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CATEGORY: tony severino


May 06, 2025 12:05

LMACD Indicator Reveals Where The Bitcoin Price Is After Rejection From $97,000

The Bitcoin price faced a rejection following its surge to $97,000 last week. Technical expert Tony Severino has commented on this development and alluded to the LMACD indicator, which has revealed what is next for the flagship crypto.  What Is Next For The Bitcoin Price After Rejection At $97,000 In an X post, Tony Severino stated that multiple BTC timeframe analyses using the LMACD indicator suggest that the Bitcoin price is in a precarious position. He remarked that if the daily momentum crosses bearish, it could prevent the weekly bullish crossover and pull the weekly LMACD below zero. This would cross the monthly LMACD back bearish.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Raging Bull Indicator Turns Back On, But This Level Holds The Key With several important timeframes in sync, Severino warned that market participants could see a more aggressive down move for the Bitcoin price. On the other hand, the technical expert noted that the daily LMACD diverging upward could cross the weekly bullish and avoid another monthly crossover, which could be bullish.  However, he suggested that a Bitcoin price decline is more likely at the moment, as the monthly LMACD is the most dominant of the three signals, which looks to hint at a downtrend. He added that this indicator also has the strength to pull the other timeframes with it. Severino failed to mention how low BTC could drop on this projected price decline.  Meanwhile, crypto analyst Ali Martinez also warned about a potential Bitcoin price decline. In an X post, he stated that BTC could soon pull back as the TD Sequential indicator is flashing a sell signal. The analyst warned that if Bitcoin loses the $94,765 support level, it could drop to as low as $90,000 or even $86,000.  How History Could Repeat Itself For BTC Crypto analyst Rekt Capital raised the possibility of the Bitcoin price repeating a similar move from last year. For history to repeat itself, he noted that BTC would need to reject from $99,000, hold above $93,500, break the $97,000 to $99,000 range, reject from $104,500, hold the $97,000 to $99,000 range as support, and then break out to new all-time highs (ATHs).  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Confirms Breakout To $106,000 As Technicals Align Commenting on the current price action, crypto analyst Titan of Crypto noted that the Bitcoin price is pulling back to a key support confluence. He added that a strong reaction from this current zone would confirm that the upward trend remains intact. His accompanying chart showed that the $95,423 price level is the area to watch. Failure to reclaim this level soon enough could start a downtrend for the flagship crypto.  At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $94,700, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com

May 23, 2025 12:10

Crypto Analyst Puts Bitcoin Price At $120,000 If This Range Breakout Happens

The Bitcoin price is flying high at the moment, having rallied to a new all-time high (ATH) of $111,800 on May 22. Now, crypto analyst Tony Severino has predicted that this rally is likely to sustain, with BTC reaching $120,000 at some point.  Bitcoin Price To Reach $120,000 Following This Range Breakout In an X post, Tony Severino predicted that the Bitcoin price could reach between $116,000 and $120,000 following the breakout from the $106,000 range. This prediction came just before BTC surged past its previous ATH of $109,100 on May 21. The analyst asserted that the flagship crypto could witness a long, white candlestick leading to the rally to this range.   Related Reading: Bitcoin At $118,000 Before June? Trader Reveals When As Weekly MACD Turns Bullish He had also warned that failure to break above the $106,000 range could lead to a retracement as lower timeframe momentum begins to wane. In another post, Severino explained why the range breakout was significant, noting that these breakouts in the Bitcoin price tend to offer a sustainable short-term trend to ride higher. He added that a valid range breakout should be supported by the RSI above 70 on the 3-day timeframe.  The Bitcoin price currently boasts an ultra-bullish outlook, having rallied above the $110,000 mark and reached a new ATH of $111,800. Commenting on the surge to a new ATH, Severino admitted he was wrong about the bear thesis, stating that the macro fundamentals led over the technicals on this rally.  The crypto analyst is confident that the Bitcoin price can go way higher. In his latest analysis, he revealed that BTCs quarterly just triggered a perfected TD9 Sell Setup. He added that the only other time this happened was in Q4 2017, which was the most bullish quarter in crypto history. Bitcoin eventually rose by over 350% above the candlestick open. If history were to repeat itself, Severino predicts that the move will be fast, violent, and over sooner than anyone can imagine. He noted that up appears to be the chosen direction, which is a positive for the Bitcoin price.  A Golden Cross Is Incoming For BTC In an X post, crypto analyst Titan of Crypto stated that a golden cross is incoming for the Bitcoin price. He remarked that BTC is repeating the same pattern, with a Death Cross happening before the Golden Cross. The analyst added that the last time this happened, it triggered a major rally.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Macro Trend Oscillator Shows When To Expect The Price Top In another post, Titan of Crypto predicted that the Bitcoin price could rally to as high as $135,000. He affirmed that the target is still play, with BTC likely to reach this price level this year. Meanwhile, veteran analyst Peter Brandt suggested that Bitcoin could rally to between $125,000 and $150,000 by August.  At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $111,300, up over 3% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

May 16, 2025 12:05

Is Bitcoin Price Turning Bullish Or Bearish? Crypto Analyst Reveals Critical Levels To Watch

Bitcoin’s price action in the past 24 hours has seen it slowly retracing from the $104,000 zone it started the week at. This range has become particularly significant as Bitcoin continues to flirt with levels last seen during its recent push toward new all-time highs. Bitcoin’s price movements over the past two days have tightened, and the candlestick behavior on the weekly chart has led to a doji formation on the weekly candlestick timeframe, an indicator of indecision. Interestingly, a technical analysis from crypto analyst Tony “The Bull” Severino has highlighted critical levels to watch that will determine whether the Bitcoin price is turning bearish or still bullish.  Mixed Signals: Why the Current Resistance Zone Is Critical Crypto analyst Tony “The Bull” Severino shared a chart and in-depth breakdown on the social media platform X, pointing to horizontal support and resistance levels as the most important technical indicators in his view. As shown on his Bitcoin weekly chart, the leading cryptocurrency is now pressing against a well-defined resistance zone just below its all-time high, marked clearly in red. The proximity of this level to its all-time high means it could act as a ceiling, making it an important area to watch for either a breakout or a reversal. Related Reading: Whats Driving The Bitcoin Price Recovery Above $100,000 And Is It Sustainable? Tony outlines three possible interpretations for the current market structure around the $108,000 resistance level. The bullish case hinges on Bitcoin consolidating under resistance, a pattern often followed by upward continuation. The neutral case is that Bitcoin could be forming a broad trading range, in which case it makes sense to short the market at resistance while buying near support. On the bearish side, the presence of a doji candlestick at this key level may be a sign of fading momentum and an early signal of a price reversal. His trading strategy reflects this uncertainty. He has placed short positions within the red resistance zone, with a stop loss just above the all-time high. At the same time, he has set a stop buy order in the green breakout zone above the all-time high, ready to switch long should the Bitcoin price convincingly break through resistance. Conditions For A Bullish Breakout Are Not Yet Fulfilled Although Tony noted that the broader investment market, including altcoins and the stock market, looks strong, he cautioned that this does not guarantee a bullish breakout for Bitcoin. For confirmation, a bullish breakout must be preceded by aligning various technical indicators. These include a breakout with substantial trading volume, an RSI reading above 70 on the weekly chart, and a weekly close above the upper Bollinger Band.  Related Reading: The Big Short Coming For Bitcoin? Why BTC Will Clear $110,000 At the moment, however, the Bitcoin CME Futures chart has failed to move past 70 on the daily RSI twice, and trading volume is in decline. According to CoinMarketCap, the trading volume of Bitcoin is $44.33 billion in the past 24 hours, a 11.40% reduction from the previous 24 hours. These are early warning signs that a breakout attempt may lack the strength needed for sustainability. Nonetheless, the conditions are still very mixed and starting to lean more bullish than bearish. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $102,352, down by 1.31% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

May 01, 2025 12:05

Bitcoin Raging Bull Indicator Turns Back On, But This Level Holds The Key

Bitcoin continues to show signs of resilience at the $95,000 region, pushing higher from recent lows and attempting to reclaim its bullish structure after a volatile April. The monthly candlestick for April on the CME Futures chart currently presents a strong bullish engulfing formation, which, if sustained into the weekly close, could provide the market with bullish momentum to close May with another bullish candle. The potential of this bullish close is enough to sway the sentiment among bearish proponents, according to crypto analyst Tony “The Bull” Severino. Raging Bull Tool Flashes Signal On CME Futures Bitcoin’s price action over the past two weeks has been positive and has seen an otherwise waning bullish sentiment slowly creeping back among crypto traders. Interestingly, this price action has even seen Bitcoin’s net taker volume turn positive for the first time in a while. Although the trend is still in its early stages, the renewed strength is already beginning to soften some of the more bearish outlooks, especially as key indicators start to turn. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Confirms Breakout To $106,000 As Technicals Align Tony The Bull Severino, a well-followed crypto analyst, recently revealed on social media platform X that his proprietary Raging Bull indicator has turned back on. However, this indicator has turned back on only on the Bitcoin CME Futures chart, not the spot BTC/USD chart.   The divergence between CME Futures and the spot chart, with only the former flashing this bullish signal, has added complexity to Bitcoins current outlook. The Raging Bull tool, which uses weekly price data, is designed to identify early stages of powerful upward movements. According to Severino, the appearance of this signal, despite his bearish stance, suggests a meaningful shift in market structure may be developing. However, he was quick to add that a confirmed weekly close is still necessary before any firm conclusions can be drawn.  Breaking Above This Level Is Key Examining the monthly chart shared by the analyst, the bullish engulfing candlestick is clearly visible following a sharp rebound from Aprils lows below $83,000. Bitcoin began the month of April at around $83,000, but a swift downturn in the first few days pushed the price downward until it bottomed out at around $75,000. However, the current April candle not only erases Marchs losses but also indicates increased interest in Bitcoin from institutional traders on the CME platform.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Following Analysts Prediction For Bullish Breakout, Heres The Target Still, despite the encouraging candlestick formation, Bitcoin must decisively break above the $96,000 to $100,000 region, where previous uptrends have stalled. This level is acting as a ceiling that could determine whether the recent bullish momentum continues or stalls. A failure to close above this range, either on the weekly or monthly timeframe, could invalidate the Raging Bull signal.  Additionally, the Raging Bull indicator needs to turn back on the spot BTCUSD chart to confirm a strong bullish outlook. This can only be done if Bitcoin manages to break substantially above $96,000. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $94,934. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Apr 21, 2025 12:10

Bitcoin Bull Market Remains Intact Unless This Support Breaks Analyst

Popular crypto analyst Tony Severino has shared a bold take on the current Bitcoin (BTC) market structure. The chartered market technician has stated that the Bitcoin bull market remains active unless the price falls below a specific level.  Notably, Bitcoin saw a heavy correction after hitting a peak price of $109,000 in January. Over the last three months, the premier cryptocurrency has traded as low as $74,000, representing a devaluation of over 32.5%. Although there has been a notable price bounce in April, an ever-present market uncertainty means speculation remains abound on the viability of the present bull cycle. Related Reading: Bitcoin Dominance At Risk Of Crash To 40%, Why This Is Good For Ethereum, XRP, And Altcoins $49,000 As Key Price Level For Bitcoin – Here’s Why In an X post on April 18, Severino has identified the $49,000 price region as the make-or-break zone for the Bitcoin market.  With the help of a weekly trading chart, Severino highlights that Bitcoin remains on an ascending trendline stretching as far back as Q3 2023.  An ascending trendline represents a sustained uptrend in price action, typically confirmed by the formation of successive higher highs and higher lows. It typically demonstrates a persistent buying pressure and sufficient underlying demand, thus ensuring a prolonged price rally. Generally, the higher lows reflect the strength of an ascending trend. Therefore, any fall below the previous higher low undermines the bullish momentum and indicates a likely change in market sentiment.   According to Severinos chart, the last higher low on Bitcoins ascending trendline stands at $49,140. Therefore, this level represents a key support region, any price fall below which would invalidate the present bull run and signal a new market cycle.  At the time of writing, Bitcoin remains in consolidation trading between $83,000 and $86,000 as seen over the past week. The market appears to be finding stability with accumulation now on the rise.  Amid the US 90-day pause on new tariffs, the likelihood of a sharp downside catalyst is relatively low. However, the potential for a decisive price breakout remains uncertain, as broader market sentiment continues to face key resistance barriers at $86,000 and $91,000 price regions. Related Reading: Brace For Impact: Dogecoin May Plunge Before Skyrocketing 400%Analyst Bitcoin Price Forecast At press time, Bitcoin is trading at $85,312, reflecting a price gain of 0.91% in 24 hours. Interestingly, the assets trading volume is up 19.77% and valued at $15.26 billion. According to price prediction firm Coincodex, market sentiment among investors is neutral. However, there remains a significant level of caution with the Fear & Greed Index standing at 37. In forecasting Bitcoin fortunes, Coincodex anticipates a full bullish market reversal with projections of $108,296 in five days and $111,236 in a month. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview

Apr 17, 2025 12:05

Bitcoin Price Following Analysts Prediction For Bullish Breakout, Heres The Target

The Bitcoin price appears to be moving in lockstep with a bullish prediction made by a crypto analyst earlier this month. According to the analysts forecast, Bitcoin is set to break out to a new all-time high above $120,000 following the announcement of a temporary tariff pause by United States (US) President Donald Trump.  $120,000 Bitcoin Price Forecast In Motion Kaduna, a crypto analyst on X (formerly Twitter), has released a follow-up analysis on his previous bullish prediction of Bitcoin, highlighting that it is playing out as expected. On April 11, the analyst predicted that Bitcoin was preparing for a massive push above $120,000.  Related Reading: Trumps Tariff Pause Could Push Bitcoin Price Above $100,000, Pundit Reveals Exit Point He outlined a thesis that the 90-day suspension of President Trumps Tariffs would act as a powerful macroeconomic catalyst for Bitcoin. Kaduna argued that the market may start frontrunning about a month early, culminating in a mini bull market during a 55-day exit window between April 3 and June 3 2025.  Accompanying this bullish analysis was a detailed chart comparing Bitcoins price movements through candlesticks with a blue overlay, believed to represent a macroeconomic indicator such as global M2. The blue line in the chart projects a steady climb during this window, offering a clear visual target above $120,000. Kaduna had stated that if his prediction played out, he would exit most positions by the end of the window.  Just days after his bullish forecast, Bitcoin has begun mirroring the projected path. Kaduna revealed in a follow-up candlestick chart that Bitcoin is breaking above the local resistance at $84,000 with strong volume support, aligning with the predicted overlay. This early strength suggests that the frontrunning behaviour the crypto expert projected earlier is now playing out in real time.  The blue line suggests a potential move toward the $120,000 – $125,000 range over the next month and a half, setting a clear upside target if momentum continues. Bitcoins price action is also unfolding right on cue within the 55-day window, validating the analysts bullish thesis. Both the overlay and Bitcoins prices are trending upwards, signaling that the market is indeed reacting to the macroeconomic tariff catalyst. If this trajectory holds, it would mark a significant validation of the analysts macro-technical analysis approach.  Update On The Bitcoin Price Action Following its crash below $80,000, the Bitcoin price seems to be on a path to recovery. CoinMarketCaps data reveals that Bitcoin is currently trading at $83,395, marking a significant 7.16% increase over the past week.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Forms This Bullish Pennant On Daily Chart That Could Trigger Rise To $137,000 The cryptocurrency had broken the resistance level at $84,000 earlier this week. However, it retraced sold gains and is now trading at its present market value. Given its fluctuating price and unstable market, crypto analysts like Tony Severino have revealed that he is neither bullish nor bearish on Bitcoin. Instead, he seems to be taking a wait-and-see approach, closely monitoring how the market responds to ongoing volatility driven by the US Trade war and tariff implementation. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

Apr 02, 2025 12:05

Warning: Bitcoin And Altcoins Fischer Transform Indicator Turn Bearish For The First Time Since 2021

Technical expert Tony Severino has warned that the Bitcoin and altcoins Fischer Transform indicator has flipped bearish for the first time since 2021. The analyst also revealed the implications of this development and how exactly it could impact these crypto assets.  Bitcoin And Altcoins Fischer Transform Indicator Turns Bearish In an X post, Severino revealed that the total crypto market cap 12-week Fisher Transform has flipped bearish for the first time since December 2021. Before then, the indicator had flipped bearish in January 2018. In 2021 and 2018, the total crypto market cap dropped 66% and 82%, respectively. This provides a bearish outlook for Bitcoin and altcoins, suggesting they could suffer a massive crash soon enough.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Fischer Transform Returns To 2022 Bear Levels, Why Max Pain Could Continue For 4 Months In another X post, the technical expert revealed that Bitcoins 12-week Fischer Transform has also flipped bearish. Severino noted that this indicator converts prices into a Gaussian normal distribution to smooth out price data and filter out noise. In the process, it helps generate clear signals that help pinpoint major market turning points.  Severino asserted that this indicator on the 12-week timeframe has never missed a top or bottom call, indicating that Bitcoin and altcoins may have indeed topped out. The expert has been warning for a while now that the Bitcoin top might be in and that a massive crash could be on the horizon for the flagship crypto. He recently alluded to the Elliott Wave Theory and market cycles to explain why he is no longer bullish on Bitcoin and altcoins. He also highlighted other indicators, such as the Parabolic SAR (Stop and Reverse) and Average Directional Index (ADX), to show that BTCs bullish momentum is fading. The expert also warned that a sell signal could send BTC into a Supertrend DownTrend, with the flagship crypto dropping to as low as $22,000.  A Different Perspective For BTC Crypto analyst Kevin Capital has provided a different perspective on Bitcoins price action. While noting that BTC is in a correctional phase, he affirmed that it will soon be over. Kevin Capital claimed that the question is not whether this phase will end. Instead, it is about how strong Bitcoins bounce will be and whether the flagship crypto will make new highs or record a lackluster lower high followed by a bear market.  Related Reading: Bitcoin CME Gap Close About To Happen With Push Toward $83,000 What Happens Next? The analyst added that Bitcoins price action when that time comes will also be trackable using other methods, such as money flow, macro fundamentals, and overall spot volume. The major focus is on the macro fundamentals as market participants look forward to Donald Trumps much-anticipated reciprocal tariffs, which will be announced tomorrow.  At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $83,000, up around 1% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com

Mar 06, 2025 12:05

Ethereum In 2024 Vs. 2025: What Important Technical Indicators Are Saying

Crypto analyst Tony Severino has drawn similarities between Ethereums price action in 2024 and this year. Specifically, the analyst highlighted important technical indicators and what they are saying about ETHs future trajectory.  Ethereums Price Action In 2024 Vs. 2025 Based On Important Technical Indicators In an X post, Tony Severino provided a Japanese candlestick, TD Sequential and Parabolic SAR analysis of the 2024 and 2025 Ethereum price action. He noted that ETHs 2024 candle made a lower high both on a candle close and wick high basis. On the other hand, he revealed that 2025s candlestick is currently a bearish engulfing with the candle body fully engulfing 2024s candlestick and is entering 2023s candle body.  Related Reading: Ethereum Price Forms Falling Wedge Pattern On 1-Day Chart That Suggests 20% Rally Is Coming Meanwhile, Severino stated that the yearly support is drawn at $735, while the Parabolic SAR is at $370. He also remarked that the TD Sequential count is now on a red 1, potentially denoting the start of Ethereum’s first ever yearly downtrend. The analyst assured that it is still very early to worry about a yearly candlestick that has ten more months to close.  Ethereum is currently in a downtrend, having dropped below $2,000 yesterday for the first time since December 2023. Although ETH has recovered above this psychological level, concerns remain about its current price action. As Severino noted, the Ethereum price could be facing its first-ever yearly downtrend.  Ethereum began the year in an unusual manner, recording a negative monthly close in both January and February, the first time this has happened. Crypto analyst Ali Martinez warned that the Ethereum price could still drop to as low as $1,600 or even $1.200, having broken below the lower boundary of a parallel channel.  ETHs Bottom Might Be In In an X post, crypto analyst Titan of Crypto asserted that Ethereums bottom is in. He revealed that the 2024 low has been swept on ETHs perpetual daily chart, tapping into what the analyst believes is the most significant point of interest for a potential reversal. The analysts accompanying chart suggested that the Ethereum price could still come close to or even reach its current all-time high (ATH).  Related Reading: Ethereum Price Could Be Primed For Another 100% Move After Printing Capitulation Candle In the short term, the Ethereum price is still expected to rebound. The analyst revealed that two ETH CME futures gaps remain unfilled above $2,500. The first is between $2,540 and $2,620, while the second is between $2,900 and $3,300. He noted that these ETH CME futures gaps traditionally tend to get filled, indicating that the crypto could soon rebound to these price levels.  At the time of writing, the Ethereum price is trading at around $2,176, up over 3% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com

Mar 27, 2025 12:05

Bitcoin Marks 114 Weeks In Active Buy Signal On The SuperTrend Weekly, But Things Could Turn Bad If This Happens

Crypto analyst Tony Severino has provided an update on the Bitcoin price action. The flagship crypto is now eyeing a bullish reversal, but the analyst warned of how things could still go wrong for BTC and mark the end of the bull run.  Bitcoin Marks 114 Weeks In Active Buy Signal In an X post, Severino revealed that Bitcoin is still in an active buy signal on the SuperTrend weekly. He added that BTC has been in this buy signal for 114 weeks and roughly 800 days. This is undoubtedly a huge positive for the flagship crypto, especially as it looks to reclaim the psychological $90,000 level and rally to new highs.  Related Reading: Is Bitcoin Price Headed For $70,000 Or $300,000? What The Charts Are Saying However, the crypto analyst warned that a sell signal would be a strong sign that the bull run has ended. His accompanying chart showed that the sell signal could send BTC into a Supertrend DownTrend, with the flagship crypto dropping to as low as $22,000 in what could mark the peak of the bear market. Crypto analyst PlanB recently affirmed that the bear market is not here yet. Instead, he believes Bitcoin is still in the middle of a sustainable uptrend and predicts that the flagship cryptos price could double this year. This could lead to a parabolic rally to as high as $180,000 for BTC. Experts like Standard Chartered have also predicted that a rally to $200,000 this year is achievable.  In the meantime, the focus will likely be on how the Bitcoin price reacts to Donald Trumps reciprocal tariffs, which will go into force on April 2nd. The previous tariffs sparked a wave of sell-offs, causing BTC to drop to as low as $77,000. However, there is also the possibility that Bitcoin has priced in this development and could avoid any further downtrend when the tariffs are implemented on April 2nd.  A New ATH This Year Is Possible  Crypto analyst Titan of Crypto has also affirmed that Bitcoin could see a new all-time high (ATH) this year. This came as he remarked that BTCs uptrend is intact and that the flagship crypto reacted strongly around the weekly 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). His accompanying chart showed that Bitcoin could reach a new ATH of $121,000 before the year runs out.  Related Reading: Analyst Says Bitcoin RSI Dominance Needs To Crash To This Level For The Bull Run To Resume In another X post, he again predicted that Bitcoin could reach this target while revealing a Bump and Run pattern which was forming for the flagship crypto. Titan of Crypto asserted that the Uphill run will be epic. A positive for BTC is that whales are actively accumulating. Crypto analyst Ali Martinez revealed that over 22,000 coins were withdrawn from exchanges in the past week.  At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $87,500, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com

Mar 22, 2025 12:05

CMT-Certified Expert Explains Why Bitcoin May Not Reach Past Extremes On Indicators

A crypto market technician is debating whether Bitcoin has reached its peak this bull cycle, as technical indicators suggest a potential loss of momentum. The analysis report highlights technical indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) which failed to reach past extremes, raising concerns about Bitcoins future trajectory. Bitcoin Indicators Fall Short Of Historical Peaks Bitcoin has historically exhibited strong indicator readings during major cycle tops, reflecting extreme market engagement and enthusiasm. However, in this bull cycle, the pioneer cryptocurrency’s RSI reading has failed to reach historical peaks despite Bitcoin reaching new all-time highs.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Risks Further Crash As S&P Monthly LMACD Turns Bearish, Why Bulls Have Only 20 Days Tony Severino, a crypto market technician on X (formerly Twitter), has Bitcoin Price Risks Further Crash As S&P Monthly LMACD Turns Bearish, Why Bulls Have Only 20 Days a detailed analysis of Bitcoin, challenging the assumption that the cryptocurrency must reach the same overbought RSI levels as in previous cycles to confirm its market peak. The key argument here is that lower highs on oscillators like the RSI, combined with higher highs in Bitcoins price, can be a bearish signal, suggesting waning strength in the market.  Severino shared an example comparing Bitcoins current bull cycle to past cycles. In the previous bull market, Bitcoins monthly RSI reached above 90, but its current cycle has not. The analyst posed a question about whether this inability to reach past extremes means that Bitcoin hasnt reached a market top or simply lacked the same momentum to push its RSI to the highest level.  The analyst has warned that believing that Bitcoin must reach past extremes on indicators before hitting a price peak is a dangerous way of thinking. Historical patterns do not always repeat in the same way, and relying too much on past indicator peaks could cause traders to miss warning signs of a top or underestimate the possibility of a bear market.  Severino also pointed to historical data from the S&P 500 in the 1950s and 1960s, where similar RSI failure preceded a long market meltdown. During these times, cyclical peaks hit RSI readings of 77 or higher, but in 1969, the RSI failed to reach those highs, signaling underlying weakness. This market downturn ultimately led to the first lower low in over 20 years.  While this historical behavior of the S&P 500 does not mean that Bitcoin is destined for a lower high, it does suggest that the cryptocurrency does not need to reach extreme RSI levels to confirm a cycle top and a subsequent bear market.  Analyst Says BTC Has Hit Its Market Top In his analysis Severino confirmed that Bitcoin has already hit its market top for this bull cycle. Following his detailed analysis of Bitcoins RSI levels, a community member asked if Severino believes that Bitcoin reached a market top when its price surged above $109,000.  Related Reading: This Analyst Predicted The Bitcoin Price Crash From $91,000, Why Its Far From Over The analyst responded positively, stating that current market data indicates that the cryptocurrency hit its highest price point for this bull cycle after Donald Trumps US Inauguration Day. At the time, Bitcoin soared past $109,000, setting a new ATH and surpassing previous records. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com

Mar 13, 2025 12:05

This Ethereum Monthly RSI Chart Just Crashed To New Lows To Break 2022 Records, What Happened Last Time?

Ethereum’s price has been facing significant downward pressure in recent days, with the cryptocurrency even dipping below the $2,000 mark for the first time since December 2023. The crash below $2,000 has done more harm to the already declining bullish sentiment, and the next outlook is whether there will be more incoming declines or whether the leading altcoin is already nearing a bottom.  Notably, an interesting signal of a probable outcome has been revealed through the Ethereum CME Futures chart, where the monthly Relative Strength Index (RSI) just reached its lowest level on record, surpassing the readings from the 2022 bear market. Ethereums Monthly RSI Drops Below 2022 Levels Crypto analyst Tony “The Bull” Severino has highlighted a significant development in Ethereums technical indicators, pointing out that the cryptocurrencys monthly Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the CME Futures chart has now fallen to its lowest level on record. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Prediction: Extremely Strong Support And Monthly 55 EMA Says ETH Is Headed For $4,867 This decline has pushed the RSI below the 2022 bear market bottom, a period that saw Ethereum reach multi-year lows before eventually staging a recovery. Severino shared this observation in a detailed technical analysis post on social media platform X, using Ethereums Futures monthly candlestick timeframe chart.  The analyst noted that although this drop suggests strong selling momentum, it could also be forming a hidden bullish divergence. This is because the last time Ethereums RSI dropped to such extreme lows, it eventually found its footing around $900 and embarked on a price uptrend in the months that followed. This previous performance raises the possibility of Ethereum approaching a bottom, despite its current downward momentum. It is possible that Ethereum has now found a footing around $1,900 and is now gearing up for another uprend in the coming months. However, Severino remained cautious about the situation, stating that the reading could also mean that the selling pressure is at its strongest and could continue driving Ethereum lower into oversold conditions. Interestingly, he also made it clear that despite the potential for a reversal, he is currently leaning more toward a bearish outlook on Ethereum. Stochastic Indicator Points To A Deeper Bearish Phase Beyond the RSI levels, another key indicator that Severino highlighted is Ethereum’s one-month Stochastic oscillator, which has now dropped below the 50 mark. In a previous analysis, he noted that Ethereum’s drop below the 50 mark is characteristic of a bear maket territory. However, it typically does not find a bottom until the Stochastic indicator reaches below 20 and is in extreme oversold conditions. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Crash To $2,000 Could Happen As Smaller Timeframes Turn Bearish As shown by the chart below, past trends indicate that when Ethereum’s Stochastic oscillator enters bear market territory, it often takes months before the asset stabilizes and begins a strong recovery. At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading at $1,920, having recently reached a low of $1,851 in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com

Mar 12, 2025 12:05

Ethereum, Dogecoin Lead Large Cap Losses As Bitcoin Moves Into Bear Market Territory

The cryptocurrency market is facing a seemingly never-ending decline, with Ethereum (ETH) and Dogecoin (DOGE) leading the losses among large-cap digital assets. This correction comes as the broader market sentiment turns bearish and cautious while Bitcoin (BTC) experiences persistent volatility and moves into bear market territory.  Ethereum And Dogecoin Market Cap Takes A Hit Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, has recorded a significant drop in its market cap in the last 24 hours. While the price of Ethereum has declined to $1,910, its market cap has also gone down approximately 7.8%.  Related Reading: Heres Why Bitcoin, Ethereum, And The Entire Crypto Market Is Crashing Today A combination of factors has contributed to this unfortunate drop in valuation, including investor caution ahead of key economic reports and ongoing bearish sentiments. While Ethereums trading volume seems to be the only metric in the green, jumping by 80%, liquidations persist as traders exit their positions ahead of further losses.  On a similar note, Dogecoin, the number one meme coin, has experienced steep losses in both its value and market cap. Despite its 30.5% increase in trading volume, Dogecoins market cap has fallen by 6.6%. This decline follows a recent surge in meme-based cryptocurrencies earlier this year, which appears to be losing momentum.  As of writing, the Dogecoin price is trading at $0.16, reflecting a deep correction of 16.8% in the last seven days and a massive 37% crash over the past month.  Notably, the decline in Dogecoin and Ethereums market cap is the highest in the last 24 hours, with coins in the top 10 experiencing a less than 2% drop. This massive drop in both cryptocurrencies comes as analysts confirm that Bitcoin has entered bear market territory.  Bitcoin And Altcoins Enter Bear Market  According to crypto analyst Tony Severino, Bitcoin may have entered bear market territory as the pioneer cryptocurrency faces decreasing momentum. Severinos analysis applies the Elliott Wave Theory, which claims that the bear market for altcoins started in 2022, coinciding with Bitcoins Wave 5.  Related Reading: Bitcoin, Ethereum, And Solana: Real Visions Raoul Pal Calls The Greatest Macro Trade Of All Time During this period, the market saw a rise in interest rates and Quantitative Tightening (QT), where central banks reduced liquidity in financial markets. Since altcoins thrive when there is excess liquidity, economic tightening has led to weak performance for these digital currencies.  Severino argues that Bitcoins Wave 5 lacked the usual strength of a true bull market top. Based on the Elliott Wave Theory, the fifth wave has always been weaker than the third in terms of price speed, volume, and breadth.  The analyst also referenced a textbook that explains that Wave 5 tends to be sideways and weak, often preceding the bear market as it indicates waning momentum. The overall conclusion of Severinos analysis is that the altcoin bear market, which began more than three years ago, has never really ended since economic conditions havent returned to what they were before 2022. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com

Feb 18, 2025 12:05

Crypto Analyst Predicts 1,500% Pump As Litecoin Grows Against Bitcoin

Litecoin has been gaining momentum in recent weeks, and according to crypto analyst Tony “The Bull” Severino, this might be just the beginning of an explosive rally. Although Litecoin also started February on a decline alongside the rest of the crypto market, it has since detached and has recovered from these losses.  This interesting Litecoin price move has seen it outperforming against Bitcoin. In a post shared on social media platform X, Severino projected that Litecoin could significantly outperform Bitcoin in the coming months and pump by 1,500%. LTCs Growing Strength Against Bitcoin Litecoin has remained relatively quiet in this market cycle, drawing less attention compared to top cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, Solana, and XRP. However, technical analysis shows that LTC has started to outperform Bitcoin, especially in the past two months. Related Reading: Litecoin Sees 2M Bollinger Bands Tighten What A Move Above $130 Will Mean For Price This trend with Litecoin and Bitcoin was highlighted through a multi-year monthly candlestick chart shared by crypto analyst Tony Severino. As shown by the chart below, the Litcoin / Bitcoin pair has been on an uptrend after rebounding on the bottom trendline of its multi-year descending channel.  Tony Severino noted that Litecoin will continue to push upwards in this channel, which will cause the price to continue outperforming Bitcoin on the monthly timeframe. Regarding a price prediction, the analyst noted two targets for the pair. The first target is at 0.006275 BTC, which is just around the upper trendline of this channel. From here, a continued breakout is expected to push the Litecoin / Bitcoin pair to the final target of 0.02 BTC.  As of now, the LTC/BTC pair is trading at approximately 0.003, meaning the first target suggests a 110% increase against Bitcoin, while the final target points to a 566% surge. Litecoin Price Targets If It Continues To Grow Against Bitcoin The predicted outperformance of Litecoin against Bitcoin places Litecoin at new all-time highs. Provided that Bitcoin continues to trade around the $100,000 mark and the LTC/BTC pair continues its upward trajectory, Litecoins first price target at 0.006275 BTC would correspond to a valuation of approximately $630. Should the pair reach the final target of 0.02 BTC, the price could skyrocket to around $2,000.  Related Reading: Crypto Analyst Dunks On Shiba Inu, Cardano, And Litecoin, Reveals Bullish Cryptocurrencies This scenario of Litecoin strongly outpacing Bitcoin if it continues to range around $100,000 could set off a domino effect and cause an altcoin season. This altcoin season could cause capital flows from Bitcoin into the altcoin market, causing other altcoins to also outperform Bitcoin. However, Bitcoin could eventually start climbing beyond $100,000. In this case, Litecoins relative strength on the Litecoin / Bitcoin pair would still be crucial. If it continues to trend upward even while the Bitcoin price appreciates, the price targets for Litecoin will be even higher. A push toward 0.006275 or 0.02 in the LTC/BTC pair amid a rising Bitcoin market would result in prices that exceed the initial $630 and $2,000 targets. At the time of writing, LTC is trading at $126 after recently reaching an intraday high of $136. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

Feb 01, 2025 12:05

Bitcoin Price Enters Ascending Phase After Cup And Handle Formation At $105,000, Heres The Next Target

Crypto analyst CobraVanguard has revealed that the Bitcoin price has entered an ascending phase after a cup and handle formation at the $105,000 level. Based on this bullish pattern, the analyst highlighted the price target that BTC could reach as it enters this ascending phase.  Bitcoin Price Could Rally To $123,000 As It Enters Ascending Phase In a TradingView post, CobraVanguard predicted that the Bitcoin price could rally to $123,000 as it enters the ascending phase by the cup and handle pattern. According to the analyst, BTC is in a large cup and handle, and if it follows this pattern, its price will have a nice rally. His accompanying chart showed that the flagship crypto could hit the $123,000 price target.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Prediction: Analyst Charts Roadmap To $117,000, What You Should Know The analyst also revealed his golden analysis for the Bitcoin price, in which he revealed that the flagship crypto could rally to as high as $260,000 in this market cycle. His accompanying chart highlighted an ascending channel, which showed that BTC could hit this target if it reached the upper part of the channel.  Interestingly, other crypto analysts have provided higher targets for the Bitcoin price in this market cycle. Crypto analyst Tony Severino recently predicted that BTC could reach as high as $321,000 in this cycle. He highlighted a potential head and shoulder pattern on BTCs chart and stated that the flagship crypto could reach this target if the pattern were valid.  He also raised the possibility of the Bitcoin price rallying to $345,000. Severino explained that BTC could reach this ambitious price target if it touches the upper boundary of the primary uptrend channel over the last eight years or thereabouts. Meanwhile, for his more conservative targets, he predicted that Bitcoins price could top between $158,000 and $191,000 in this market cycle.  Why BTC Hasnt Reached Its Market Top Yet Amid the bearish signals pointing to a market top, crypto analyst Ali Martinez outlined several reasons why the Bitcoin price still has more room to grow in this bull run. First, he noted that cycle shifts typically occur when BTC surpasses 2.4x the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), which is currently at $184,600.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Long-Term Holders Officially Enter Into Greed Territory, Is This Good Or Bad For Price? Furthermore, Martinez stated that the Mayer Multiple suggests the Bitcoin price has more upside, with a potential market top of around $182,000. From a technical perspective, the crypto analyst highlighted Bitcoins cup-and-handle breakout, which points toward a target of $276,400. Lastly, he alluded to the halving cycle theory, which suggests that BTC could reach a market top between May and October 2025.  At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $104,700, down almost 1% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com

Jan 26, 2025 12:05

Bitcoin Price At $321,000 This Cycle? Analyst Says Its The Math

Crypto analyst Tony Severino has provided an ultra-bullish outlook for the Bitcoin price, predicting that the flagship crypto could rally to as high as $321,000. The analyst admitted that this target was too high for BTC but added that it was simply the math. Bitcoin Price To Reach $321,000 In This Market Cycle  In a substack post, Tony Severino predicted that the Bitcoin price could rally to as high as $321,000 in this bull run. This came as the analyst highlighted a potential head and shoulders pattern that had formed on Bitcoins chart. The analyst claimed that if this bullish pattern was valid, then it projects a maximum target of $321,000 per BTC. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Aims For $150,000-$170,000 With Wave Formation, Here Are The Details Severino admitted that this price target for the Bitcoin price is too high but remarked that its the math. Interestingly, the crypto analyst went on to give a higher price prediction for the flagship crypto based on another bullish pattern. According to him, BTC could reach $345,000 if it touches the upper boundary of the primary uptrend channel over the last 8 years or thereabouts. Meanwhile, Severino also provided more conservative targets for the Bitcoin price. The analyst predicted that BTC could at least touch $158,000. This came as he noted that the 2021 cycle peak inverse Fibonacci extension could project the 2025 cycle peak. If so, he stated that this peak inverse Fib extension is located among the lowest estimates for BTC at $158,000.  The crypto analyst further remarked that another method of using the 1.618 Fib extension involves projecting the target from the peak of wave 3 from the bottom of wave 1. Based on this, he added that this calls for a potential target of $194,000.  Severino provided another version that projects the 1.618 Fib extension from the top of subwave iii of 5 to the bottom of subwave i of 5. If this plays out, BTC could reach a slightly lower target of $186,000. Lastly, the crypto analyst also raised the possibility of the Bitcoin price peaking at $191,000. He highlighted a bull pattern, which, if valid, could send BTC to this target.  BTCs Price Action In The Short Term Crypto analyst Ali Martinez provided insights into the Bitcoin price action in the short term. In an X post, he stated that the key support level for Bitcoin is at $97,877, where more than 101,000 BTC were accumulated. The analyst further remarked that holding above this level is crucial to sustaining the bullish momentum for the flagship crypto.  Related Reading: This Analyst Correctly Predicted The Bitcoin Price Crash To $99,000, Heres Whats Supposed To Happen Next In another X post, the crypto analyst provided a bullish outlook for the Bitcoin price. He noted that the number of BTC transactions over $100,000 has doubled in the past week, rising from $15,620 to $32,320.  At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $104,300, down almost 1% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com

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