Crypto and commodities poised for massive rally, says market analyst
According to Michael van de Poppe, an upcoming surge in global liquidity, fueled by debt refinancing, could trigger the next Bitcoin bull run.
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According to Michael van de Poppe, an upcoming surge in global liquidity, fueled by debt refinancing, could trigger the next Bitcoin bull run.
Bitcoin could see a breakout to new all-time highs as soon as next month, but BTC must first tackle significant resistance around $59,500.
The Bitcoin price could increase by over two-fold based on a key bull signal historically correlated with price rallies.
Bitcoin traders are upbeat, confident that bulls have more legs to push prices above $72,000 and all-time highs. While the excitement about what lies ahead is primarily due to the mass inflow into spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), Charles Edwards, the founder of Capriole Investments, has picked out multiple factors capping the current uptrend to $100,000. Here’s Why Bitcoin Is Still Trading Below $100,000 In a post on X, Edwards said several factors combine to suppress gains. However, most relate to a tussle between new institutional money and a wave of long-term holder selling. Roughly six months after the first batch of spot Bitcoin ETFs were approved by the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), billions continue to flow to these derivative products. Related Reading: Injective (INJ) Price Set To Skyrocket 33% On Classic Bullish Signal: Crypto Analyst According to Lookonchain, all nine spot BTC ETF issuers in the United States added 6,907 BTC worth over $492 million on June 6. Fidelity added 3,104 BTC, while BlackRock bought 2,186 BTC. Encouragingly, following sharp gains on May 20, institutions have been increasingly buying more BTC, gaining exposure through spot ETFs. Over the past half year or so, Edwards notes that spot Bitcoin ETF issuers in the United States have been aggressively accumulating. So far, they have bought 200% of all BTC mined since their debut in January. What this means is that there is a steady and impressive stream of institutional investment flowing to Bitcoin. BTC prices have been trending higher in response to this development, breaking above 2021 highs and printing fresh all-time highs in March 2024. Related Reading: Crypto On Watch: Will ECB Rate Cut Fuel Bitcoin Rally? Though the uptrend is clear, the pace of expansion is discouraging. Edwards notes that more and more long-term holders are actively selling. Their share of the total supply has been shrinking since the December 2023 peak of 57%, falling to 54%, reducing 630,000 BTC in the process. This figure dwarfs the total holdings of all BTC accumulated by spot Bitcoin ETF issuers in the United States. Spot Bitcoin ETF Inflows, USD Liquidity, And Long-term Holder Behavior Are Key Amid this wait, the founder thinks Bitcoin could still exceed local resistance and rally to $100,000. For this level to be tested, there must be a spike in institutional appetite for BTC, even pushing daily purchases to over $1 billion. Additionally, long-term holders must slow down their liquidation, reducing supply. If this prints out as the M2 money supply in the United States increases, the coin could surpass expectations, breaking out from the current range. Feature image from DALLE, chart from TradingView
Crypto traders are pointing to the M2 money supply turning positive as a bullish signal for Bitcoin.
The growth of the money supply is historically correlated with previous Bitcoin price bull runs.
A Bitcoin price prediction made exactly one month ago by popular crypto analyst Doctor Profit on social media platform X has unfolded with interesting accuracy. On March 21, Doctor Profit outlined a detailed price trajectory for Bitcoin, predicting specific price movements, resistance and support zones, and the influence of the M2 money supply. Fast forward to April 21, Bitcoin’s price movements have closely mirrored the analysts forecast, lending credibility to the remaining parts of his prediction. How Bitcoin Followed Doctor Profits March Forecast Doctor Profits analysis is based on Bitcoins response to changes in the M2 money supply, which he identified as a misunderstood indicator. He argued that although the market experienced an increase in liquidity starting in February, Bitcoin’s significant bullish rally from September 2024 onwards had already factored in this liquidity expansion, contrary to what most investors had expected. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price To Break $125,000 But Sell Everything In October, Analyst Warns Notably, Doctor Profit had previously highlighted a key technical level, the weekly EMA 50, also known as the Golden Line, at approximately $76,000. He expected a bounce from this level, projecting a move to the $87,000 to $88,000 region before another correction. Bitcoin followed this script almost exactly, crashing in the first few days of April before rebounding from around $76,000 on April 9. Now, Bitcoin has rallied back above $87,000, coinciding precisely with Doctor Profit’s prediction. Next Phase: Bitcoin Heading For Support Zone At $70,000 To $74,000 Now that Bitcoin has bounced and is trading above $87,000 again, Doctor Profits immediate next target is a potential crash towards $74,000 to $70,000, which is slightly below the highlighted Golden Line. According to the analyst, the markets behavior at this support zone will be decisive. It is at this zone that the Bitcoin price will reveal its next major directional bias. Related Reading: Bitcoin Enters Oversold Levels, Analyst Warns This Is Bearish, Not Bullish Doctor Profit laid out two clear scenarios based on Bitcoins reaction within the $74,000 to $70,000 price range. If Bitcoin experiences only a temporary wick into this range and manages a strong daily or weekly close back above the Golden Line, this would signal a reversal, and it would be prudent to close short positions and begin accumulating long positions. However, if Bitcoin closes below this crucial area, it could trigger a deeper bearish move, leading its price to significantly lower levels, possibly revisiting the $50,000 region under a worst-case Black Swan scenario. Notably, whichever bearish scenario plays out, it is expected to occur by April and likely into early May. Despite the current short-term bearish outlook, Doctor Profit maintained a bullish long-term view. He confidently predicted that the Bitcoin bull run would resume around May or June, eventually driving the price towards new all-time highs in the range of $120,000 to $140,000. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $87,526, up by 3.28% in the past 24 hours. The bearish outlook towards $74,000 would only be invalidated if Bitcoin successfully closes a weekly candle above the $100,000 level. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin’s price crash from $97,000 in late February surprised most crypto market participants but not this analyst. The crypto analyst known as Doctor Profit, who previously warned of a correction when Bitcoin was approaching $97,000, recently released a new technical outlook that dissuades a bullish trajectory in the short term. In a breakdown shared on the social media platform X, Doctor Profit noted that the breakdown isn’t complete yet. This outlook comes from a former detailed analysis in which the analyst highlighted various Bitcoin price movements to watch out for, all of which have come to pass. Doctor Profit Says Bitcoin Market Dump Is Just Beginning Bitcoin has experienced ups and downs in the past few days with incredibly volatile movements. These ups and downs saw the Bitcoin price fall below $75,000 at the beginning of the week before spending the past four days on a recovery path towards $80,000. Amidst the price volatility, crypto analyst Doctor Profit clarified that he expects the current downward move in Bitcoins price to extend further. Related Reading: Crypto Analyst Warns Of Volume Drop That Could Trigger 60% Bitcoin Price Crash To $49,000 In a recent post on social media platform X, the analyst described the correction as a market massacre that is expected to continue, stating that the party just started. He revealed that he had placed his first buy orders within the $58,000 to $68,000 range, suggesting that the Bitcoin price would keep falling until it reaches this region. Rather than seeing the recent decline as a setback, the price action is a calculated part of the broader strategy which the analyst laid out in an earlier detailed analysis. Doctor Profits analysis is based on the M2 money supply, a macroeconomic metric he believes is widely misunderstood within the crypto space. Many traders have recently cited the uptick in M2 as a bullish signal for Bitcoin, assuming that more liquidity means an immediate surge in prices. However, the analyst stressed that timing is everything. He noted that Bitcoin tends to front-run traditional markets when responding to M2 increases, but even then, the reaction is not instantaneous. What To Expect With BTC He reminds his followers that in July 2024, he predicted a 50bps rate cut, which was considered highly unlikely at the time. Once that cut materialized in September, around the same time Bitcoin was hovering near $50,000, he labeled it extremely bullish and called for a major rally. As it turned out, the M2 money supply began expanding in February 2025, which aligned with his forecast. Yet, he cautions that while M2 is now climbing, its effect on Bitcoin will play out gradually. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Mirrors Global M2 As Crypto Analyst Reveals May Timeline For Blast Off Looking at Bitcoins price behavior on the charts, Doctor Profit shifted his focus to the $70,000 to $74,000 range. He believes this range could either serve as a springboard for a fresh upward rally if a strong daily close occurs above the Golden Line around the weekly EMA50 or as a signal for a deeper downside if the price breaks beneath it. Should a more dramatic breakdown occur, the analyst advised scaling back and waiting for even lower entries around the $50,000 to $60,000 zone. Doctor Profit predicted that the bull run will not resume until sometime around May or June, with upside targets of $120,000 to $140,000. Bitcoin has managed to push above $81,000 after Donald Trump announced a 90-day pause on his ground-breaking tarriffs. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $82,000, up by 7% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com
A recent analysis comparing Bitcoins price movement and the Global M2 money supply has added another data point to the growing argument for a bullish phase ahead for the cryptocurrency. Colin, a crypto analyst known on social media platform X as The M2 Guy, recently shared an update suggesting that Bitcoin may be on the verge of a significant upward move, and the expected timeline might continue to test the patience of Bitcoin traders. Bitcoins Incoming Rally May Mirror M2s Explosive Growth Colin, a crypto analyst known on X as The M2 Guy, has continued to build his case around the correlation between Bitcoin and macro liquidity trends. His outlook on Bitcoin, which is currently bullish, is based on an offset correlation between the cryptocurrency’s price action on the daily candlestick chart and the global M2 money supply. Related Reading: Bitcoin Vs. Global M2 Money Supply Shows A Big Move Coming, Heres The Target In a previous analysis, the analyst noted that Bitcoin’s price action on the daily candlestick chart has the best correlations on the 70-day and 107-day offsets. The most recent update from the analyst focuses on the 107-day offset, which he termed the most likely scenario. Analysis of Bitcoin’s 107-day offset with the global M2 money supply shows that Bitcoin is about to go on a blast-off spike. However, this isnt just about a one-day spike. Colin projects the rally could last for two months based on the sharp vertical trend of the global M2 supply. As for the timing, the 107-day offset suggests that the blast-off spike is expected to kick off around April 30 based on a mathematically strong correlation. If the M2 line continues its upward surge, the rally could last even longer. Focus On The Macro, Not Just The Day Although April 30 is a focal point in his projection, Colin cautioned followers not to become overly fixated on the exact date. Dont get caught up in the weeds, he advised. The larger narrative is more important, reflected in the soaring global M2 levels, which should create an environment ripe for Bitcoin and other crypto assets to benefit from increased liquidity. Related Reading: Bitcoin Long-Term Holder Net Position Turns Green For The First Time In 2025 In terms of a price target, the current trajectory of the global M2 money supply points to a rally above $140,000. However, interesting predictions have suggested that the Bitcoin price has a chance of doubling before the end of 2025. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $84,310, having spent the last 24 hours trading in a range between $83,700 and $84,300. Based on this analysis of correlation with the global M2 money, bullish Bitcoin investors might need to wait for at least another month before any significant movement. This delay might pose challenges for short-term traders depending on their positioning and risk tolerance. On the other hand, it gives long-term holders the opportunity to accumulate more bitcoins at the current low price before the predicted rally. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com
A political deadlock looms over the U.S. debt ceiling and its potential impact on the price of Bitcoin, which is already up 75% in 2023.
Interest rate cuts, increases in the M2 money supply, structural deficits, and geopolitical tensions typically drive Bitcoin's price higher.
Bitcoin price rallied over 58% since May, when the M2 money supply turned positive year-over-year for the first time since November 2023.
According to JPMorgan analysts, a win for the Republican US presidential candidate Donald Trump could further fuel Bitcoin (BTC) price momentum. Retail Investors Turn To Bitcoin For Debasement Trade In a recent client note, analysts at JPMorgan suggested that a Trump win might provide additional upside for both BTC and gold, as retail investors increasingly [...]
The post Bitcoin Set To Gain If Trump Wins, JPMorgan Cites Debasement Trade As Key Factor appeared first on Crypto Breaking News.
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