Bitcoins Uptrend Likely to Continue But Risks Remain, Says Analyst
Despite recent volatility, she believes the broader trend remains upwardthough not without potential threats.
Aldens analysis suggests that Bitcoin still has room to grow through 2025, assuming the global economy avoids major disruptions. However, she cautions that unforeseen financial shockssuch as a rapid decline in global equity marketscould temporarily reverse momentum. These rare but impactful events, often referred to as Black Swans, could lead to significant short-term losses even in strong-performing assets like Bitcoin.
While many investors continue to track Bitcoins four-year halving cycles as a key signal for price movement, Alden argues that this narrative may be losing its dominance. As Bitcoin matures and its market cap grows, its behavior is becoming more aligned with global liquidity trends than with fixed supply mechanics alone.
According to her assessment, liquiditythe availability of capital across the financial systemnow plays a much larger role in shaping Bitcoins direction. Periods of high liquidity tend to benefit risk assets like Bitcoin, while tighter conditions may limit upside or trigger corrections, regardless of the halving schedule.
This shift reflects Bitcoins increasing integration into the broader financial landscape. No longer driven solely by crypto-native factors, its price action is now heavily influenced by global macroeconomic dynamics. As such, Alden expects the asset to continue performing well in the absence of major economic shocks, but she also emphasizes that investors should remain aware of external risks that could shake the system.
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