XRP ETF Approval Odds Surge to 81%

XRPs price declined by 18% over the past week, currently trading around $2.48, amid broader cryptocurrency market struggles.
The potential approval of XRP ETFs, with odds at 81%, could attract institutional investors and boost XRPs market value.
Government initiatives, like the U.S. strategic crypto reserve, signal increasing institutional and governmental support for cryptocurrencies, including Ripple.

Ripples XRP cryptocurrency has experienced a tumultuous period, with its price declining by 18% over the past seven days. As of March 4, 2025, the token is trading at approximately $2.48, reflecting a broader struggle within the cryptocurrency market this year. Analysts express concerns about potential further declines, citing bearish trends in the tokens price chart that suggest continued consolidation.

The cryptocurrency market as a whole has faced headwinds, with Bitcoin (BTC) also experiencing a downturn. Currently, Bitcoin is trading at around $87,254, down from its previous highs. This decline in Bitcoin has had a cascading effect on altcoins like XRP, exacerbating their price challenges.

Despite these setbacks, Ripple remains at the center of mainstream attention, primarily due to a series of exchange-traded fund (ETF) filings awaiting approval. The potential approval of an XRP ETF is seen as a significant milestone that could attract institutional investors and provide a much-needed boost to XRPs market value. Notably, Brazil recently approved the worlds first spot XRP ETF, setting a global precedent and increasing pressure on U.S. regulators to follow suit.

In the United States, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has acknowledged Grayscales application to list XRP and Dogecoin ETFs, marking a crucial step toward potential approval. The final decision is expected within 240 days from the acknowledgment date, placing the potential approval around mid-2025. This development has fueled optimism among traders and investors, with betting odds for an XRP ETF approval in 2025 increasing to 81% on platforms like Polymarket.

The approval of an XRP ETF could have far-reaching implications for the cryptocurrency market. Financial analyst Armando Pantoja suggests that such an approval would not only drive institutional demand but also serve as regulatory confirmation that the token is not a security. He notes that before regulatory challenges, Ripple was among the top cryptocurrencies by market value, and an ETF approval could restore its standing.

Technical indicators also offer a glimmer of hope for XRP. The TD Sequential indicator, a tool used to identify potential price reversals, is flashing a buy signal for the token, indicating a possible rebound. Analysts are eyeing support levels between $1.80 and $2 as the lowest resistance zones, suggesting that the current price may present a buying opportunity for investors anticipating a bullish reversal.

XRP Eyes New All-Time High by April 2025

Looking ahead, some forecasts remain optimistic. According to CoinCodex, XRP is projected to reach a new all-time high of $4.12 by April 15, 2025, representing a potential rally of nearly 80% from current levels. On average, the token is expected to trade around $3.12 during the upcoming season, with mid-April as its potential peak.

The broader cryptocurrency market has also received a boost from recent policy announcements. On March 3, 2025, President Trump unveiled the creation of a U.S. strategic crypto reserve, initially including five digital tokens, i.e., XRP, Cardano (ADA), Solana (SOL), Bitcoin, and Ethereum. This announcement led to a significant surge in cryptocurrency prices, with Ripples value rising from $2.23 to $2.99 following the news. This initiative aims to elevate the crypto industry and provide it with government support, signaling a shift toward mainstream acceptance.

Furthermore, financial institutions are increasingly recognizing the potential of cryptocurrency ETFs. State Street, a leading financial services provider, forecasts that cryptocurrency ETFs will surpass precious metal ETFs in North American assets by the end of 2025, becoming the third-largest asset class in the $15 trillion ETF industry. This growth is driven by increasing advisor interest and support from large asset managers like BlackRock.

Despite recent downturns, Ripples outlook holds promise due to several key factors. The potential approval of XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the United States and other countries could attract significant institutional investment and affirm Ripples regulatory standing. Analysts predict that spot XRP ETFs could draw in up to $800 million in their first week and as much as $8 billion over the first year. Betting markets reflect strong confidence, with Polymarkets XRP ETF approval odds for 2025 increasing to 81% following the SECs acknowledgment of Grayscales filing.

Technical analysis also suggests a potential price rebound for XRP. Indicators such as the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) and Williams %R have entered oversold territories, often signaling upcoming bullish reversals. Additionally, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) Oscillator has moved above the zero line, reinforcing a bullish signal. These technical signals suggest that Ripple may be poised for a price recovery in the near term.

Government initiatives further bolster optimism for XRP. President Trumps announcement of a U.S. strategic crypto reserve, which includes major cryptocurrencies like Ripple, indicates growing institutional and governmental support for the crypto market. This move signifies a shift toward mainstream acceptance and could positively impact the tokens adoption and value.

Investors should remain informed about regulatory developments, market trends, and technical indicators when considering their positions in XRP and the broader cryptocurrency market.

Text source: TronWeekly

News