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CATEGORY: link open interest


Feb 24, 2024 12:05

Chainlink Open Interest Sitting At Record Levels, What This Means For Price

Chainlink has seen its open interest spike significantly in the month of February, so much so that it has reached new all-time highs. This trend has not waned despite the decline in the price of the cryptocurrency, which could paint a rather bullish picture for the LINK price going forward. Chainlink Open Interest Crosses $450 Million The Chainlink open interest ended the month of January on a high note and carried this trend into the month of February. A major jump was seen between January 31 and February 3 when the open interest went from below $250 million to more than $320 million. Related Reading: Elliot Wave Theory Predicts Bitcoin Bottom And Top, Here Are The Targets In the days following this, the open interest continued to rise, and eventually hit a peak of $533 million. This was significant because it was not just the highest point for the year but it is the highest that the open interest has ever been for the asset. Source: Coinglass As expected, the price would quickly rise to keep up with the open interest as investors continued to place their bets on the price. There has been a retracement in the open interest. However, Chainlink has continued to maintain more than $450 million in open interest since February 12. Currently, Coinglass data shows that the Chainlink open interest is $456 million as of February 23, continuing to maintain a high level. Given this, it might be prudent to look at how the LINK price has reacted in the past when open interest remained elevated. Historical Performance Of The LINK Price While the Chainlink open interest is at record levels, there have been times in the past where the open interest had been elevated for a period of time like it is now. So, how the price reacted during those periods could provide a pointer for how it might perform now. The last time that the open interest was this elevated for a long period of time was back in October-November 2023 when open interest more than doubled. It would maintain this elevated level for almost a month, but at the end of it, the LINK price would react positively and saw a price surge from $11 to $15, which was a 36% increase in price. Related Reading: Fundstrat Exec Predicts Bitcoin Will Reach $150,000, Heres When If this scenario were to repeat now, then a 36% increase would send the LINK price to $24. This is not particularly hard to believe, given that the LINK price had topped out at $52 in the last bull market. So, such a move would still leave it 50% below its all-time high levels. On the flip side of this, the open interest levels could also taper off, as was seen in November 2023. This could see the LINK open interest lose its hold on the $450 million that it maintained in February and fall toward $400 million before recovering again. LINK price shows strength at $17.9 | Source: LINKUSD on Tradingview.com Featured image from CoinGape, chart from Tradingview.com

Feb 21, 2024 12:05

Solana, Chainlink Among Coins With Overheating Open Interest: Data

Data shows Solana and Chainlink are among the top cryptocurrencies that have observed growth in Open Interest to relatively high levels. Solana & Chainlink Have Their Open Interest At Notable Values Currently According to data from the on-chain analytics firm Santiment, there has been a dramatic increase in interest in the derivative market for cryptocurrencies recently. The indicator of relevance here is the “Open Interest,” which keeps track of the total amount of derivative contracts for any given asset that is currently open on all centralized exchanges. Related Reading: Ethereum Breaks $2,900, But Watch Out For Futures Overheating When the value of this metric goes up, it means that the investors are increasing positions on the derivative side of the market. Such a trend may be a predictor for higher volatility, as the total leverage in the sector tends to go up when new futures positions pop up. On the other hand, a decrease in the indicator implies the holders are closing up their positions or are getting forcefully liquidated by their platform, thus leading to the leverage potentially coming down. As such, this kind of trend can result in the asset’s price becoming more stable. Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Open Interest for various top assets in the cryptocurrency sector over the past year: Looks like the value of the metric has been sharply going up for some of these assets | Source: Santiment on X As displayed in the above graph, the Open Interest has exploded for Bitcoin and Ethereum recently as the latest surge in prices has occurred. Generally, such sharp price action attracts a large amount of speculators to the assets, so the indicator’s upward trajectory isn’t surprising. The scale of the increase, though, may be a bit concerning. From the chart, it’s visible that the BTC Open Interest is currently around $9.85 billion, while for ETH, it’s about $5.59 billion. Among the altcoins, Solana and Chainlink have particularly stood out, as the indicator has touched $1.62 billion and $549 million for them, respectively. These are much smaller values than Bitcoin and Ethereum, of course, but their market caps are also much smaller than these two titans. “With Bitcoin, in particular, crossing over $10B in open interest for the first time since July, 2022, this does signal crowd euphoria is alive and well,” notes the analytics firm. “Sometimes rising too quickly can be indicative of some caution flags.” Related Reading: 16,000 Bitcoin Dormant Since 5+ Years Suddenly Moves, Whats Going On? The reason that a high Open Interest has historically been a cause for concern is that mass liquidation events become more probable to occur in such market conditions, due to an abundance of leverage. Such events, where liquidations can cascade together, are usually chaotic and result in some sharp price action. As Solana, Chainlink, and other top assets have a potentially overheated Open Interest right now, they may be ones to watch in the coming days, as any further increases might serve as a warning. SOL Price At the time of writing, Solana is trading around the $110 level, down over 3% in the last seven days. The price of Solana appears to have been moving sideways recently | Source: SOLUSD on TradingView Featured image from iStock.com, charts from TradingView.com, Santiment.net

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