Ethereum is a 'contrarian bet' into 2025, says Bitwise exec
Ether price could be on track for another correction into a triple-bottom, marking the beginning of a big rally into 2025.
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Ether price could be on track for another correction into a triple-bottom, marking the beginning of a big rally into 2025.
Some analysts see this correction as a local price bottom for Ether, based on historical chart patterns.
This weeks Crypto Biz explores Pavel Durovs arrest and consequences for Telegram, Nvidias earnings results, OpenSeas Wells notice, Rhodiums bankruptcy, BlackRocks new crypto ETF and SxT Labs fundraising.
Some analysts are eying an Ether rally above $3,000, but traders may have to wait until October.
The asset manager has expanded its portfolio of crypto-based products in Brazil with the debut of the recently launched iShares Ethereum Trust through a depositary receipt.
Ether ETFs are on track to reach $500 million in net outflows, but according to market analysts, the ETH bottom may be in.
The Bitcoin price increased 8% amid BTC investment products seeing $543 million in inflows last week.
Cathie Woods ARK has resumed active trading of crypto-related stocks like Coinbase, 3iQ Ether staking ETF, Robinhood and its own spot Bitcoin ETF.
Ethers price is subdued by a lack of risk appetite among investors caused by wider macroeconomic conditions.
The US Ether ETFs generated over $420 million worth of selling pressure for the world's second-largest cryptocurrency.
Inflows from the Ether ETF launch may disappoint compared to the record-breaking inflows generated by the launch of the US-based spot Bitcoin ETFs.
When spot BTC ETFs went live in the US back in January, it wasnt yet clear how they would perform, but there was a sense that their launch was an occurrence thatif not exactly inevitablehad been likely to occur at some point.
In the case, though, of spot ETH ETFs, which went into operation last Tuesday, it feels in some ways like a different story. Approval from the SEC came through in May, but that decision surprised many observers. It even prompted speculation that there could have been political motivations at work, since presidential candidate Donald Trump was at that time in the process of establishing a publicly pro-crypto campaign stance.
From there, it didnt take long to get to launch. 2024 is becoming a year that will be remembered for its crypto ETF developments (dont forget that two firmsVanEck and 21Shareshave also filed applications with the SEC for spot SOL ETFs). However, its becoming apparent that along with similarities between the BTC and ETF products, there are also some key differences.
With that in mind, lets take a look at the comparable and differentiating aspects. Let's also examine the implications for the products, their underlying assets, and the rest of the crypto space.
How Are the BTC and ETH ETFs Similar?
In the US, there have been ongoing disagreements, mainly between the SEC and almost the entire crypto industry, about whether or not the majority of crypto tokens can be classified as securities and therefore fall under the purview of the SEC. Whats notable is that the SEC appears to want crypto tokens within its remit, and often argues the case for coins as securities, with a few exceptions.
Most obviously, the commission accepts that BTC is best placed in the commodities category, andalthough Chair Gary Gensler has been equivocal on the matterthe widespread consensus appears now to be that ETH also can be accepted as a commodity.
In fact, as far back as 2018, then-director of the SECs Commission of Corporate Finance William Hinman expressed the opinion that ETH, like BTC, was decentralized enough to be treated as a commodity rather than a security.
Also, in 2023, CFTC Chair Rostin Behnam explained about ETH futures funds, We would not have allowed the Ether futures product to be listed on a CFTC exchange if we did not feel strongly that it was a commodity asset.
Another similarity between the BTC and ETH funds lies in how they are affected by Grayscale. In short, prior to spot BTC and ETH ETFs, Grayscale already ran BTC and ETH trusts, both of which have now been converted to ETFs.
However, neither of the converted funds has fees set to be competitive with newcomer ETFs from other firms. Moreover, significant outflows have occurred from the BTC product, and the same process appears to be happening with the ETH product.
The new BTC ETFs had such strong, sustained inflows that they have been able to thrive despite the Grayscale overhang. However, it remains to be seen whether the ETH products can also produce the demand necessary to immediately offset any short-term Grayscale outflows, should they continue to occur.
Another similarity lies in the way Bitcoin is being publicly praised by BlackRock CEO Larry Fink. At the same time BlackRocks tokenized treasuries fund, BUIDL, runs on the Ethereum blockchain. To long-term crypto userswho have weathered countless criticisms and dismissals through the years from establishment sourcesthis is a rapid turn of events. Nevertheless, its telling that Fink and BlackRock currently reserve the lengths of their crypto-asset adoption to BTC and ETH.
How Are the BTC and ETH ETFs Different?
One area in which the ETFs differ from one another is around the narratives driving interest in their respective underlying assets. Bitcoin, at the moment, is frequently promoted as a store of value that can be regardedas Larry Fink has statedas digital gold, and which also, for example in El Salvador, can be a working currency.
Ethereum, on the other hand, was described in a recent BlackRock ETH ETF promotional video as a global platform for applications that run without decentralized intermediaries. The same video directly contrasts BTCs scarcity with ETHs utility.
Finally, one more notable difference stems from the fact that Bitcoin has no identifiable founder. As such, its most prominent advocates operate as adopters leading by example rather than as technicians. That means persuasive individuals such as MicroStrategy Executive Chairman Michael Saylor, President of El Salvador Nayib Bukele, and now also BlackRocks Larry Fink, make the public case for BTC. This makes it a little more like gold again, which, after all, has no CEO explaining his invention in the media circuit.
ETH, on the other hand, has Vitalik Buterin, a famous and still-active co-founder regarded as a figurehead for the blockchain. This sometimes results in misunderstandings. Investors from a traditional business and finance background may wonder why Buterin is not in the spotlight promoting ETH now that the ETFs are freshly launched. At the same time, to crypto-natives this sounds strange: Ethereum is a decentralized network and, according to a common kind of crypto ethos, should always be moving away from hierarchical leadership.
"Isn't it bizarre that Vitalik is not on Bloomberg or CNBC explaining what Ethereum is? Does he even care? Have you ever seen this during an IPO when the company is not running some form of awareness?"I may have brain damage from slapping my forehead so hard after these takes. pic.twitter.com/JBkEYjyPsy
RYAN SAN ADAMS - rsa.eth (@RyanSAdams) July 26, 2024However, if its not Vitalik Buterins job to promote ETH (just as its not the job of the pseudonymous and long-absent Bitcoin creator Satoshi Nakamoto to promote BTC), then who, if anyone, should be doing that job? Does Ethereum need a Michael Saylor-type figure pushing its value proposition and taking the bet in real time?
That depends on who you ask. Perhaps ETF issuersas through the above-mentioned BlackRock videowill take up the task. Alternatively, perhaps crypto will always operate by its novel conventions, and traditional finance will adapt accordingly.
This article was written by Sam White at www.financemagnates.com.
Grayscales spot BTC and ETH ETFs face significant outflows, while other approved ETF participants maintain a positive balance.
The integration aims to create more transparency for 21Shares Ether ETF, which could create more trust among investors.
Galaxy launched a $113 million crypto fund on the week of the debut of the first spot Ether ETFs in the US. Nansen has also launched the industrys first Ether ETF analytics dashboard.
Bitcoin needs to hold above the $65,000 mark for more upside, while the Ether price is weighed down by a sell-the-news event, according to analysts.
Franklin Templeton will keep exploring more assets to back new spot cryptocurrency ETFs, including those based on Solana.
The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has provided final approval to spot Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which will follow the listing and trading of these instruments on three American exchanges on July 23.
SEC Approves Ether ETF
The final stamp on the S-1 registration forms of the spot Ethereum ETF issuers came two months after the regulator approved the listing of the crypto instruments on the Nasdaq, New York Stock Exchange, and Chicago Board Options Exchange.
The approved issuers of the spot Ether ETF include BlackRock, Fidelity, 21Shares, Bitwise, Franklin Templeton, VanEck, and Invesco Galaxy. Interestingly, all of them also offer spot Bitcoin ETFs, which the SEC greenlighted at the beginning of this year.
Our clients are increasingly interested in gaining exposure to digital assets through exchange-traded products (ETPs) which provide convenient access, liquidity, and transparency, said Jay Jacobs, BlackRocks US Head of Thematic and Active ETFs, after the approval of its spot Ether ETF. Ethereums appeal lies in its decentralised nature and its potential to drive digital transformation in finance and other industries.
Historical moment, Ethereum ETFs will be tradeable tomorrow pic.twitter.com/j01SuM97N6
Ted (@TedPillows) July 22, 2024Will Spot Ether ETFs Replicate Bitcoin ETFs Success?
Ethereum is the second-largest cryptocurrency in terms of market capitalisation, only after Bitcoin. However, while Bitcoin leads the market with a market capitalisation of over $1.32 trillion, Ethereum only has $415.8 billion. This suggests that the demand for Ethereum ETFs might be much lower than that for its Bitcoin counterpart because of its sheer size.
To attract investors, all spot Ether ETFs, except Grayscale, kept the base fee between 0.15 percent and 0.25 percent. Fidelity, 21Shares, Bitwise, Franklin, and VanEck will also waive all fees until a set period or a determined amount in net assets is achieved.
Ethereum ETF Fees are public now. Lets see how this plays out.Grayscale mini .25%Grayscale Ether at hopping 2.5%Dont you think you will move to reduced fees if you were on Greyscale? https://t.co/D6stM6mNgK pic.twitter.com/o5a6MChPUM
0xShivaraj (@0xShivaraj) July 18, 2024The SECs approval, however, failed to make any significant impact on the prices of Ethereum on crypto exchanges. In the last 24 hours, the cryptocurrency lost 1.6 percent of its value and is trading at around $4,560, as of press time, compared to the $4,700 peak it achieved in November 2021.
Meanwhile, many companies are now attempting to get approval for Solana-based ETFs, to bring more cryptocurrencies to the mainstream market.
This article was written by Arnab Shome at www.financemagnates.com.
The new Ether ETFs could also increase institutional investor participation, according to a Nansen analyst.
Bitwise launches its spot Ether ETF and pledges 10% of the profits to Ethereum developers via Protocol Guild and PBS Foundation.
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