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CATEGORY: cme gap


Mar 06, 2025 12:05

Bitcoin Price Suffers Bearish Deviation After Filling CME Gap, Is This Good Or Bad?

The Bitcoin price is struggling to recover from recent declines, as the market downtrend has kept it significantly below the $100,000 mark. Amidst this volatility, Bitcoin is experiencing a bearish deviation that is filling a new Chicago Mercantile (CME) Gap. This has triggered a fresh prediction from a crypto analyst who believes that the pioneer cryptocurrency is set for a higher high. Bitcoin Price To Form Higher Low As CME Gap Fills Crypto analyst Rekt Capital took to X (formerly Twitter) on Monday to share his projected outlook for the Bitcoin price. The analyst highlighted that Bitcoin is currently undergoing a bearish deviation, which is filling a massive gap on the CME futures chart. Related Reading: Crypto Pundit Who Correctly Called The Bitcoin Price Surge From $15,400 To $100,000 Reveals Whats Next CME gaps are disparities between closing and opening prices in the Bitcoin futures market. They appear when Bitcoins price moves as the exchanges close over the weekend and reopen on weekdays. Over the past few days, Bitcoin has been filling its new CME gap amidst the broader market downturn. This downward move was expected, as the Bitcoin price often gravitates toward unfilled CME gaps before resuming regular activity. Despite Bitcoins present bearish deviation, Rekt Capital believes that the downtrend could present an opportunity for the market to form new higher lows. The analyst shared two charts, with one revealing several resistance and support zones for the Bitcoin price. The orange and yellow boxes in the chart suggest strong support areas where Bitcoin has historically bounced, while the blue boxes highlight past resistance areas. In the second chart, Rekt Capital showcases repeated breakout patterns, where BTC consolidates and then initiates a surge. If the cryptocurrency can make the expected higher low above last weeks low, this could confirm that Bitcoins broader uptrend may still be intact. Conversely, if it fails to hold above support levels and declines again, the market may see a more resounding crash, potentially triggering sell-offs and exacerbating the bearish trend.  Analyst Foresees A Move Towards $95,000 Not too long ago, Bitcoin shocked the market, skyrocketing by more than 9% in one day and surging back above the $90,000 mark. According to X crypto analyst Jelle, this massive price surge was the higher low the market was anticipating. Related Reading: Analyst Reveals When Bitcoin Price Will Reach $180,000 The analyst suggests that the surge has paved the way for BTC to build a more solid base and slowly make its way toward the $95,000 mark. While the price of BTC currently trades at $87,596 and faces bearish pressures that have triggered multiple price crashes, Jelle believes that the cryptocurrency can overturn bearish conditions and initiate a recovery.  As of this writing, it appears Bitcoin may be slowly recovering from the bears. The cryptocurrency has surged by 5.3% in one day, and its market capitalization is also up by the same amount despite its declining trading volume. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com

Mar 07, 2022 07:25

What is the Bitcoin CME gap?

Trading Bitcoin can follow many strategies. Do you use Fundamental Analysis or Technical Analysis? Are you a day trader, swing trader, scalper, or HODLer? No matter which type of trader you are, it is always good to "mind the gap".

The Bitcoin CME gap: What it is and how to use it

So what is the Bitcoin CME gap? Let’s have a look at what Bitcoin and the CME are, to begin with.

What is Bitcoin crypto?

Bitcoin is the most recognized digital and decentralized cryptocurrency. It is created through solving cryptographic tasks. Transactions are written into a decentral blockchain, which ensures that Bitcoin is always available and immune to manipulation. The revolutionary aspect of Bitcoin is that it does not need a central authority like a bank for the validation of transactions. The current price of Bitcoin in USD/EUR/YEN (Fiat) is created through supply and demand.

After the creation of Bitcoin, many other cryptocurrencies started to pop every now and then. Despite that, Bitcoin remains the biggest cryptocurrency by market capitalization. it currently has a market dominance of 41.5%.

What are Bitcoin CME futures?

The CME, or Chicago Mercantile Exchange, is the world’s largest derivatives trading exchange. The CME traditionally offers futures or options on futures on any asset imaginable, from agricultural products, to forex, energy, commodities, and stock indexes.

A future is a legal agreement to buy or sell a well-defined quantity of something at a determined price at a determined day in the future. For example, buying 20 BTC at $19,500 on 1/2/2021. At the height of the 2017 Bitcoin bull run, on October 31st, the CME added Bitcoin to its portfolio of tradeable asset classes:

https://twitter.com/CMEGroup/status/925355180874522624?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E925355180874522624%7Ctwgr%5E%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fmarketrealist.com%2Fp%2Fwhat-is-bitcoin-cme-gap%2F

Shortly after, Bitcoin crashed from its all-time high. Nevertheless, CME Bitcoin futures kept increasing in popularity. The exchange settled an all-time high of 268.18K Bitcoins during May 2019 when Bitcoin ended its winter, moving from $5,250 up to $9,125.

What is the Bitcoin CME gap?

The Bitcoin CME gap, also called the “CME gap” for short, is the difference between the trading price of Bitcoin futures contracts when the market opens on Sunday, and when it closes on Friday. Unlike cryptocurrencies, traditional assets do not trade 24/7 around the clock. Most traditional exchanges follow normal working hours and close on holidays, and the CME is no exception to this!

While you can trade on Binance for example at any given time, the CME Bitcoin futures trading opens from Sunday evening until Friday evening (Central Time). From Friday to Sunday, the Bitcoin CME futures price is “fixed”, while Bitcoin’s price continues to move up (or down) on cryptocurrency spot exchanges. When the CME futures re-open, futures contracts catch up with spot prices, creating a gap!

BTC/USD CME Futures gap - TradingView

Example: In this case, the Bitcoin futures closed at $16,925 on Friday, Nov 27th. During the weekend, Bitcoin’s price increased on spot exchanges. When the CME re-opened on Sunday, Nov 29th, the price opened at $18,430 creating a gap of $1,505 or +8.9%.

How does the Bitcoin CME gap affect the price of Bitcoin?

Bitcoin CME gaps have often been known to “fill”. Filling means that the spot price moves back to the previous close. In our example above Bitcoin would need to fall back to $16,925 to close the gap. Gaps can also close upwards. If for example Bitcoin closes on a Friday at $19,000 and re-opens on Sunday at $16,000, many traders would expect the price to go back up to $19,000 to “fill the gap”.

Keep in mind that trading is probabilistic, not deterministic in nature. This means that chart patterns and indicators can show you what is most likely to happen, but they cannot tell you what will precisely happen. The Bitcoin CME gap should be considered as one such indicator!

The CME gap doesn’t necessarily have to fill, it is just more likely to fill than not. Filling the gap can take hours, days, or even weeks. Other indicators must be taken into consideration as well when deciding on your next trade.

You can purchase bitcoin on the  Binance ,  Coinbase ,  Kraken ,  and  Bitfinex crypto exchanges.

bitcoin-hash-rate© Cryptoticker

Bitcoin Hits $79K Amid Whale Activity, Setting Sights On $100K Target

Author: Arslan Tabish
Estonia
Nov 11, 2024 02:30

Bitcoin Hits $79K Amid Whale Activity, Setting Sights On $100K Target

Bitcoin is undergoing a massive price rally at the moment, it has crossed major resistance at $79,000 and set a new record. Crypto Rover, in a recent YouTube video, ascribes this trend to the presence of new whales, technological advancement within the system, and positive sentiments during the post-U.S. elections periods. This latest rally has drawn in […]

 Bitcoin CME gap drop to $78K possible due to fringe risks surrounding US economy

Author: Cointelegraph by Marie Poteriaieva
United States
Jan 17, 2025 12:00

Bitcoin CME gap drop to $78K possible due to fringe risks surrounding US economy

A Bitcoin futures CME gap below $80,000 could be filled before BTC price treks to new all-time highs in 2025.

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