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On-Chain Analysis Identifies Key Factor Preventing Bitcoin Breakout to $100K

On-Chain Analysis Identifies Key Factor Preventing Bitcoin Breakout to $100K
© Copyright Image: The Crypto Basic

As Bitcoin faces bearish pressure on the path to its next milestone, on-chain analysis has identified one reason behind its inability to reach the level.In Bitcoin news today, BTC's recent price action has been nothing short of remarkable, especially as it approached the $100,000 mark. Despite reaching a peak of $99,800 on Nov. 22, the leading cryptocurrency failed to breach the psychological milestone, correcting slightly since then. Heavy Profit-Taking by Long-Term HoldersSeveral on-chain indicators and expert analyses suggest the reasons behind this resistance. A recent commentary from on-chain analyst Checkmate revealed a major factor in Bitcoins struggle to surpass $100,000: heavy profit-taking by long-term holders (LTHs). Over the past 30 days, LTHs offloaded $60 billion worth of Bitcoin, marking the heaviest distribution of the cycle. This selling pressure accounted for 21% of the total LTH distribution since the market bottomed out after the FTX collapse.  

Bitcoin LTH Distribution | Checkonchain
The analyst stressed that such profit-taking is a natural part of Bitcoins market design. Adam Back, Blockstreams co-founder and CEO, replied in agreement, pointing out that the selling activity dampens upward momentum, preventing Bitcoin from capitalizing on its current supply squeeze. https://twitter.com/adam3us/status/1860819116803649667He expressed surprise at the timing, noting that such moves often occur later in bull markets rather than at the start. However, Back emphasized that this selling pressure has prevented the push above $100,000.Bitcoin Faces Short-Term Profit-Taking Notably, data from CryptoQuant further supports the notion that profit realization is playing a critical role in Bitcoins near-term resistance.A previous analysis pointed to the Short-Term Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR), which measures profits taken by investors holding Bitcoin for less than 155 days. Historically, a 30-day moving average SOPR value of 1.02 signals the start of profit-taking during bullish trends.  
CryptoQuant
Currently, the SOPR has reached this level, coinciding with Bitcoins correction from its peak. This pattern syncs with past market behavior, where short-term selling pressure resulted in temporary price pullbacks. However, the report noted that strong capital inflows could offset this trend, potentially pushing Bitcoin beyond $100,000 despite the profit-taking headwinds.  Bitcoins Speculative Demand  While profit-taking remains a headwind, other metrics suggest that Bitcoins upward trajectory still has momentum. According to another report on CryptoQuant today, speculative demand is on the rise, driven by FOMO, as investors anticipate a breakout above $100,000. This growing demand has led to an increase in the short-term supply of Bitcoin, further bolstering the assets price momentum.  The analysis pointed out that short-term holders (STHs) have not yet reached the peak selling levels observed during Bitcoins previous all-time high of $72,400. This suggests that while some profit-taking is occurring, there remains room for additional price growth.
CryptoQuant
At press time, Bitcoin changes hands at $97,314, down 0.34% over the past 24 hours. Despite the recent pullback, BTC still boasts a 6.24% gain in the last week, and an impressive 43.5% increase since Nov. 5.

Read more: https://thecryptobasic.com/2024/11/25/on-chain-analysis-identifies-key-factor-preventing-bitcoin-breakout-to-100k/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=on-chain-analysis-identifies-key-factor-preventing-bitcoin-breakout-to-100k

Text source: The Crypto Basic

Disclaimer: Financial information and news are not financial advice, read the disclaimer.
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