What is Elliott Wave Theory, and how to use it in crypto?
Elliott Wave Theory offers a method for analyzing market cycles and predicting price movements in the crypto market.
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Elliott Wave Theory offers a method for analyzing market cycles and predicting price movements in the crypto market.
Crypto analyst Tolimanu has used the Elliott Wave Theory to provide insights into where Bitcoin currently is in this market cycle. Based on his analysis, the bull run is not yet over, with the flagship crypto set to reach new highs. Elliot Wave Theory Shows Bitcoins Current Position In This Cycle In an X post, Tolimanu noted that in Elliot Wave Theory, a 5-wave move up typically marks a primary trend, and an ABC correction is a natural retracement of that trend. Based on this, he stated that unless this Bitcoin correction breaks major long-term support levels, such a decline would typically set up the next higher-degree bullish phase. Related Reading: LMACD Indicator Reveals Where The Bitcoin Price Is After Rejection From $97,000 On the bearish side, his accompanying chart showed that Bitcoin could still correct to as low as $73,969 on wave C of the ABC correction. However, as the analyst suggested, a hold above this support level could send BTC to new highs. Technical expert Tony Severino also recently warned that the Bitcoin price is in a precarious position. Despite the recent surge, he suggested that BTC is still in a bearish position. The expert remarked that if the daily momentum crosses bearish, it could prevent the weekly bullish crossover and pull the weekly LMACD below zero. In another post, Severino noted that Bitcoins daily RSI failed to get above 70, which is a key trigger required for a bullish impulse. He remarked that failure at 70 the last time led to the most vicious leg down of the last bear market. He added that the entire bear market remained below 70. The technical expert also noted that in 2023, the two local tops did make it above 70, but it wasnt convincing enough, while in 2024, the entire corrective phase stayed below 70 on the RSI. Basically, Severino highlighted the importance of 70 on the RSI and how BTC is still in a bearish position. BTC Looking To Fill CME Gaps Below And Above Crypto analyst Titan of Crypto revealed that Bitcoin is looking to CME futures gaps below and above its current price. The upside gap is between $96,480 and $97,300, while the downside gap is between $91,990 and $93,400. In another post, the analyst suggested that BTC might fill the downside gap before moving to the upside targets. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Confirmed Local Bottom As All Indicators Flash Bullish, Wheres Price Headed? This came as he noted that the next key support for Bitcoin is the daily Fair Value Gap, which is around $90,000. The analyst added that a bounce from that zone is likely. His accompanying chart showed that the target on this bounce is $102,096. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $94,300, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com
Crypto analyst Galaxy has drawn similarities between the current XRP price action and the 2017 bull run, when the altcoin recorded significant gains. He predicts the altcoin could soon rally to double digits, mirroring the 2017 rally. XRP Price To Rally To Double Digits As It Mirrors 2017 Rally In an X post, Galaxy indicated that the XRP price could rally to double digits as it mirrors the 2017 rally. He stated that XRP is almost perfectly following the breakout pattern of 2017 after 6 years of consolidation. The analyst added that the longer the consolidation, the bigger the price move. Related Reading: XRP Reaching Oversold Levels As Net Flows Turn Negative, Whats Next? His accompanying chart showed that the XRP price could rally to almost $40 on this breakout. The analyst seems convinced that the altcoin could witness such a parabolic move, considering that XRP surged by 61,000% in 280 days in 2017. The chart also showed that the altcoin will likely reach this target sometime next year. Crypto analyst Egrag Crypto has also stated that he expects the XRP price to reach between $27 and $33 in this market cycle. He believes that a repeat of the 2017 historical performance makes these price targets achievable for the altcoin. The analyst has also alluded to factors such as the XRP ETFs and Ripples expansion as factors that could drive this price surge. Meanwhile, crypto veteran Raoul Pal also affirmed that the XRP price has enough room to rally to the upside from its current level. He highlighted a bull flag that had formed for the altcoin, following its consolidation phase after last years rally. The veteran expects XRP to witness a bullish continuation after this consolidation phase, possibly rallying to as high as $5. This would mark a new all-time high (ATH) for the token. The Altcoin In A Bullish Phase Crypto analyst CobraVanguard asserted that the XRP price is in a bullish phase, while highlighting a falling wedge pattern that was forming for the altcoin. He remarked that this pattern indicates the altcoins potential to reach $3. However, the analyst warned that this setup could be invalidated if the wedge pattern is broken downwards with the strength of bearish candles. Related Reading: XRP Price Explosion To $5.9: Current Consolidation Wont Stop XRP From Growing Meanwhile, crypto analyst Dark Defender noted that the XRP price is currently in Wave B of its Wave 2 corrective move. He predicts that the altcoin could rally to its current all-time high once the B and C waves are completed in this corrective wave. The analyst is also confident that the altcoin can rally to double digits in the long term. He once predicted that the altcoin could reach $18 based on his Elliott Wave Theory analysis. At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $2.38, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
Cardano (ADA) is flashing mixed signals as its market structure hints at an imminent short-term price crash. While bearish indicators suggest a possible decline, a crypto analyst reveals that the broader trend remains intact, with technical patterns supporting the potential for a rally toward the $0.9 mark. Cardano Price Crash Incoming TradingView Crypto analyst SiDec has released a bearish price forecast for Cardano, anticipating a significant correction toward the $0.75 area in the coming days. This cautious outlook is based on detailed analysis using Elliott Wave Theory, Fibonacci tools, and critical price action zones. Related Reading: Crypto Analyst Releases Next Potential Targets For Cardano, Is $1 ADA Still Possible? SiDec has stated that ADAs price continues to consolidate after completing a 5-wave impulse move, signaling the end of its upward momentum. Following this strong impulse rally, the cryptocurrency is now exhibiting a classic Elliott Wave behavior, transitioning into a textbook ABC corrective pattern. The cryptocurrency first experienced a pull-back, labeled as Wave A on the price chart, followed by a temporary recovery in Wave B. According to SiDec, Wave C is expected to complete the retracement pattern, with ADAs final downward move nearing its end. Currently, technical indicators and price action point to the $0.705 region as a high-probability long entry zone. The TradingView analyst also clarifies where ADA might find solid support during this corrective phase using Fibonacci Retracement zones. The 50% retracement level of the entire bullish 5-wave impulse is positioned approximately at $0.7534 a critical price point that coincides closely with ADAs previous price swing at $0.746. This former resistance level has yet to be revisited, making it a natural support candidate. The analysis further identifies a 1:1 ABC extension for the anticipated correction in ADA, placing Wave Cs potential crash target around $0.7492. This also creates a tight cluster of technical indicators in the range of roughly $0.75, indicating a strong support zone. Further supporting this level, the daily 21 Exponential Moving Average (EMA) stands at $0.7455, while the daily 21 Simple Moving Average (SMA) is slightly lower at $0.7347. SiDec has also identified the Point of Control (POC), which marks the price with the highest volume, near $0.7318. The analyst further highlights that Cardanos anchored Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) resides within the $0.75 support zone. At the same time, the Pitchfork tools golden pocket aligns dynamically as support around the same area. ADA Price Path To $0.92 Holds Firm While SiDec eyes a potential crash to new lows for ADA in the near term, the analysts chart also shows a green zone, with a projected bullish bounce drawn. Following its Wave C crash, Cardano is expected to rebound and approach the $0.92 level. Related Reading: Cardano Price Set For 300% Explosion With Major Bullish Impulse The TradingView analyst has advised caution around this area, as $0.92 acts as a significant resistance zone and coincides with a prior liquidity zone that could trigger rejection or profit-taking. SiDec has emphasized that the risk-to-reward ratio around this area will only become favorable once there is clear confirmation, such as an SFP, a bearish engulfing candle, or visible divergence. Overall, if the $0.75 support zone holds, Cardano, which is currently trading at $0.78, could be positioned for a strong recovery toward $0.92 and beyond. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com
Market sentiment around the XRP price is flipping bullish as technical indicators and recent chart movements suggest a promising upward trajectory over the next three months. With momentum building, a crypto analyst is now eyeing a potential rally that could push XRP as high as $36. According to a new prediction posted by crypto analyst Dark Defender on X (formerly Twitter), the XRP price is gearing up for a potentially explosive surge to $36. XRP Price Forecasted To Reach $36 The chart analysis shows that XRP has broken through a crucial three-month resistance trendline that has capped its price action since its 2018 peak. This breakout signals a powerful shift in market structure, indicating that the long-standing bearish trend may be over. Related Reading: XRP Price Repeating History? 2017-Like Rally To Send Price To $10 Dark Defenders three-month candlestick chart applies the Elliott Wave Theory, mapping out a five-wave bullish structure. The analysis shows that Waves 1 and 2 have already played out, and XRP now appears to be entering Wave 3, which is typically seen as the strongest and longest wave. If this Wave 3 pattern holds, XRP could be on the verge of its most powerful rally yet. According to Dark Defender, the upside target could reach as high as $36.76, representing a staggering 423.6% increase. Before XRP reaches this projected price level, Dark Defender has forecasted shortto long-term bullish targets for the cryptocurrency. In the short term, XRP could reach $3.33, with a mid-term goal of $5.85. Additional milestones along the way include key percentage gain levels that may act as interim resistance zones. A 161.8% gain points to a potential price of around $13.81, while a 261.8% surge suggests a move toward $18.96. If momentum continues, the token could push further to $26.87, aligning with a 361.8% increase. On the downside, support levels at $2.3620 and $2.222 are expected to act as strongholds in case of any retracement before continuation. Moving forward, Dark Defender has doubled down on his bullish stance on XRPs future outlook, referencing a tweet dated March 17 that boldly declared, XRP is extremely bullish. Clear Path Ahead For The Altcoin As Resistance Thins Out In an X post released on May 13, Ali Martinez, a prominent crypto analyst, disclosed that on-chain data from Glassnode shows a clear bullish path for XRP, with no signs of major resistance clusters ahead. The analysis based on the UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) indicates that a significant portion of XRP tokens were last moved at lower price levels. Related Reading: XRP Price Macro Channel Breakout That Puts Targets At $17-$55 The chart also highlights a significant support zone at $2.38, where nearly 1.85 billion XRP, amounting to 2.92% of its supply, were last transacted. This concentration of holders could serve as a psychological and technical support level if the market pulls back. Moreover, the absence of large token holdings at higher price ranges suggests that the price could experience a smoother ascent, unburdened by major resistance from profit-takers. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
Since reaching a local bottom of $74,000 in mid-April, Bitcoin has seen a market rebound, creating a price uptrend that has lasted over the past three weeks. Notably, the premier cryptocurrency crossed the $100,000 trade mark in the last week to trade as high as $104,300. Following this impressive feat, market analysis X platform NewThoughtCrypto has shared a technical insight on Bitcoins next move. Related Reading: Bitcoin Whale Entry Prices Diverge Sharply Confidence Builds At Higher Levels Bitcoin Macro Outlook Shows Charge To New ATH But A Market Correction Awaits In an X post on May 9, analysts at NewThoughtCrypto provided a macro and micro forecast of the Bitcoin market using the Elliott Wave Theory. In terms of the broad market outlook using the daily chart, these pundits explain that Bitcoins ascent to $104,300 marks the top of the fifth wave in an impulse phase, hinting the market is due for a correction. For context, the Elliott wave theory states that prices move in two major repeating patterns, i.e, the impulse phase, which represents the market trend and is broken into five waves (i-v), and the corrective phase, which consists of wave A-B-C. After completing wave V of the impulse trend, NewThoughtCrypto analysts explain that Bitcoin is expected to experience a market correction, the target of which is usually around the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. Using the $104,300 price level as a market top, the projected correction could draw prices to $86,000 – $89,000, a price range around the wave C in the corrective trend. Notably, there is potential for Bitcoin to resume its bullish trend before the correction is over, as there would be a price bounce in line with wave B of the corrective phase. However, NewThoughtCrypto experts expect a complete correction before the premier cryptocurrency relaunches its charge for a new all-time high, which is likely to happen in the summer. Related Reading: Dogecoin Price Continuation Shows Rebound, But Resistance Is Mounting At $0.205 Micro Outlook Hints At $106,000 Target Before Correction In a micro view of the Bitcoin market using the 4-hour chart, the analysts at NewThoughtCrypto state Bitcoin appears to have completed waves I, II, and III, with wave III surpassing market expectations. The flagship crypto is now awaiting wave IV, which is always a corrective wave. With a wave III top at $104,300, the expected market correction would push the price to between $100,000 – $101,000. Thereafter, a bullish wave V is to commence driving prices to $106,000 before the corrective trend begins. At press time, Bitcoin continues to trade at $102,810 following a 0.06% increase in the past day. Meanwhile, daily trading volume is down by 6.68% and valued at $62.23 billion. Featured image from Pexels, chart from Tradingview
Bulls appear to be regaining control over the market again as the XRP price gears up for a potential rally to $6. According to a crypto analyst, this forecast is rooted in the Elliott Wave Theory, which indicates that Wave 5, which is the final and usually the most explosive leg up, is getting ready to run. Elliott Wave 5 Signals XRP Price Explosion In one of his latest Elliott Wave analyses, X (formerly Twitter) crypto expert Dark Defender forecasts a powerful rally for the XRP price, suggesting that the third-largest cryptocurrency could skyrocket to $6 soon. According to the analysis, XRP has been moving in a predictable wave structure since February 2025, and recent price action confirms the partial completion of the monthly Wave 5 bull pattern. Related Reading: XRP Price At $9 In September: Gann Angle Resistance Grid Predicts Surge The chart shows that since February, XRP has been following what Dark Defender refers to as the green path, aligning with the expected trajectory of the Monthly Wave 4. This wave has recently concluded after unfolding into five smaller sub-waves, highlighting a precise and structured technical behavior. The fourth sub-wave peaked at around $2.36, a level previously identified as a key confirmation point. As predicted, the XRP price bounced off this level before retracing to $2.07, forming the final leg of sub-wave 5 of the monthly Wave 4. XRPs current bullish setup reveals that the monthly Wave 5 is now in its early stages, with the drop to $2.07 possibly marking the bottom of the corrective structure. Dark Defender emphasizes that while Wave 5 has already begun, the larger upward move still awaits full confirmation, indicating that there may be significant room left for XRP to rally. Technical projections place the potential upside target of this Wave 5 near $6.85, representing a sharp bullish breakout if market momentum aligns with the expectations of the wave structure. Analyst Says The Real Bull Rally Is About To Begin The XRP price is approaching a major technical breakout, as crypto analyst CW highlights the emergence of a classic bull flag pattern. After experiencing months of consolidation, the analyst suggests that the next explosive leg in XRPs price action may be around the corner. Related Reading: XRP Price Still On Bullish Path To $5 As Long As This Level Holds The daily chart reveals a clear bull flag structure, formed after XRPs powerful rally in 2024 when its price jumped from $0.5 to over $2. This aggressive and unexpected move created the flagpole, followed by a multi-month period of consolidation, forming the descending flag pattern. Now, XRP is testing the upper boundary of the bull flag, trading just above $2.36 at the time of the analysis. A decisive breakout and close above the resistance trendline could trigger a fresh wave of bullish momentum. According to CW, this breakout would mark the beginning of a true bull rally for XRP. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
A Korean financial analyst who uses the name XForceGlobal has made bold claims about XRP’s future price, stating the cryptocurrency could reach between $10 and $20 in the coming months. The confident prediction comes even as XRP currently trades at $2.07 and the broader cryptocurrency market struggles through a prolonged downtrend. Related Reading: Ethereum Slips Below TriangleIs A $1,600 Crash Next? XRP Shows Unusual Strength Amid Crypto Slump While XRP has dropped more than 5% over the past few weeks, this decline is significantly less severe than what other major cryptocurrencies have experienced. According to the report, top cryptocurrencies like Ethereum have fallen by over 40% in the last three months. Similar sharp drops have hit other popular coins such as Solana and Dogecoin. XForceGlobal, who describes himself as a Certified Elliott Wave Analyst, pointed out that XRP has maintained its position above recent lows while competing cryptocurrencies have plummeted between 45% and 65% from their peaks. This relative stability forms the foundation of his optimistic outlook. I agree 100%, this is just showing that the possibility being there is just telling us how XRP is in its own league even for just wave counts! XForceGlobal (@XForceGlobal) April 2, 2025 Elliott Wave Analysis Points To Massive Gains The analyst’s forecast is based greatly on Elliott Wave theory, a technical analysis technique which tries to predict market action by finding repeating wave patterns. On the basis of his recognition of a 5-wave pattern, XForceGlobal has consistently predicted that XRP will hit $20 to $40 this year or next. Trillion-Dollar Valuation Projections Questioned By Critics Many market observers remain skeptical of such ambitious price targets. For XRP to reach $10, it would need to surge over 370% from its current price. A move to $20 would require an even more dramatic 850% increase. At such prices, XRP’s market capitalization would be around $1 trillion at the $10 level and $2 trillion at $20. Such valuations would be a first for an alternative currency and are the reasons why many analysts believe such forecasts are unrealistic, at least in the short term. Source: CoinGlass CoinGlass: Trading Interest Grows Despite Market Uncertainty In spite of the continued argument regarding the future of XRP, statistics by CoinGlass indicate increasing interest in the cryptocurrency. Open interest on XRP trades has risen to $3.60 billion over the past few days, reports indicate. This increase indicates that traders are opening positions in the asset irrespective of the direction of the market. I will be laughing at everyone who said $XRP can never hit $10-20. XForceGlobal (@XForceGlobal) April 2, 2025 When asked for the timeline of his price forecast, XForceGlobal was not as definite, indicating that it may take a while before XRP gets to the forecasted $10-20 mark. Related Reading: XRP Breakout Alert! Could This Surge Send The Altcoin To $3? Nevertheless, the analyst was confident enough with his technical analysis to assert he would “be laughing at everyone” who are skeptical about XRP’s ability to hit these price levels. With XRP’s year-to-date gains dwindling to mere 0.80%, wiping out all gains since the beginning of 2025, the question is if XForceGlobal’s lofty predictions will materialize or become part of the long list of failed cryptocurrency price projections. Featured image from Gemini Imagen, chart from TradingView
A new Bitcoin price prediction suggests that the flagship cryptocurrency needs just one more leg up to kickstart a powerful bullish move toward $150,000 and beyond. With Bitcoin getting ready to once again hit new all-time highs, technical formations suggest that this projected rally could be the final confirmation of a long-term breakout. Bitcoin Price Roadmap To $150,000 ATH A new Bitcoin price analysis released by market expert CrediBull Crypto on X (formerly Twitter) predicts that BTC is gearing up for a massive surge to $150,000. The analyst shared a Bitcoin price chart, using Elliott Wave theory on the lower time frames to break down the roadmap to this new all-time high target. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Bullish Confirmation: What Needs To Happen For Next Leg Up To $130,000 Bitcoin is currently forming a 5-wave impulse move on the lower timeframe. The recent price action suggests that it has completed sub-waves i, ii, iii, iv, and v, collectively forming what appears to be Wave 1. Following this, the cryptocurrency experienced a collective pullback in Wave 2, which acted as support and now serves as a launchpad for the next major leg in Wave 3the longest and most explosive wave in an impulse sequence. If the next wave completes to the upside, it would strongly suggest that Bitcoin is not in a corrective pattern but rather an impulsive trend that could take it to a six-figure valuation once again. CrediBull Crypto has highlighted $89,000 as a critical level for Bitcoin. He suggested that if the cryptocurrency drops below this price zone before pushing higher, the Elliott Wave structure would likely morph into a 3-legged corrective pattern rather than a 5-wave impulse. This move would imply that the projected rally is not the start of a macro breakout, and the market may have to wait longer for a confirmation. On the other hand, holding above $89,000 and printing a higher high would complete the anticipated final leg up, validating the start of the large Wave 3 on higher time frames. This bullish scenario would support a strong accumulation strategy, where price declines could become opportunities to buy as Bitcoin targets $150,000 or more. MVRV Golden Cross Signals BTC Bull Rally Bitcoins Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio has formed a Golden Cross with its 365-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), according to fresh data shared by crypto analyst Ali Martínez. The analyst has shared an optimistic outlook for Bitcoin, highlighting that this technical event could spark the next BTC bull rally. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Following Analysts Prediction For Bullish Breakout, Heres The Target The Bitcoin chart, published via CryptoQuant, highlights the MVRV ratio surging above the long-term Moving Average. A rising MVRV ratio typically suggests that BTC holders are once again in profit, and sentiment is shifting from bearish to bullish. The last time this crossover occurred, Bitcoin saw a multi-month rally that pushed its price to new all-time highs. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
Ethereums price has now found itself stuck below $2,000 in the past seven days, and it looks like it will continue here into the next few days with little sign of a significant recovery. The second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization has struggled under downward pressure since early March, with sellers dominating the wider crypto market. Interestingly, recent technical analysis using Elliott Wave theory suggests that bearish dominance will continue for Ethereum into the foreseeable future. The analysis, posted on TradingView, highlights the formation of an ABC correction pattern, which could dictate Ethereums next major move. Ethereums Price Structure Points To Extended Correction According to a crypto analyst known as behdark on the TradingView platform, Ethereum’s recent pivot formations, momentum shifts, and wave degrees all indicate an ongoing correction. This interesting outlook is based on the analyst’s count of Elliott Wave, which shows Ethereum appears to be forming an ABC correction pattern. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Maintains Movement Inside Ascending Triangle, Is Another Crash Coming? This ABC correction pattern has been playing out since November 2021 and has spanned the last three and half years. The ABC corrective trend is a three-wave pattern in the Elliott Wave Theory of major correction. Wave A represents the initial decline, wave B is a temporary retracement or countertrend move, and wave C is the final downward leg, often extending beyond wave A. It would seem wave B, the second wave in the correction pattern, is now completed or nearing completion after Ethereum broke below a trendline around $2,500 in late February. This means that wave C is set to play out, which is going to extend the current bearish trend. The analyst noted that wave C should be a little bit longer in duration than wave A, hinting at a drawn-out decline to a big demand zone between $760 and $530. Two Demand Zones Identified For ETH The analyst outlined two possible market bottoms for Ethereum, referred to as “Demand 1” and “Demand 2.” The first demand zone is between $1,350 and $1,080, and this is where Ethereum might see some buying pressure that will help put an end to the continuation of wave C. Related Reading: Ethereum Is Not Dead: Broadening Wedge Suggests Another Leg-Up Is Coming However, if the first demand zone fails to hold, the Ethereum price may experience an even deeper correction before finding stability. The next zone of stability, in this case, is between $760 and $530. A move to this level will no doubt send the sentiment surrounding Ethereum to an all-time low. However, it can also provide an opportunity for bullish traders to accumulate, as the next move after this zone is the beginning of the next five impulse waves. Deviating from the negative outlook, the analyst pointed out an invalidation level at $2,941. If Ethereum manages to close a daily candle above this level, the bearish scenario would be nullified. At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading at $1,930. Given the current structure of price action, the likelihood of Ethereum breaking above $2,941 in the short term appears slim. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com
The cryptocurrency market is facing a seemingly never-ending decline, with Ethereum (ETH) and Dogecoin (DOGE) leading the losses among large-cap digital assets. This correction comes as the broader market sentiment turns bearish and cautious while Bitcoin (BTC) experiences persistent volatility and moves into bear market territory. Ethereum And Dogecoin Market Cap Takes A Hit Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, has recorded a significant drop in its market cap in the last 24 hours. While the price of Ethereum has declined to $1,910, its market cap has also gone down approximately 7.8%. Related Reading: Heres Why Bitcoin, Ethereum, And The Entire Crypto Market Is Crashing Today A combination of factors has contributed to this unfortunate drop in valuation, including investor caution ahead of key economic reports and ongoing bearish sentiments. While Ethereums trading volume seems to be the only metric in the green, jumping by 80%, liquidations persist as traders exit their positions ahead of further losses. On a similar note, Dogecoin, the number one meme coin, has experienced steep losses in both its value and market cap. Despite its 30.5% increase in trading volume, Dogecoins market cap has fallen by 6.6%. This decline follows a recent surge in meme-based cryptocurrencies earlier this year, which appears to be losing momentum. As of writing, the Dogecoin price is trading at $0.16, reflecting a deep correction of 16.8% in the last seven days and a massive 37% crash over the past month. Notably, the decline in Dogecoin and Ethereums market cap is the highest in the last 24 hours, with coins in the top 10 experiencing a less than 2% drop. This massive drop in both cryptocurrencies comes as analysts confirm that Bitcoin has entered bear market territory. Bitcoin And Altcoins Enter Bear Market According to crypto analyst Tony Severino, Bitcoin may have entered bear market territory as the pioneer cryptocurrency faces decreasing momentum. Severinos analysis applies the Elliott Wave Theory, which claims that the bear market for altcoins started in 2022, coinciding with Bitcoins Wave 5. Related Reading: Bitcoin, Ethereum, And Solana: Real Visions Raoul Pal Calls The Greatest Macro Trade Of All Time During this period, the market saw a rise in interest rates and Quantitative Tightening (QT), where central banks reduced liquidity in financial markets. Since altcoins thrive when there is excess liquidity, economic tightening has led to weak performance for these digital currencies. Severino argues that Bitcoins Wave 5 lacked the usual strength of a true bull market top. Based on the Elliott Wave Theory, the fifth wave has always been weaker than the third in terms of price speed, volume, and breadth. The analyst also referenced a textbook that explains that Wave 5 tends to be sideways and weak, often preceding the bear market as it indicates waning momentum. The overall conclusion of Severinos analysis is that the altcoin bear market, which began more than three years ago, has never really ended since economic conditions havent returned to what they were before 2022. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com
Simulation theory is a fascinating concept that posits the idea that our reality and everything within it might be nothing more than an elaborate computer simulation. This thought-provoking hypothesis challenges our understanding of existence, blurring the lines between what is real and what might be an illusion. In this article, we will delve into the [...]
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Bitcoin broke through support and plunged to the lowest prices seen since 2020. However, despite all the fear the drop has caused, it could be the last low before the top cryptocurrency continues its bull run. Here is why an extremely rare Elliott Wave expanding triangle pattern could be the last hope Bitcoin bulls have for new highs before a bear market. Ralph Nelson Elliott And His Theory On How Markets Move Ask most crypto investors and they would probably agree: we are in a bear market. However, based on the guidelines of Elliott Wave Theory, the last year and a half of mostly sideways could be part of one powerful, confusing, and rare corrective pattern. Related Reading | One Coin, Two Trades: Why Bitcoin Futures And Spot Signals Don’t Match Up Elliott Wave Principle was first discovered by Ralph Nelson Elliott in the 1930s. The theory believes all markets move in the direction of the primary trend in the same five-wave pattern. Odd-numbered waves move up with the primary trend as well, while even-numbered waves are corrective in nature that move against the trend. Is Bitcoin trading in an expanding triangle? | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com In the chart above, BTCUSD could potentially be trading in an expanding triangle. In Elliott Wave Theory, triangles of any kind only appear immediately preceding the final move of a sequence. During the bear market, a triangle appeared in place of the B wave before breaking down to the bear market bottom. Identifying A Bullish Expanding Triangle Pattern Triangles can contract, expand, descend, ascend, and even take on some “irregular” shapes. The expanding triangle pictured above and below should in theory only occur before the final wave five impulse up. If that’s the case, the bull run could continue once the bottom of the E wave is put in. Each subwave is a Zig-zag similar to wave two | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com An expanding triangle is characterized as having five waves that sub-divide into ABCDE corrections. Waves A, C, and E are against the primary trend, while B and D waves are with the primary trend. Each sub-wave further sub-divides into three-wave patterns called a Zig-zag. Zig-zag patterns are sharper, and more commonly appear in wave two corrections. The fact that an expanding triangle has five of these brutal corrections in two different directions makes it especially confusing and frustrating. Expanding triangles only form under the most unusual market conditions. Related Reading | Bitcoin Bear Market Comparison Says It Is Almost Time For Bull Season Extreme uncertainty drives expansive volatility in both directions. Both sides of the trade are repeatedly stopped out of trades, adding to frustration. By the end of the pattern, order books are thin and easily overpowered. Decidedly bearish sentiment squeezes prices up quickly causing an upward breakout of the pattern and continuation of the bull run. The chase and FOMO creates the conditions necessary for wave five. Why Bitcoin Could Still Have Wave Five Ahead The only problem is that there is no telling if this is the correct pattern, or if Bitcoin is in (or possibly just completed) a wave four according to Elliott Wave Theory. Knowing that triangles only appear before the final move of a sequence helps improve the changes of this expanding triangle being valid. However, it is more important to understand the characteristics of each wave. Corrective waves result in ABC or ABCDE corrections (along with some more complex corrections) that move against the primary trend. Between corrections is an impulse wave up, in a five-wave stair-stepping pattern. After the bear market bottom, a new trend emerges starting with wave one. Wave two is often a sharp, Zig-zag style correction that retraces most of wave one. A bear market will move below the zero line on the MACD | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com The lack of a new low creates the confidence for more market participants to join, making wave three the most powerful and extended of all. Wave four typically moves sideways and lacks the same severity of the wave two correction. Elliott said that wave four represents hesitancy in the market before finishing the trend. Both wave two and wave four tend to bring the MACD back down to the zero line before reversing higher – a setup clearly depicted above. Related Reading | Bitcoin Indicator Hits Historical Low Not Seen Since 2015 When the hesitancy ends, wave five typically matches the length and magnitude of wave one. But after such a long and nasty wave four correction, any wave five has the potential to extend similar to wave three. If this were the case, the expanding triangle pattern created the perfect shakeout of both sides of the market. Here is a ?? on my full Elliott Wave analysis on #Bitcoin and why I don’t believe there is a bear market – and why I expect the last leg up any day now. — Tony "The Bull" Spilotro (@tonyspilotroBTC) May 15, 2022 Follow @TonySpilotroBTC on Twitter or join the TonyTradesBTC Telegram for exclusive daily market insights and technical analysis education. Please note: Content is educational and should not be considered investment advice. Featured image from iStockPhoto, Charts from TradingView.com
Will the XRP price go up in 2022? Is Ripple losing against SEC? Today we are joined by Ben of BitBoy Crypto to talk bitcoin, cryptocurrency, altcoins, & more! Subscribe to BitBoy: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCjemQfjaXAzA-95RKoy9n_g All persons in this video are not financial advisors. The conversations are only opinions. Investing in cryptocurrency is very risky. DYOR. Follow […]
The bearish outlook by the Elliot Wave Theory appeared as Bitcoin tumbled below $35,000.
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