Looks Like Satoshi Nakamoto Left Us With Another Mystery
WHO WERE FOLLOWING: Wicked Bitcoin
Its 2024 and theres a new mystery surfacing around Bitcoins creator Satoshi Nakamoto.
In this case, discussion of a new enigma first surfaced on X, where everyones favorite ch-artist Wicked Bitcoin posted the discovery.
Essentially, the finding boils down to this:
- Its clear that Satoshi Nakamoto was an early Bitcoin miner after all, he sent bitcoins to early contributors, and since he didnt set himself up with a sweet founders allocation, they could have only come from mining.
- That said, we dont really know how many bitcoins Satoshi mined. (He never commented on it publicly, aside from one reported instance where he claimed to own a lot of bitcoins.) Most of whats common knowledge is from one study done in 2013, and while its become something like lore, theres a lot of dispute about what it proves.
- Essentially, the study suggested Satoshis mining activity was visible on the blockchain via whats been called the Patoshi pattern. Long story short, an early, very large miner changed the way they embedded data on the blockchain (via a non-standard iteration of the ExtraNonce), and most believe that this could have only been done by Nakamoto (who knew the most about the software in its infancy).
- Jameson Lopp (co-founder of Casa) built on this work in 2022. He added new analysis about this mystery miner, including the finding that they werent seeking to maximize their profitability. Some felt this was another strong data point Patoshi was Satoshi.
- Now, Wicked is adding to the mystery, one that alludes to earlier Patoshi analyses. Essentially, by plotting this miners blocks on a date-time axis, he finds that theres a notable gap in the timestamps of this miners blocks in early 2009.
Of course, as to what we can conclude from this data, as Wickeds comments section shows, thats up for debate.
Adding to the issue is that here is a dearth of historical information about Bitcoin from 2009. Whats been uncovered amounts to a few public email lists and private correspondences that have been published over the years (some forced by court hearings).
As far back as May-June 2009, there were no Bitcoin forums, and its possible there could have been only a dozen people mining the network. Martii Malmi, (Satoshis first real righthand developer) would have only just been starting his work.
This means that we dont really have a concrete timeline or what occurred and why besides whats visible by looking at the data, and there, there isnt even that much to discuss there were many days in 2009 where there werent any Bitcoin transactions.
Wickeds thesis here is that the above gaps show instances where the Patoshi miner went offline, and then had to restart operations. At this point, the miner was so powerful that they simply overwrote any blocks found by other miners in their absence.
Wicked draws a few conclusions from this, going so far as to suggest Satoshi may have been testing how well the network held up to 51% attacks. This would be plausible after all, the idea that Bitcoin was robust enough to operate as long as a majority of participants were honest was his major contribution to digital cash as a concept.
(Really, you could argue (as I have) thats the only thing Satoshi brough to Bitcoin that was new, his primary skill taking hardened computer science concepts and stitching them together.)
That said, theres a bit of a bearish read here. An accidental 51% attack would have still made honest mining moot, and this could be fodder for critics who like to paint Satoshi as the kind of errant experimenter we see on other chains today.
Still, theres a lot of conjecture here, and without more analysis (or more corroborating evidence) its hard to draw a firm conclusion.
At any rate, we can marvel at the mystery that nearly 16 years later, Satoshi has succeeded so well in hiding his tracks from history.
Source: Bitcoin Magazine
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