Crypto Countdown: $2.4B In Bitcoin and Ethereum Options Set To Expire, Market Volatility Ahead?

As the clock ticks closer to the end of today, May 3, the cryptocurrency market braces itself for potential upheavals, with roughly $2.4 billion worth of Bitcoin and Ethereum options set to expire. This significant event could catalyze notable shifts in market dynamics, steering the trajectory of Bitcoin and Ethereum prices in the near term. Notably, Options contracts in the crypto sphere allow traders to hedge against price volatility or speculate on future price movements without directly holding the assets. Typically structured as either calls or puts, these contracts enable buying (call) or selling (put) at predetermined prices within a specified timeframe. Related Reading: Bitcoins Make-Or-Break Moment: Trading Guru Predicts Rally Amid Market Uncertainty As the expiry date approaches, movements within these contracts tend to introduce heightened volatility into the market, given the adjustments traders make to hedge their positions or capitalize on anticipated price movements. Market Mechanics And Sentiment Indicators The mechanics of options trading offer insights into market sentiment, primarily through analyzing the put/call ratio. This ratio gauges the market’s bullish or bearish stance, depending on whether the volume of call options (betting on price rises) outweighs put options (betting on price drops) or vice versa. Presently, the put-to-call ratio for Bitcoin stands at a relatively low 0.5, suggesting a bullish sentiment as more traders bet on rising prices with the maximum pain pointa price level causing maximum trader lossesat about $61,000 and a notional value of $1.4 billion. In contrast, Ethereum’s options market is also teeming with activity, marked by the upcoming expiry of contracts valued at around $1 billion. With a put-to-call ratio of 0.37, the sentiment leans even more bullish than Bitcoin, indicating stronger trader confidence in Ethereum’s price performance. Ethereum’s designated maximum pain point sits at $3,000, aligning with key psychological and technical support levels. May 3 Options Data 23,000 BTC options are about to expire with a Put Call Ratio of 0.49, a Maxpain point of $61,000 and a notional value of $1.4 billion. 330,000 ETH options are due to expire with a Put Call Ratio of 0.36, Maxpain point of $3,000 and notional value of $1 pic.twitter.com/mEA4PV98C3 Greeks.live (@GreeksLive) May 3, 2024 Implications And Bitcoin Insights Historically, the expiration of such a voluminous cache of options has precipitated abrupt price fluctuations in the spot markets for Bitcoin and Ethereum. This is attributed to the large-scale repositioning by institutional and retail investors in anticipation of or in response to the expiry outcomes. Related Reading: Bitcoin Hits Danger Zone: Peter Schiff Warns Of Do or Die Scenario These strategic movements are particularly pivotal when both cryptocurrencies recover from recent pullbacks. GreeksLive noted: The current point of sustained sideways trading is unlikely, no rebound is bound to be a downward relay, the giant whale on the lack of confidence in the market, Block trading is worth strengthening attention. Meanwhile, Bitcoin appears to be recovering from the recent downturn with a 5.4% increase in the past day, momentarily piercing the $60,000 mark, signaling a potential resumption of its upward march. Similarly, Ethereum has shown resilience, climbing above the $3,000 threshold with a modest 3% gain. These upticks coincide with broader market analyses like that of Marco Johanning, a well-known crypto analyst and founder of The Summit Club, suggesting that foundational bullish sentiments remain intact despite recent corrections. Featured image from Unsplash, Chart from TradingView

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Bitcoins Bold Bet: Options Traders Eye $100K Surge By September

The crypto market is currently buzzing with anticipation as Bitcoin options traders position themselves for what they foresee as a substantial price rally in September. Particularly, the derivatives market is expressing confidence, with a significant number of traders betting on Bitcoin surpassing the $100,000 mark. Bitcoin Market Optimism Amidst Whale Movements Recent analysis from industry [...]

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Ethereum Bullish Turn: Analyst Highlight Positive Bias In ETH Options Across All Expiries

Recent developments in the crypto market indicate a strong bullish sentiment among Ethereum traders, particularly in the options market. Amid the growing anticipation for potential approvals of spot Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs), there has been a noticeable shift in option pricing, with Ethereum call options becoming more expensive than put options across all expiries. This pricing pattern suggests the market is optimistic about Ethereum’s price prospects. Notably, A call option gives the holder the right, but not the obligation, to buy an asset at a specified price within a specific time frame. Related Reading: Is Ethereum Set For A Major Rally? Options Traders Bet Big On $3,600+ Targets For June This option type is typically purchased by traders who believe the asset’s price will increase. Conversely, a put option provides the holder the right to sell the asset at a predetermined price and is often used as protection against a decline in the asset’s price. Market Indicators Point To A Bullish Ethereum Luuk Strijers, CEO of Deribit, highlighted this trend in his communication with The Block. He noted that the “put minus call skew is negative across all expiries and increasing further beyond the end-of-June expiry, a quite bullish signal.” Additionally, the basis, or the annualized premium of the futures price over the spot price, has increased to around 14%, further reinforcing the bullish outlook. The analysis reveals that traders prefer to purchase call options at a premium compared to put options, particularly for those set to expire at the end of June and later. This pattern is a sign of a bullish market, indicating that traders are not as interested in securing protection against potential price drops as they are in anticipating that Ethereum’s value will keep climbing. Meanwhile, after the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) unexpectedly asked for changes in filings, there has been a resurgence in optimism regarding the possible approval of spot Ethereum ETFs. This optimism has translated into significant market activity, with Deribit experiencing nearly unprecedented trading volumes. Strijers remarked, “We recorded an almost unprecedented trading volume of $12.5 billion notional over the last 24 hours.” This surge in trading volume and market interest reflects how traders and investors position themselves to capitalize on the potential approval of spot Ethereum ETFs. According to data from Deribit, over $480,000 calls will expire by the end of this month, with a notional value of more than $1.7 billion. The data further reveals that the strike price reaches as high as $7,000, with a total intrinsic value of $1.452 billion, indicating that many Ethereum options traders are highly bullish on ETH. ETH Price Performance And Forecast Meanwhile, Ethereum is undergoing slight retracement, down by 2.4% in the past 24 hours, with a trading price of $3,690. Despite this pullback, the asset has maintained a strong uptrend, rising nearly 25% over the past seven days. As the market’s anticipation around spot ETH ETFs grows, a prominent crypto analyst has suggested a potential price movement for Ethereum, indicating a brief pullback at around $4,000 before surging to new all-time highs. Related Reading: Ethereum Nears Crucial Breakout: Could $4,000 Be The Next Move? According to the analyst, while there might be some bumps, reaching an all-time high of $5,000 seems “inevitable” for Ethereum. $ETH: I think we pullback briefly around 4k but this certainly breaks all time highs if/when ETF gets approved. This still seems like a free trade for ETH going to ATH, which is at 5k. Could be some bumps along the way but it seems inevitable. I have both SOL and ETH and not pic.twitter.com/IznlJ0RAyl Altcoin Sherpa (@AltcoinSherpa) May 22, 2024 Featured image created with DALL·E, Chart from TradingView

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Is Ethereum Set For A Major Rally? Options Traders Bet Big On $3,600+ Targets For June

Ethereum (ETH) options for June show a marked interest in higher strike prices, focusing on levels exceeding $3,600. Data from Deribit reveals a concentrated bet among traders on calls surpassing this price, indicating a bullish sentiment toward Ethereum’s near-term trajectory. The most favored strike price among these optimistic bets is an ambitious $6,500. Related Reading: Can Ethereum Price Repeat Pattern and Start Fresh Surge To $3,200? Options Market Bullish On Ethereum  Notably, options are contracts that give traders the right, but not the obligation, to buy (in the case of calls) or sell (in the case of puts) the underlying asset at a specified strike price by the expiry date. A call option is typically purchased by traders who believe the asset will increase in price, allowing them to buy at a lower rate and potentially sell at a higher market price. Conversely, put options are favored by those anticipating a decline in the asset’s price, aiming to sell at the current rate and repurchase at a lower value. Currently, the Ethereum options market is tilting heavily towards calls, with the aggregate open interestrepresenting the total number of outstanding contract optionsshowing a preference for higher strike prices. This concentration of calls, primarily above the $3,600 mark, suggests that a significant market segment is positioning for Ethereum to ascend to higher levels by the end of June. According to Deribit data, roughly 622,636 Ethereum call contracts are set to expire by June’s end, encapsulating a notional value above $1.8 billion. Such substantial positioning underscores the market’s confidence in Ethereum’s potential uplift. Data further shows that the most substantial open interest is clustered around the $6,500 strike price, with a notional value of $193 million. This concentration reflects trader optimism and supports Ethereum’s market price, especially if these options are exercised as the asset price approaches or surpasses these strike levels. Despite the optimism embedded in these options, Ethereum is currently navigating a slight downturn. It has dropped 5.4% over the past week and 2.2% in the last 24 hours, positioning it below $2,900. This decline places even more focus on upcoming market catalysts that could significantly sway ETH’s price. Regulatory Decisions And Technical Indicators: A Dual Influence on ETH’s Path One significant upcoming event is the US Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) decision on several applications for Ethereum-based Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs), which is due by May 25th. This decision is pivotal as approval could usher in a wave of institutional investments into Ethereum, potentially catapulting its price. Conversely, rejection could dampen the bullish sentiment and lead to further pullbacks. From a technical analysis standpoint, signs are pointing to a possible rebound. The “Bullish Cypher Pattern,” identified by the analyst Titan Of Crypto, suggests that Ethereum could be at a turning point. Currently, Ethereum is at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, a key support zone in many bull markets. Related Reading: Crypto Analyst Says Ethereum Price Will Drop To $2,500, Heres Why This level has historically acted as a launchpad for upward price movements, hinting that Ethereum could be gearing up for a significant rise. #Altcoins #Ethereum Bounce incoming. The Bullish Cypher Pattern played out perfectly and all the targets got reached .#ETH is currently at the 38.2% Fibonacci retrace level also called “1st stop”. In a bull market this level holds. I expect a bounce from this level. pic.twitter.com/o9e6VLEREz Titan of Crypto (@Washigorira) May 12, 2024 Featured image from Unsplash, Chart from TradingView

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Bitcoins Bull Run Ignites: Traders Target $80,000 In High-Stakes Options Frenzy

As Bitcoin breached the $52,000 mark, a notable shift in investor sentiment has been observed, with an increased interest in call options for Bitcoin at ambitious strike prices. This trend, primarily focusing on strikes above $60,000, signals a robust confidence among traders in Bitcoins potential for further gains. QCP Capital, a renowned crypto asset trading [...]

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Betting Big On Ethereum: Options Traders Target $4,000 Mark Amid Market Optimism

Ethereum (ETH) is showing a noteworthy pattern in the options market. According to data from Deribit, a leading platform for crypto futures and options trading, theres a significant concentration of call options for ETH around the $4,000 strike price for both the June and September expiries. Options Traders Anticipate $4,000 Ethereum This accumulation of ETH [...]

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