CryptoQuant Founder Puts $112,000 Target For Bitcoin This Year

The founder of on-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant has said Bitcoin could reach a target of $112,000 this year driven by the ETF inflows. Bitcoin May Hit $112,000 Based On Inflows Into The ETFs In a new post on X, CryptoQuant CEO and founder Ki Young Ju talked about the outlook of the cryptocurrency based on [...]

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Bitcoin MVRV Hints At $85,000 Price Target On This Condition Details

Bitcoin, the world’s largest digital asset, recorded significant market gains in the past week to resume an uptrend that began in early October. Data from CoinMarketCap shows that Bitcoin rose by 10.58% in the past week as pro-crypto candidate Donald Trump emerged as US President-elect on November 5, followed by a 25 bps rate cut by the US Federal Reserve. With the crypto market leader recording new all-time highs each day, analyst Ali Martinez has dropped a new price target that hinges on a certain condition. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sentiment Enters Danger Zone: Investors Now Extremely Greedy Bitcoin Must Stay Above $71,480 – Heres Why Amidst the current Bitcoin price rally, Ali Martinez predicts the digital asset could reach a local price peak of $85,360. However, this price action can only occur if BTCs value does not decline below $71,480 based on data from the MVRV Deviation Pricing Bands, a trading tool used to identify extreme bullish and bearish market conditions based on the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV). Martinezs latest insight on Bitcoins trajectory follows a previous prediction in which the analyst forecasted the premier cryptocurrency to retrace to around $71,500 after hitting the $78,000 price mark.  With Bitcoin within range of this price target following its recent tourney across $77,000, it is imperative that the market bulls prevent any potential retracement below $71,480, which may result in a further decline to $66,000 at which lies its next major resistance.  Alternatively, Bitcoin is also well poised to push beyond $78,000, reaching Martinezs target of $85,360 without experiencing any projected price pullback as market sentiments remain highly bullish due to multiple factors.  Aside from Donald Trumps resounding electoral victory which signals an incoming crypto-friendly approach by the US Government, high inflows into the Bitcoin Spot ETFs over the past weeks have also boosted investors’ confidence in Bitcoin’s continuous profitability. Nevertheless, all investors are admonished to remain vigilant as the crypto market is subject to high levels of volatility and sudden price movements. Related Reading: $13 Million Bitcoin? Sounds Bearish: Expert Hints At Even Greater Heights Ahead BTC Social Narrative Backs Potential Retrace In other news, data from analytics firm Santiment shows that Bitcoin’s rise above $77,000 has induced a change in the social narrative as the general crypto community is anticipating a continuous rise to $80,000.  According to Santiment, whenever crypto enthusiasts have been overly eager about $80,000 in the past month, Bitcoin has experienced a price retrace. Therefore, there is a need to reduce growing notions around FOMO in order to allow Bitcoin to maintain its current price rally. At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades at $76,395 reflecting a gain of 0.49% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from  Forbes, chart from Tradingview

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Expert Sets $285,000 Bitcoin Price Target Based On Quantile Model

Sinaa professor, consultant, and co-founder & COO of 21stCapital.comis projecting that the Bitcoin price could rise as high as $285,000 by the end of 2025 in a new analysis shared on X. Utilizing a quantile regression model, Sina identifies distinct phases in Bitcoin’s market cycle. Can Bitcoin Price Skyrocket Above $200,000? The model identifies the Cold Zone (<33%) as the price range between $55,000 and $85,000. This zone represents the lowest possible range by the end of 2025 and suggests a period ideal to aggressively accumulate. The Warm Zone (33-66%), spanning from $85,000 to $136,000, marks a period where the market gains momentum, and mainstream attention intensifies. During this phase, rapid price growth is expected as the “train leaves the station.” Sina recommends a standard accumulation strategy here, such as dollar-cost averaging (DCA), to steadily increase holdings. Related Reading: Bitcoin Investors Watch Out: Miners Showing Unusual Exchange Inflow Activity The most critical phase, the Hot Zone (>66%), ranges from $136,000 to $285,000. This zone is characterized by heightened volatility and significant price swings as mass adoption peaks and leveraged positions become prevalent. While there is substantial room for upside, the risk of reversals escalates rapidly. Sina advises investors to either hold and enjoy potential gains or consider gradually exiting positions based on risk assessments, particularly since historical tops occur in the 90th to 99th quantile range. Notably, the 90th quantile starts at $211,000. What astonishes Sina is how these 33% quantile ranges align seamlessly with Bitcoin’s historical phase transitions. He notes that Bitcoin tends to spend exactly one-third of its time in each zone before transitioning to the next, almost like clockwork. This pattern means that most of the bear market occurs below the 33% quantile, while bull market euphoria begins above the 66% quantile. Renowned crypto analyst PlanC (@TheRealPlanC) acknowledged Sina’s model, commenting that it is a “perfect explanationsuper clear.” Sina, in turn, credited PlanC for the foundational work that influenced his own model. Related Reading: 7 Reasons To Be Bullish On Bitcoin This Week PlanC has also recently updated his “Power Law Probability Model,” which forecasts Bitcoin prices ranging from $189,733 to $245,264 for the 97% to 99.9% quantile and $145,182 to $189,733 for the 90% to 97% quantile. He emphasizes that despite appearances, the underlying data follows a power-law relationship, independent of how it’s plottedbe it linear, log-linear, or log-log scales. The data follows a log-log relationship with quantile regressions, whereas the rainbow chart uses logarithmic regression with a log-linear relationship. […] I am not ‘drawing’ these lines. These are quantile regressions of the log of price vs. time, based on all the data we have to date, he explains. To contextualize the model’s predictive capabilities, PlanC elaborates on the significance of various quantiles. The 99.9% quantile means the price has been above this line only 0.1% of the time, equating to just one day out of every 1,000 daysa very rare event. The 99% quantile indicates the price has exceeded this line 1% of the time, or one day out of every 100 days, also considered rare. Conversely, the 0.1% quantile reflects that the price has fallen below this line only 0.1% of the time. At press time, BTC traded at $67,121. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

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