize some gain. Meanwhile, this is supported by the aforementioned decline in the percentage of Bitcoin UTXOs in profit. Nevertheless, it may not be all bad news for the premier cryptocurrency with the UTXO metric currently at a multi-month low. Historical data shows that the proportion of BTC UTXOs in profit being at its current level could be a signal of a market bottom. The last time the Bitcoin UTXOs in profit slumped to 68.5%, the price of Bitcoin rallied 175% from $26,700 to a new all-time high of $73,737. While there is no guarantee there will be a repeat rally from the current point, investors might still want to pay attention to other relevant on-chain metrics. BTC Price At A Glance As of this writing, the price of Bitcoin is slightly under the $54,000 level, reflecting a 4.1% decline in the past 24 hours. According to data from CoinGecko, the flagship cryptocurrency is down by more than 9% in the past week. Related Reading: Solana To $100 Inevitable After This Break? SOL Forms A Triple Bottom Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView

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Bitcoin traders brace for sub $52K BTC price as crypto and macroeconomic headwinds intensify 

Bitcoin traders appear to be throwing in the towel and coming to terms with the reality that BTC price could fall below $50,000 in the short term.

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Crypto Analyst Says Its September 2016 For Bitcoin Again, What This Means

Crypto analyst CryptoCon stated in his recent market analysis that the Bitcoin current price action is reminiscent of December 2016. He further explained what he meant and provided insights into what to expect from the flagship crypto going forward.   It Is September 2016 All Over Again For Bitcoin CryptoCon mentioned in an X (formerly Twitter) post that it is September 2016 again for Bitcoin. In line with this, he remarked that the Bitcoin trend strength prophecy has been fulfilled. He explained that just like in September 2016, Bitcoin has dipped into the support zone after the mid-top.  Related Reading: Dogecoin Moving Averages Say Accumulation Has Ended, Heres Where Price Is Headed Next To further support his stance that the flagship crypto is mirroring past trends, he noted that all months had been the same for support zone entries for alternating cycles. He also asserted that the pattern of 3s has not failed yet, both in the mid-cycle or bear market. His accompanying chart showed that Bitcoin is currently at the last part of its reaccumulation zone, just before it hits a cycle top, just like in the 2016 market cycle.  Following his analysis, CryptoCon boldly stated that the cycle is not over, providing belief that Bitcoin will still hit new highs and surpass its current all-time high (ATH) of $73,000, which it hit in March earlier this year. Before now, the crypto analyst assured that Bitcoins price dips are just a minor setback and that the crypto will still rise to as high as $160,000 at the peak of this bull run. CryptoCon also noted how Bitcoin experienced such choppy and boring periods in previous halving cycles just before reaching new ATHs the following year after the halving event. The crypto analyst had previously predicted that the cycle top would come sometime in November 2025. This projection is also based on Bitcoins price action in previous halving cycles.  More Hope For BTC Investors Crypto analyst Mikybull Crypto also recently gave Bitcoin investors hope that the worst was almost over for the flagship crypto. In an X post, he stated that a Bitcoin parabolic rally is looming as DXY is about to break down from the macro bear flag. The analyst also noted that the same scenario occurred in 2017 and 2020.  Related Reading: Shiba Inu Recovery To $0.000081 ATH Levels Still In Play In another X post, Mikybull Crypto stated that Bitcoins next expansion will raise its price to $95,000. He added that Bitcoin is displaying a bull flag while the DXY is on a bear flag on a macro chart. However, the crypto analyst is confident that macro disbelief and fear are ending, with Bitcoin set to enjoy its parabolic run when that happens.  At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at around $56,300, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.  Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

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Bitcoin price dips to new 1-month low after $57K US jobs data 'fakeout'

Bitcoin fools traders up and down as BTC price volatility accompanies the week's final US employment data release.

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Bitcoin Forecast: BTC Price Could Crack $50,000 If This Important Level Does Not Hold

Bitcoin (BTC) has been on a severe downward trend for the past few months, experiencing multiple price fluctuations amidst broader market volatility. A crypto analyst has predicted that Bitcoin could witness an even steeper drop to $50,000 if its price does not hold this key support level.  Bitcoin Risks $50,000 Drop If Support Fails Elja [...]

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Arthur Hayes sees sub-$50K BTC price as Bitcoin risks 'stark' trend shift

BTC price targets are increasingly looking for a rematch with last month's lows as Bitcoin chartists highlight formidable resistance levels.

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What Was Behind The Bitcoin And Ethereum Price Crash?

Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) have started September in the red, having already suffered price declines since the beginning of the month. This bearish sentiment towards the foremost cryptocurrencies and, by extension, the broader crypto market is due to several macroeconomic factors. Market Still Feeling The Effects Of The Yen Carry Trade Recent developments suggest Bitcoin and Ethereum are still feeling the effects of the abandonment of the Yen carry trade. The Yen recently surged against the US dollar, suggesting that investors are still selling riskier assets like these cryptocurrencies to unwind their carry trade positions, which utilized the low-yielding Yen. Related Reading: Bitcoin Short-Term Holder Behavior Reminiscent Of 2019 As BTC Remains Below $60,000 In an X (formerly Twitter) post, hedge fund manager James Lavish also suggested that the effects of the Yen carry trade was still in play. He noted that the Nikkei 225 had dropped by 3.7% while the USD/Yen trading pair was heading lower.  The Bank of Japan (BOJ) Kazuo Ueda also recently made a hawkish statement that they will continue to hike rates if the economy and prices continue to perform as expected. This has also sparked fear among traders and prompted them to close their carry trade positions, thereby putting more selling pressure on Bitcoin and Ethereum.  Bitcoin and Ethereum suffered major losses during the August 5 market crash, which was caused by the BOJs decision to hike interest rates for the second time since 2007. Bitcoin, on its part, dropped below $50,000, while Ethereum dropped to as low as $2,200. As such, with the effects of the Yen carry trade still in play and the BOJ hinting at more rate hikes, Bitcoin and Ethereum risk suffering further price declines.  US Stock Market Crash Contributes To Bitcoin And Ethereums Fall Furthermore, Bitcoin and Ethereums correlation with the US stock market has also contributed to their price crash since the beginning of September. Specifically, on September 3, over $1.05 million was wiped out from the stock market, which also sparked fear in the crypto market and led to a wave of sell-offs for Bitcoin and Ethereum.  Related Reading: XRP Price To $8: Analyst Says Repeat Of 2017 Could Drive Rally This was evident in the outflows that both Spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs witnessed on that day. Data from Farside investors showed that the Spot Bitcoin ETFs and Spot Ethereum ETFs witnessed total net outflows of $287.8 million and $47.4 million, respectively.  With such a bearish outlook for Bitcoin and Ethereum, there is an urgent need for a spark that could provide bullish momentum for the crypto market. Crypto community members are hoping that the US Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at the next FOMC meeting set to be held between September 17 and 18, as that will provide some relief to the market and help inject more liquidity into Bitcoin and Ethereum.  At the time of writing, Bitcoin and Ethereum are trading at around $57,160 and $2,400, according to data from CoinMarketCap.  Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

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BTC price rides US jobs miss amid warning Bitcoin could retest $49.5K

Bitcoin fails to halt a low-timeframe BTC price decline for long as traders look to the weeks final US jobs data.

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Bitcoin Boom Over? Expert Calculates How High It Can Go In 10 Years

Over the past seven months, the price of Bitcoin has moved in a range between $73,777 and $49,000, significantly depressing sentiment across the market. In a new analysis published via X, Will Clemente III, co-founder of Reflexivity Research, addresses the prevailing sentiment of impatience and uncertainty among investors, sharing why he still remains bullish. Clementes bullish sentiment draws from a long-term perspective over the next decade. Drawing upon his expertise in portfolio construction and asset allocation, Clemente emphasized the importance of identifying major economic trends likely to unfold over the next decade. “Been thinking a lot about portfolio construction lately and position sizing. I keep coming back to there’s nothing I’d rather go into a coma for 10 years and hold than Bitcoin,” Clemente stated, emphasizing his confidence in Bitcoin as the superior long-term asset. His analysis is grounded in the anticipation of certain macroeconomic trends. Clemente suggests that investors should consider what the biggest trends are likely to be over the next decade and adjust their portfolio accordingly. This involves either significantly increasing investment in the highest confidence trend or spreading investments across several promising trends based on their potential impact. Related Reading: Critical Bitcoin Indicator: Analyst Foresees Major 75% Correction Ahead He personally favors focusing on the most probable trend, which he identifies as the ongoing growth of the US deficit and the subsequent need for the government to debase the currency to service this debt. This scenario, according to Clemente, offers a more predictable outcome than other technological trends like AI or space exploration. Compared to other technological trends, the debasement one is pure math. In addition, the way to bet on other technological trends, for example AI or space, isn’t as clear as debasement, given there’s not a way to position for it as clear as Bitcoin, Clemente writes. How High Can Bitcoin Go In 10 Years? Clemente’s bullish stance on Bitcoin is reinforced by his analysis of potential capital inflows from sovereign wealth and pension funds. He estimates that if these entities were to allocate just 1% of their capital to Bitcoin, it would result in approximately $460 billion of new investments into BTC, potentially doubling its market cap and driving prices to between $150,000 and $200,000 per Bitcoin. He further speculates on the impact of an increased allocation, suggesting that if concerns over the deficit intensify, these institutions might allocate as much as 3%, translating into $1.4 trillion entering Bitcoin. And the upside potential is even larger. What happens if it eats into the $10t-$15t of gold’s monetary premium? How about the combined monetary premium in treasuries/equities/real estate that’s currently parked into these assets as SoV to protect against currency debasement? Clemente pondered. Related Reading: Will Bitcoin Repeat History? Analyst Sees This 2019 Pattern In Current Market Concluding his analysis, Clemente reasoned that a $1 million price per Bitcoin by 2034 is not out of the realm of possibility when factoring in the reduced purchasing power of the dollar. Also would like to sprinkle on top that this is not factoring in dollars being worth significantly less in the future due to debasement, so $1mm BTC in 2034 is not as crazy as $1mm BTC in 2024, the analyst remarked. However, Clemente also acknowledged, I do think Bitcoin’s days of 100%+ CAGR are gone, but that’s not to say it won’t outperform equity indices by a lot — and on a confidence-adjusted basis, I don’t see anything as compelling in the marketplace today. At press time, BTC traded at $56,481. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

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Bitcoin Short-Term Holder Behavior Reminiscent Of 2019 As BTC Remains Below $60,000

A recent Quicktake analysis on the on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant highlighted how Bitcoins short-term holders’ (STH) behaviour is similar to that of 2019. This analysis comes as Bitcoin remains below $60,000, continuing the bearish September trend.  Peak In Bitcoins Short-Term Holders Similar To 2019 Structure CryptoQuant contributor Avocado_onchain noted that there had been a small peak in Unspent Transaction Outputs (UXTOs) under six months, which resembles a similar structure observed in 2019. The analyst explained that these UXTOs under six months are new investors (or short-term holders) who entered the market around March of this year when Bitcoins price hit a new all-time high (ATH).    According to the analyst, the declining proportion of these UXTOs suggests that these investors have either exited the market due to Bitcoins choppy price action since March or have held and now transitioned to long-term holders (UTXOs of six months and above). The accompanying chart showed that a similar structure occurred around the halving event in 2019 when Bitcoin also reached a local high. After that, Bitcoins price cooled off and took almost 490 days to hit a new ATH, although Avocado_onchain noted that there was also the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic.  This development undoubtedly provides insights into what Bitcoin investors could expect from the flagship crypto in the long term, even though its price remains choppy. Avocado_onchain remarked that he is confident about Bitcoin’s long-term upward trend. However, in the short term, he believes it will be wise for investors to temper expectations and closely monitor the market. Meanwhile, although the analyst admitted that there is no clear trigger for a Bitcoin breakout, he noted that the influx of capital from new investors has historically been vital for Bitcoins price increases. Bitcoin hit a new ATH in March following the launch of the Spot Bitcoin ETFs, which introduced new money into the Bitcoin ecosystem.  Bitcoin Looks To Continue Bearish September Trend Bitcoin looks to continue its bearish September trend this year, with the flagship crypto already down by over 4% since the month began. Historically, September is known to be a bearish month, as data from Coinglass shows that Bitcoin has suffered a monthly loss in six out of the last seven September, dating back to 2017.  Related Reading: Major Dogecoin Indicator Flashes Bullish, Is It Time To Buy? Following his simulation of Bitcoins price for this month, CryptoQuants Head of Research, Julio Moreno, mentioned that, on average, the flagship crypto could end the month at $55,000.  Moreno had earlier mentioned that a drop below $56,000 for Bitcoin puts the crypto at risk of a deeper price correction and entering a prolonged bearish phase.  For now, the crypto community hopes that the US Federal Reserve will cut rates at its next FOMC meeting, which is scheduled for September 17 and 18. A rate cut is believed to be one that could trigger Bitcoins price and lead to a successful breakout above $60,000.  At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at around $56,400, down over 4% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.  Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

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Bitcoin investors relatively profitable even as the bull market takes a pause

A growing number of short-term Bitcoin traders positions are held at a small loss, but data shows a healthy market when compared to previous bull cycles.

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Bitcoin still 10% down post-halving amid record delay to all-time high

Bitcoin is simply too slow to preserve historical norms this time around, trader Peter Brandt concludes in a frank appraisal of BTC price performance.

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Bitcoin exchange flow multiple nears yearly low, signs of upward trend

The Bitcoin exchange flow multiple value is now at a similar low point as when BTCs price rallied around 46% in 2023.

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Bitcoin investment product inflows topped $1B as BTC rallied to $66K CoinShares report

Investors piled into Bitcoin investment funds and crypto ETPs, with more than $1 billion in inflows over the last week.

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US Spot Bitcoin ETFs Become Second-Largest Holder Of BTC Behind Satoshi

Since their approval in January 2024, Spot Bitcoin ETFs have been steadily gaining traction in the United States, with the issuers buying hundreds of thousands of BTC as their popularity spread. This has led to a large stash of BTC by these issuers as BlackRock leads the charge. Given their buying spree so far, the number of BTC being held by the Spot Bitcoin ETFs has been rising and is almost at the 1 million mark, Spot Bitcoin ETFs Now Hold 924,768 BTC The United States Securities and Exchange Commission approved a total of 12 Spot Bitcoin ETFs for trading back in January 2024. Now, only eight months later, these ETFs have managed to acquire more than 4% of the total Bitcoin supply. Combined, this makes the Spot Bitcoin ETFs some of the largest BTC holders. Related Reading: Ripple Vs. SEC Battle Far From Over As Regulator Opposes Courts Decision So far, the BlackRock IBIT has been one of the largest buyers of BTC, surpassing even Grayscales GBTC, which had a 600,000 BTC head start. Currently, Grayscale holds more than 350,000 BTC, making the firm a top Bitcoin holder. Grayscale is still in second place when it comes to the number of BTC held. However, the Bitcoin fund has recorded more outflows than inflows since January, losing more than half of its stash before the Spot Bitcoin ETF approvals. Now, Grayscale holds less than 250,000 BTC after losing more than $20 billion to other Spot Bitcoin ETFs due to their lower fees. Other Spot Bitcoin ETFs such as the Fidelity FBTC and the Ark Invest/21Shares ARKB has reached almost 50,000 BTC. So far, the funds have been able to garner 924,768 BTC, putting their total holdings very close to the 1 million BTC milestone. In total, the Spot Bitcoin ETFs now boast 4.685 of the total Bitcoin supply. Top Addresses With Largest Holdings The top Bitcoin wallet with the largest BTC holdings still remains the Satoshi Nakamoto wallet with 1.1 million BTC in it. However, this wallet has been long dormant, and often left out of the top Bitcoin wallets list due to its inactivity. Related Reading: ETH Rally Pushes Profitability To Nearly 70%: More To Come This Week? According to the BitInfoCharts website, topping the Bitcoin rich list is the Binance old wallet with 248,598 BTC worth over $16.3 billion. Next is the Bitfinex Hack Recovery wallet with 94,643 BTC, with $6.2 billion. The Mt Gox Hack wallet holds 79,957 BTC for the third-largest at $5.2 billion. The wallet holding the BTC confiscated from the Silk Road bust with 69,370 BTC is in fourth position worth $4.56 billion, and the Binance BTCB Reserve wallet has 68,200 BTC in it, worth $4.49 billion. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

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